Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: KSU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Mon. Dec. 13, 2021)

(Kansas City Southern)
KSU latest price $92.3900 (-0.76%) ($91.3000 - $92.4400) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $92.3900(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   KSU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   KSU advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support KSU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(65%)    IWD(65%)    XLI(65%)    SPY(64%)    VT(64%)
Factors Impacting KSU price   KSU will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.15(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.1(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.64(0.82%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $8.434b

$. KSU price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2016	90.39	91.64	92.1	93.15	93.1	92.81	92.39(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-20	-15	73	0.67	64%	0.03	-28.2	1.45%	0	0.5	52	0
2	May_31_2016	90.36	91.69	91.89	92.88	93.14	93.35	93.1(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	20	69	1.38	64%	0.06	-42	1.45%	0	0.9	48	0
3	May_27_2016	90.31	91.77	91.47	92.38	92.49	93.39	93.37(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	70	34	52	0.61	64%	0.07	-48.8	1.47%	0	0.9	55	0
4	May_26_2016	90.25	91.81	90.94	91.92	91.92	92.94	93.42(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	80	66	32	1.19	64%	0.07	-58.6	1.48%	0	0.8	49	0
5	May_25_2016	90.19	91.91	90.59	91.34	91.3	91.6	93.49(2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	30	20	40	-1	1.4	64%	0.08	-59.6	1.49%	0	0.7	52	0

6	May_24_2016	90.12	92.08	90.37	90.94	90.75	90.9	91.01(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	10	0	-34	1.47	61%	0.01	-57.6	1.46%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	May_23_2016	90.11	92.37	90.55	90.77	90.69	91.01	90.6(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	12	20	26	-29	1.36	61%	0.01	-55.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	40	0
8	May_20_2016	90.1	92.67	90.63	90.39	90.41	90.59	91.07(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	10	30	-52	0.78	61%	0.02	-47.3	1.49%	0	-0.6	37	0
9	May_19_2016	90.08	93.01	90.81	89.77	89.74	90.37	90.51(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	50	10	-82	1.23	61%	0.01	-42.5	1.5%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	May_18_2016	90.07	93.32	90.99	89.71	89.51	90.23	91.49(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	50	34	-89	1.97	61%	0.04	-35	1.51%	0	-0.6	36	0

11	May_17_2016	90.03	93.57	91.12	89.76	89.65	89.11	90.16(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-50	-12	-125	1.66	61%	0	-25.9	1.51%	0	-1.2	28	0
12	May_16_2016	90.03	93.87	91.45	90.36	90.38	88.78	88.73(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-95	-120	-76	-152	1.79	59%	-0.03	-7.8	1.51%	0	-1.8	26	0
13	May_13_2016	90.06	94.05	92.1	90.92	91.44	90.19	87.97(-2.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-105	-80	-90	-151	1.4	59%	-0.06	3.1	1.53%	0	-2.2	24	0
14	May_12_2016	90.11	94.28	92.8	91.96	92.28	91.98	90.18(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-58	-10	-36	-123	1.45	64%	0	22	1.49%	0	-1.7	24	0
15	May_11_2016	90.11	94.37	93.39	92.4	92.57	92.7	91.77(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	20	-0	-105	1.13	68%	0.04	39.1	1.48%	0	-1.1	34	0

16	May_10_2016	90.07	94.34	93.96	92.65	92.63	92.57	93.17(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10	1	-95	1.53	72%	0.09	44.7	1.48%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	May_9_2016	89.99	94.1	94.33	92.74	92.74	92.43	91.5(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-20	-26	-103	1.47	70%	0.04	43.1	1.47%	0	-0.8	35	0
18	May_6_2016	89.95	93.97	94.88	93.48	93.05	92.68	93.17(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-40	-31	-69	1.38	76%	0.09	50.1	1.46%	0	-0.2	59	0
19	May_5_2016	89.87	93.74	95.38	93.8	93.74	93.04	92.37(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-50	-36	-38	0.74	76%	0.08	49.7	1.47%	0	-0.4	57	0
20	May_4_2016	89.8	93.44	95.86	94.53	94.35	93.41	93.05(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-80	-65	-10	1.19	76%	0.1	51.6	1.48%	0	-0.1	61	0

21	May_3_2016	89.71	93.12	96.23	95.47	95.18	94.44	93.59(-1.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-33	-60	-56	38	1.7	76%	0.12	56	1.5%	0	0.1	65	0
22	May_2_2016	89.6	92.8	96.51	96.16	96.06	95.29	95.24(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-60	-35	100	1.79	83%	0.19	59.6	1.48%	0	0.5	78	0
23	Apr_29_2016	89.43	92.35	96.2	96.49	96.5	95.92	94.75(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-40	-49	118	1.39	83%	0.18	62.8	1.5%	0	0.5	74	0
24	Apr_28_2016	89.27	91.92	95.93	97.19	96.95	96.83	96.04(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-20	-18	166	0.86	83%	0.24	66.8	1.5%	0	0.9	80	0
25	Apr_27_2016	89.06	91.4	95.49	97.36	97.33	97.08	97.74(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	58	-20	6	214	1.11	91%		68.6	1.47%	0	1.3	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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