Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JPMorgan Chase )
JPM latest price $49.2611 (-0.87%) ($49.2080 - $49.8360) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $49.2611(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JPM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JPM declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JPM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(88%)    SPY(74%)    IWM(72%)    XLI(71%)    VT(70%)
Factors Impacting JPM price   JPM will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-36%)    GLD(-14%)    IGOV(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    UUP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $50.75
5 Day Moving Average   $49.31(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.04(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.75(-2.93%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $150.128b

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company, which provides financial and investment banking services. It offers a range of investment banking products and services in all capital markets, including advising on corporate strategy and structure; capital raising in equity and debt markets; sophisticated risk management; market making in cash securities and derivative instruments; and prime brokerage and research. It operates its business through the following segments: Consumer and Community Banking; Corporate and Investment Bank; Commercial Banking; and Asset and Wealth Management. The Consumer and Community Banking segment serves consumers and businesses through personal service at bank branches and through automated teller machine, online, mobile, and telephone banking. The Corporate and Investment Bank segment offers a suite of investment banking, market-making, prime brokerage, and treasury and securities products and services to a global client base of corporations, investors, financial institutions, government and municipal entities. The Commercial Banking segment delivers services to U.S. and its multinational clients, including corporations, municipalities, financial institutions, and non profit entities. It also provides financing to real estate investors and owners as well as financial solutions, including lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management. The Asset and Wealth Management segment provides asset and wealth management services. It offers investment management across all major asset services, including equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. JPM price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2014	51.27	50.75	49.04	49.31			49.26(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	-10000	2	-112	15.94	43%	-0.14	-47.9	1.33%	0	-0.8	24	0
2	Apr_24_2014	51.34	50.92	49.17	49.23			49.69(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	5	-139	15.37	43%	-0.12	-49.9	1.34%	0	-0.6	22	0
3	Apr_23_2014	51.4	51.07	49.41	49.06			49.57(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	7	-154	11.38	43%	-0.14	-49.5	1.36%	0	-0.8	23	0
4	Apr_22_2014	51.47	51.26	49.63	48.84			49.36(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-41	-10000	4	-174	16.27	43%	-0.16	-46.9	1.39%	0	-1	23	0
5	Apr_21_2014	51.55	51.48	49.89	48.69			48.67(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-50	-10000	-1	-195	12.38	39%	-0.21	-42.6	1.38%	0	-1.4	16	0

6	Apr_17_2014	51.66	51.7	50.3	48.74			48.84(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-57	-10000	-11	-194	17.96	39%	-0.23	-38.3	1.41%	0	-1.5	24	0
7	Apr_16_2014	51.78	51.91	50.77	49.12			48.87(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-10000	-20	-173	27.05	39%	-0.25	0	1.44%	0	-1.8	26	0
8	Apr_15_2014	51.91	52.05	51.23	49.83			48.47(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-49	-10000	-19	-137	26.69	39%	-0.29	0	1.46%	0	-2.2	22	0
9	Apr_14_2014	52.06	52.21	51.73	50.55			48.61(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-41	-10000	-19	-108	31.08	39%	-0.33	0	1.49%	0	-2.5	19	0
10	Apr_11_2014	52.23	52.33	52.23	51.26			48.91(-3.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-35	-10000	-20	-80	47.25	39%	-0.32	0	1.52%	0	-2.6	20	0

11	Apr_10_2014	52.4	52.42	52.65	52.06			50.76(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-17	-55	29.98	49%	-0.15	0	1.32%	0	-1.5	36	0
12	Apr_9_2014	52.48	52.42	52.86	52.64			52.42(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-3	15.31	62%	0	0	1.1%	0	49.9	47	0
13	Apr_8_2014	52.48	52.42	52.89	52.85			52.05(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-9	-4	16.96	62%	-0.06	0	1.13%	0	48.2	61	0
14	Apr_7_2014	52.51	52.42	53.05	53.11			52.18(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-7	-3	18.69	62%	-0.04	0	1.16%	0	47	63	0
15	Apr_4_2014	52.53	52.42	53.2	53.34			52.9(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	1	0	16.97	70%	0.04	0	1.12%	0	46.4	72	0

16	Apr_3_2014	52.51	52.42	53.21	53.32			53.65(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	6	-10000	7	3	11.93	81%	0.15	0	1.04%	0	45.9	83	0
17	Apr_2_2014	52.43	52.42	53.12	53.12			53.49(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	6	2	14.01	81%	0.17	0	1.08%	0	45.7	50	0
18	Apr_1_2014	52.34	52.42	52.91	52.95			53.32(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-1	14.59	81%	0.15	0	1.12%	0	45.2	50	0
19	Mar_31_2014	52.26	52.42	52.7	53			53.36(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-1	15.22	81%	0.19	0	1.16%	0	44.8	50	0
20	Mar_28_2014	52.16	52.42	52.43	53.06			52.77(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-0	14.71	81%	0.12	0	1.2%	0	44.3	50	0

21	Mar_27_2014	52.1	52.42	52.17	53.08			52.66(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	24.63	81%	0.12	0	1.26%	0	42.8	50	0
22	Mar_26_2014	52.04	52.42	52.17	53.11			52.64(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	8	3	22.75	81%	0.15	0	1.32%	0	40.8	50	0
23	Mar_25_2014	51.96	52.42	52.17	52.83			53.55(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	19	8	24.05	100%	0.43	0	1.03%	0	40	50	0
24	Mar_24_2014	51.74	52.42	52.17	52.33			53.67(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	24	10	25.81	100%	0.62	0	0.97%	0	41.6	50	0
25	Mar_21_2014	51.42	52.42	52.17	51.72			52.88(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	22	9	35.15	100%		0	1.06%	0	48.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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