Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF)
KWEB latest price $34.8800 (1.31%) ($34.7100 - $34.9900) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $34.8800(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   KWEB advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KWEB advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KWEB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(92%)    FXI(88%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(67%)    LIT(56%)
Factors Impacting KWEB price   KWEB will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.45(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.94(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.44(4.31%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. KWEB price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.21%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	34.67	33.44	33.94	34.45	34.63	34.73	34.88(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	40	18	110	0.04	48%	0.06	44.1	1.48%	0	1.9	57	0
2	Jul_13_2016	34.65	33.35	33.76	34.15	34.29	34.75	34.43(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	110	27	96	0.02	51%	0.03	28.5	1.47%	0	1.6	59	0
3	Jul_12_2016	34.64	33.27	33.59	33.85	33.93	34.52	34.82(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	130	45	76	0.08	51%	0.03	6.3	1.51%	0	2.4	60	0
4	Jul_11_2016	34.63	33.17	33.29	33.52	33.43	33.84	34.54(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	30	80	28	35	1.49	51%	0.06	-26.9	1.51%	0	2.6	59	0
5	Jul_8_2016	34.61	33.1	33.29	33.35	33.2	33.33	33.6(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	10	8	20	0.05	48%	0.03	-57.5	1.47%	0	1.2	59	0

6	Jul_7_2016	34.6	33.11	33.11	33.37	33.27	33.02	33.37(1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-60	-1	26	0.05	48%	0.03	-59	1.47%	0	0.6	54	0
7	Jul_6_2016	34.59	33.15	33.08	33.32	33.35	33.06	32.92(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-60	-15	17	0.02	51%	0	-56.9	1.46%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Jul_5_2016	34.59	33.23	33.08	33.26	33.41	33.52	33.18(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	40	10	23	0.84	51%	0.09	-55.6	1.49%	0	-0.1	51	0
9	Jul_1_2016	34.56	33.32	33.1	33	33.24	33.65	33.7(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	110	27	15	0.01	53%	0.12	-57.7	1.47%	0	0.5	57	0
10	Jun_30_2016	34.52	33.34	32.98	33	32.86	33.3	33.68(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	14	100	20	-6	0.14	53%	0.12	-59.5	1.46%	0	0.4	53	0

11	Jun_29_2016	34.48	33.38	32.9	32.83	32.66	32.84	33.1(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	12	-23	0.01	51%	0.09	-53.8	1.45%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Jun_28_2016	34.45	33.46	32.89	32.82	32.77	32.43	32.64(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-80	-10	-46	0.02	51%	0.06	-48.2	1.45%	0	-0.9	35	0
13	Jun_27_2016	34.43	33.58	32.94	32.93	32.93	32.48	31.86(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-100	-39	-70	0.03	48%	0.03	-35.1	1.41%	0	-1.9	25	0
14	Jun_24_2016	34.42	33.75	33.06	33.19	33.17	33.11	32.85(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10	-10	-66	0.89	52%	0	-19.6	1.38%	0	-1	27	0
15	Jun_23_2016	34.42	33.82	33.1	33.13	33.3	33.37	33.69(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	30	17	-76	0.01	52%	0.06	-15.3	1.35%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Jun_22_2016	34.4	33.84	33.11	32.97	33.09	33.23	33.08(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	40	2	-103	0.08	50%	0	-18.5	1.35%	0	-0.9	32	0
17	Jun_21_2016	34.4	33.9	33.23	32.98	32.99	33.22	33.15(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	50	10	-105	0.02	50%	0	-18.6	1.35%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	Jun_20_2016	34.4	33.91	33.37	32.97	32.98	32.96	33.16(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-0	10	-114	0.01	50%	-0.03	-24	1.35%	0	-0.9	28	0
19	Jun_17_2016	34.41	33.92	33.54	32.92	32.93	32.77	32.56(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-30	-15	-129	0.02	50%	0	-25.6	1.36%	0	-1.7	25	0
20	Jun_16_2016	34.41	33.95	33.73	33.05	32.98	33	32.92(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-0	-16	-121	0	53%	0	-24	1.36%	0	-1.3	39	0

21	Jun_15_2016	34.41	33.99	33.91	33.27	33.12	33.08	33.1(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-20	-11	-96	0.03	53%	0	-19.2	1.39%	0	-1.2	44	0
22	Jun_14_2016	34.41	34.05	34.06	33.52	33.35	32.96	33.13(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-100	-29	-83	0.02	53%	-0.03	-13.6	1.4%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Jun_13_2016	34.42	34.1	34.28	33.84	33.73	33.16	32.91(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-130	-49	-46	0.02	53%	-0.03	0.5	1.4%	0	-1.7	52	0
24	Jun_10_2016	34.43	34.13	34.5	34.25	34.23	33.74	33.21(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-25	-100	-35	7	0.04	56%	0	3.5	1.47%	0	-1.4	54	0
25	Jun_9_2016	34.43	34.14	34.63	34.49	34.58	34.29	34.02(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-50	-22	44	0.04	60%		-1	1.44%	0	-0.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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