Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 24, 2023

Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JPMorgan Chase )
JPM latest price $158.0000 (1.97%) ($154.7200 - $158.7850) on Mon. Jul. 24, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $158.0000(1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JPM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JPM advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JPM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    DIA(69%)    IWD(69%)    VYM(69%)    XLI(63%)
Factors Impacting JPM price   JPM will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-41%)    VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-20%)    TBT(-16%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.4(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.67(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.07(6.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $481.522b

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company, which provides financial and investment banking services. It offers a range of investment banking products and services in all capital markets, including advising on corporate strategy and structure; capital raising in equity and debt markets; sophisticated risk management; market making in cash securities and derivative instruments; and prime brokerage and research. It operates its business through the following segments: Consumer and Community Banking; Corporate and Investment Bank; Commercial Banking; and Asset and Wealth Management. The Consumer and Community Banking segment serves consumers and businesses through personal service at bank branches and through automated teller machine, online, mobile, and telephone banking. The Corporate and Investment Bank segment offers a suite of investment banking, market-making, prime brokerage, and treasury and securities products and services to a global client base of corporations, investors, financial institutions, government and municipal entities. The Commercial Banking segment delivers services to U.S. and its multinational clients, including corporations, municipalities, financial institutions, and non profit entities. It also provides financing to real estate investors and owners as well as financial solutions, including lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management. The Asset and Wealth Management segment provides asset and wealth management services. It offers investment management across all major asset services, including equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. JPM price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.77%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.79%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2023	138.03	148.07	152.67	155.4	155.25	156.02	158(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	90	30	53	199	14.38	76%	0.11	66.1	1.23%	1.4	1.7	76	1.6
2	Jul_21_2023	137.88	147.1	151.39	154.48	154.48	155.42	154.95(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	102	40	71	196	10.63	74%	0.11	60.9	1.21%	0	1.4	74	1.1
3	Jul_20_2023	137.73	146.32	150.35	153.44	153.63	154.49	156.15(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	111	40	85	190	9.93	74%	0.1	55.2	1.2%	1.4	1.8	81	1.4
4	Jul_19_2023	137.59	145.59	149.05	151.99	152.43	153.55	154.25(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	101	60	76	177	12.5	73%	0.08	53.7	1.2%	1.3	1.8	84	1.5
5	Jul_18_2023	137.48	144.96	148.07	150.77	151.22	152.77	153.66(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	129	80	109	188	13.48	73%	0.09	53.3	1.2%	1.1	2	81	1.9

6	Jul_17_2023	137.36	144.4	147.31	149.52	149.86	151.32	153.38(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	138	80	119	194	17.25	73%	0.09	53.2	1.2%	1.7	2.2	81	1.4
7	Jul_14_2023	137.23	143.84	146.45	147.87	148.58	149.67	149.77(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	123	70	103	184	27.01	78%	0.08	52.9	1.17%	0.5	1.7	79	1.2
8	Jul_13_2023	137.12	143.42	145.81	146.79	147.17	148.4	148.87(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	70	63	132	11.15	78%	0.07	52.8	1.5%	1	1.7	74	1
9	Jul_12_2023	137.02	143.01	144.81	145.65	146.07	147.49	148.15(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	93	80	85	116	11.32	78%	0.07	49.3	1.5%	0.8	1.8	62	1.1
10	Jul_11_2023	136.93	142.63	143.93	144.95	144.73	145.95	147.42(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	50	55	86	11.26	78%	0.08	48.1	1.5%	1.9	1.8	60	-0.3

11	Jul_10_2023	136.82	142.28	143.11	144.79	144.22	144.65	145.15(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	30	65	9.09	77%	0.02	57.4	1.49%	0.4	1.2	54	-0.5
12	Jul_7_2023	136.79	142.05	142.49	144.85	144.63	143.51	144.34(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-60	-12	39	8.98	77%	0.02	70.6	1.49%	0.6	1	52	-0.3
13	Jul_6_2023	136.76	141.8	142.02	144.67	144.8	143.8	143.21(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-35	-50	-51	15	9.71	77%	-0.01	73.9	1.5%	-0.9	0.6	53	-0.6
14	Jul_5_2023	136.77	141.6	141.91	143.74	144.54	145.74	144.64(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	39	41	8.93	77%	-0.03	68.1	1.49%	-0.4	1.3	60	0.9
15	Jul_3_2023	136.81	141.38	141.66	142.65	143.02	145.8	146.61(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	117	140	134	66	8.02	77%	0.04	65.8	1.49%	0	2.3	66	1.2

16	Jun_30_2023	136.75	140.91	141.25	141.17	141.14	143.34	145.44(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	125	110	148	54	14.2	77%	0.04	62.9	1.48%	1.3	2.4	65	1
17	Jun_29_2023	136.7	140.43	140.94	139.85	139.64	140.23	143.43(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	53	30	68	7	15.42	77%	0.01	45.1	1.47%	1.7	1.8	60	1
18	Jun_28_2023	136.69	140.13	140.76	139.08	138.84	138.94	138.59(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-0	-23	-36	7.53	73%	-0.04	27.9	1.41%	-1.5	-0.8	50	1.2
19	Jun_27_2023	136.75	140.07	141.03	139.83	139.37	139.06	139.2(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-30	-15	-16	8.15	76%	-0.01	33.3	1.41%	0.6	-0.4	54	1.1
20	Jun_26_2023	136.77	139.92	141.23	140.49	140.27	138.74	139.19(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-80	-59	-21	8.43	76%	-0.01	33.3	1.45%	0.2	-0.4	46	1

21	Jun_23_2023	136.79	139.76	141.42	141.31	141.13	139.69	138.85(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-83	-80	-105	-18	9.91	76%	0	36.2	1.46%	-1.1	-0.4	59	1.1
22	Jun_22_2023	136.79	139.66	141.64	142.16	142.29	141.8	139.58(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-18	-20	-36	38	10.08	69%	0	47.6	1.46%	-2	-0	68	1.4
23	Jun_21_2023	136.79	139.59	141.66	142.64	142.52	142.56	142.32(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-0	2	66	9.92	76%	0.01	54.3	1.48%	-0.3	1.1	69	1.3
24	Jun_20_2023	136.77	139.42	141.36	142.38	142.19	142.79	142.53(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	30	21	76	8.43	76%	0	61.1	1.51%	-0.4	1.2	71	1.2
25	Jun_16_2023	136.77	139.25	141.14	142.08	141.78	142.49	143.26(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	30	45	91	13.81	70%		68.8	1.58%	0.9	1.7	77	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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