Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 13, 2020

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $127.6100 (11.4%) ($118.8200 - $127.8000) on Fri. Mar. 13, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.32% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $127.6100(11.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU declines -11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(73%)    XLI(72%)    DIA(71%)    IWD(70%)    XLB(70%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -1.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-51%)    VXX(-49%)    TLT(-31%)    SHY(-29%)    IGOV(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.66% (StdDev 3.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

Resistance Level   $152.05
5 Day Moving Average   $125.22(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $138.49(-7.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.05(-16.07%)
To recent high   -28%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $11.65b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 12.28% (three month std-dev: 3.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 2.74%(42%) Average negative next day return: -3.06%(58%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 6.05%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -7.43%(53%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 6.3%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.09%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2020	156.14	152.05	138.49	125.22	124.3	120.43	127.61(11.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-104	-240	-63	-225	1.44	43%	-0.12	-60.5	3.32%	0	-1.3	31	-1.9
2	Mar_12_2020	156.33	154.38	140.82	129.11	125.9	122.42	114.55(-11.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-237	-270	-213	-309	2.1	35%	-0.2	-57.3	2.96%	0	-2.2	18	-2.6
3	Mar_11_2020	156.65	157.35	144.82	137	133.49	128.17	129.23(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-169	-360	-133	-278	2.21	42%	-0.11	-54.7	2.6%	0	-1.8	21	-2.2
4	Mar_10_2020	156.82	159.5	148.02	142.88	140.2	129.39	129.95(4.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-291	-600	-284	-313	3.34	42%	-0.11	-50.6	2.61%	0	-2	21	-2
5	Mar_9_2020	156.99	161.72	151.27	147.35	147.2	138.82	124.74(-15.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-337	-400	-341	-326	2.73	38%	-0.14	-48.4	2.55%	0	-2.8	15	-2.7

6	Mar_6_2020	157.21	164.25	155.7	153.41	153.25	151	147.08(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-198	-110	-165	-298	2.41	51%	0.08	-47.3	1.67%	0	-1.7	27	-2.3
7	Mar_5_2020	157.08	165.56	158.34	154.13	154.53	155.57	154.02(-2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	50	36	-222	1.55	56%	0.13	-49	1.58%	0	-1.3	30	-2.1
8	Mar_4_2020	156.88	166.52	160.42	153.8	152.9	155.5	158.63(4.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	100	69	-211	1.48	59%	0.17	-51	1.54%	0	-0.9	38	-1.6
9	Mar_3_2020	156.62	167.23	162.07	154.23	152.53	153.5	152.27(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	10	55	-218	1.49	53%	0.13	-48.5	1.44%	0	-1.7	30	-2.3
10	Mar_2_2020	156.41	168.26	164.55	156.07	154.42	150.31	155.06(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-161	-220	-128	-258	2.08	56%	0.14	-43.3	1.44%	0	-1.7	30	-1.9

11	Feb_28_2020	156.19	169.02	166.44	158.52	157.42	151.57	150.68(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-387	-280	-402	-341	1.95	52%	0.13	-37.2	1.39%	0	-2.5	22	-2.8
12	Feb_27_2020	155.98	170.12	168.86	163.23	162.54	158.53	152.34(-5.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-298	-190	-317	-242	1.95	52%	0.16	-21.6	1.39%	0	-3.1	23	-3.1
13	Feb_26_2020	155.73	171.1	170.89	167.96	167.45	163.27	160.81(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-228	-180	-250	-163	1.66	61%	0.23	6.2	1.22%	0	-2.5	29	-2.4
14	Feb_25_2020	155.38	171.51	171.97	171.07	170.94	166.56	161.44(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-271	-180	-313	-146	1.33	61%	0.23	35.5	1.22%	0	-2.9	30	-3.2
15	Feb_24_2020	155.03	171.74	173.15	174.22	174.01	171.63	167.33(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-179	-100	-220	-55	1.42	68%	0.27	65	1.14%	0	-1.4	43	-3.1

16	Feb_21_2020	154.62	171.75	173.69	175.49	175.75	175.32	174.23(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-19	-10	-43	55	0.6	79%	0.32	82.8	1.01%	0	0.8	69	-0.8
17	Feb_20_2020	154.13	171.39	173.47	175.33	175.5	176.38	175.97(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	40	52	97	0.62	79%	0.33	89.6	1%	0	1.4	65	0.4
18	Feb_19_2020	153.62	170.84	173.11	174.29	174.51	176.17	176.39(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	133	70	137	120	0.68	79%	0.33	87.4	1.02%	0	1.6	69	1
19	Feb_18_2020	153.12	170.28	172.69	173.06	172.91	174.62	177.2(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	123	70	127	110	1.08	79%	0.44	87.1	1.02%	0	2.1	75	0.8
20	Feb_14_2020	152.45	169.73	172.07	172.02	171.93	172.85	173.64(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	108	40	108	109	0.92	77%	0.27	101.1	0.98%	0	1.3	77	0.9

21	Feb_13_2020	152.04	169.15	171.59	171.67	171.29	171.2	173.46(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10	18	73	1.08	77%	0.28	91.7	0.99%	0	1.3	66	0.6
22	Feb_12_2020	151.62	168.48	171.29	171.37	171.14	171	170.78(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-10	-37	61	0.8	76%	0.26	81.7	0.98%	0	0.6	62	1
23	Feb_11_2020	151.22	167.94	171.21	171.75	171.54	171.39	170.24(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10	-7	99	0.68	76%	0.27	81.1	0.98%	0	0.6	65	0.1
24	Feb_10_2020	150.82	167.46	170.98	172.2	171.8	171.27	172(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-30	-37	106	0.87	79%	0.27	85.4	0.97%	0	1	68	0.2
25	Feb_7_2020	150.41	166.79	170.24	172.09	172.36	171.68	171.86(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-20	-19	106	0.82	81%		83.8	0.97%	0	1.1	63	-0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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