Trading Signals: JNUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: JNUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bull 3X ETF)
JNUG latest price $34770.1000 (13.11%) ($31600.0000 - $35370.0000) on Tue. Feb. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.96% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $34770.1000(13.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JNUG advances 8.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNUG advances 11.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(93%)    GLD(71%)    GDXJ(54%)    LQD(24%)    PCY(24%)
Factors Impacting JNUG price   JNUG will decline at least -4.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    XLF(-8%)    DIA(-0%)    SLV(1%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.48% (StdDev 8.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27778.02(25.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25427.35(36.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24140.35(44.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   170%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. JNUG is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. JNUG price fluctuates within 15.13% (three month std-dev: 8.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2014	23443.23	24140.35	25427.35	27778.02			34770.1(13.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	-10000	19	86	0	67%	0.55	75.8	8.96%	0	2.9	66	0
2	Feb_10_2014	23315.97	23416.9	24020.81	25584			30740(13.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	21	-10000	17	34	0	66%	0.36	81.3	8.83%	0	2.7	54	0
3	Feb_7_2014	23231.6	22762.3	22917.87	23766			27170(15.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	-10000	11	-10	0	62%	0.2	68.4	8.68%	0	1.8	55	0
4	Feb_6_2014	23186.33	22201.38	22524.35	22652			23480(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	3	-25	0	59%	0.01	45.2	8.56%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Feb_5_2014	23182.92	21881.67	22678.64	22338			22730(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0	59%	-0.02	40.5	8.56%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Feb_4_2014	23188.25	21656.89	22777.1	22664			23800(9.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	5	0	0	59%	0.03	48.8	8.56%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Feb_3_2014	23180.96	21387.65	23097.76	22202			21650(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	3	9	0	58%	-0.08	49.4	8.5%	0	0.1	54	0
8	Jan_31_2014	23199.41	21230.45	23401.03	21906			21600(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-5	20	0	55%	-0.08	52.5	8.58%	0	0.1	61	0
9	Jan_30_2014	23218.91	21075.04	23399.3	22358			21910(-10.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-7	43	0	55%	-0.07	63.9	8.77%	0	0.3	66	0
10	Jan_29_2014	23235.07	20781.89	23290.57	23062			24360(13.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	1	73	0	54%	0.06	75.5	8.68%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Jan_28_2014	23221.01	20297.97	22837.98	22956			21490(6.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-12	75	0	52%	-0.09	75.1	8.64%	0	0.4	60	0
12	Jan_27_2014	23242.92	20003.2	22846.2	24178			20170(-15.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	23	-10000	-8	117	0	52%	-0.17	87	8.59%	0	0	58	0
13	Jan_24_2014	23282.32	19733.27	22702.7	25072			23860(-6.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	-10000	5	151	0	57%	0.03	94.2	8.39%	0	1.1	64	0
14	Jan_23_2014	23274.82	19249.39	21942.46	24524			25430(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	10	136	0	57%	0.12	87.9	8.5%	0	1.6	67	0
15	Jan_22_2014	23246.46	18617.03	21072.2	23504			23830(-13.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	9	124	0	60%	0.03	79.5	8.51%	0	1.5	71	0

16	Jan_21_2014	23238.68	18091.63	20476.46	22658			27600(12.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	41	-10000	14	122	0	65%	0.25	70.6	8.7%	0	2.7	80	0
17	Jan_17_2014	23179.74	17333.11	19481.25	21390			24640(16.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	-10000	15	113	0	66%	0.09	66.2	8.62%	0	2.4	74	0
18	Jan_16_2014	23159.74	16771.99	18787.56	20050			21120(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	13	100	0	63%	-0.12	58.3	8.65%	0	1.6	73	0
19	Jan_15_2014	23188.07	16422.43	18476.13	18974			20330(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	9	92	0	64%	-0.17	45.4	8.65%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Jan_14_2014	23228.32	16152.18	18008.15	18242			19600(-7.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	4	86	0	64%	-0.22	41.8	8.68%	0	1.5	74	0

21	Jan_13_2014	23280.16	15902.87	17509.78	17910			21260(18.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	8	89	0	64%	-0.13	44.5	8.62%	0	2.4	75	0
22	Jan_10_2014	23309.43	15535.52	16883.45	17326			17940(13.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	21	-10000	-1	87	0	59%	-0.34	47.6	8.38%	0	1.3	72	0
23	Jan_9_2014	23388.4	15360.83	16524.69	17384			15740(-5.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	18	-10000	-7	94	0	57%	-0.49	50.5	8.18%	0	0.2	61	0
24	Jan_8_2014	23502.55	15359.44	16394.77	17886			16670(-7.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	31	-10000	3	116	0	54%	-0.44	66.8	8.17%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Jan_7_2014	23606.07	15222.96	16045.31	17672			17940(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	10	104	0	54%		60.4	8.25%	0	1.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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