Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $108.7800 (0.42%) ($108.4200 - $108.8400) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $108.7800(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
HYG(99%)    SPY(77%)    IVE(75%)    IWD(75%)    EMHY(73%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    IPO(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.55(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.93(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.93(1.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2016	104.53	106.93	107.93	108.55			108.78(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	3	147	1.89	64%	0.1	66.2	0.55%	0	1.3	83	0
2	Jul_15_2016	104.43	106.73	107.71	108.47			108.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	1	156	2.16	64%	0.09	62.9	0.56%	0	1.1	65	0
3	Jul_14_2016	104.34	106.55	107.59	108.45			108.51(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	11	164	3.79	64%	0.11	57.1	0.56%	0	1.4	56	0
4	Jul_13_2016	104.23	106.36	107.35	108.1			108.42(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	12	148	4.73	66%	0.11	45.4	0.56%	0	1.5	59	0
5	Jul_12_2016	104.12	106.18	107.01	107.74			108.69(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	18	121	5.46	66%	0.11	34.7	0.56%	0	1.9	59	0

6	Jul_11_2016	104.01	105.99	106.5	107.21			108.42(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	12	72	5.33	66%	0.11	23.9	0.56%	0	2	61	0
7	Jul_8_2016	103.9	105.85	106.18	106.85			108.21(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	8	56	9.37	66%	0.12	20.2	0.56%	0	2.2	63	0
8	Jul_7_2016	103.78	105.85	106.01	106.62			106.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	63	5.38	63%	0.1	22.1	0.55%	0	1.1	60	0
9	Jul_6_2016	103.68	105.74	105.93	106.5			106.59(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	12	72	5.06	65%	0.1	26.4	0.55%	0	0.9	59	0
10	Jul_5_2016	103.58	105.72	105.88	106.16			106.08(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	18	68	3.35	65%	0.11	19.8	0.56%	0	0.4	56	0

11	Jul_1_2016	103.47	105.71	105.84	105.64			106.59(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	9	40	3.72	65%	0.12	4.8	0.55%	0	1	56	0
12	Jun_30_2016	103.35	105.64	105.66	105.38			107.07(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	4	-10000	1	13	7.38	65%	0.12	-4.9	0.55%	0	1.6	55	0
13	Jun_29_2016	103.23	105.55	105.42	105.34			106.17(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-1	-10000	0	-4	6.61	63%	0.11	-10.4	0.54%	0	0.8	47	0
14	Jun_28_2016	103.12	105.49	105.28	105.33			104.88(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-10	-31	7.29	60%	0.1	-13.2	0.52%	0	-0.8	38	0
15	Jun_27_2016	103.02	105.54	105.29	105.59			103.47(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-21	-10000	-16	-34	13.11	56%	0.06	-1.3	0.5%	0	-2.6	33	0

16	Jun_24_2016	102.96	105.67	105.49	106.02			105.3(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	2	-10000	4	-6	6.62	64%	0.08	22.6	0.45%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Jun_23_2016	102.88	105.69	105.54	105.93			106.89(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	15	-10000	20	-2	2.58	73%	0.09	25.8	0.41%	0	1.8	61	0
18	Jun_22_2016	102.79	105.63	105.46	105.5			106.11(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	13	-24	7.14	71%	0.09	17.9	0.41%	0	0.8	58	0
19	Jun_21_2016	102.7	105.6	105.46	105.23			106.2(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	3	-10000	13	-26	4.73	71%	0.08	10.9	0.41%	0	1	59	0
20	Jun_20_2016	102.62	105.54	105.52	104.96			105.6(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	4	-42	3.28	69%	0.06	-1.9	0.4%	0	0.1	49	0

21	Jun_17_2016	102.56	105.52	105.55	104.89			104.85(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-10	-52	4.62	66%	0.06	-1.8	0.4%	0	-1.1	40	0
22	Jun_16_2016	102.5	105.51	105.62	105.09			104.73(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-16	-44	7.78	69%	0.06	7	0.4%	0	-1.3	41	0
23	Jun_15_2016	102.44	105.53	105.68	105.43			104.76(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-20	-28	5.82	69%	0.06	22.8	0.41%	0	-1.3	39	0
24	Jun_14_2016	102.38	105.54	105.74	105.85			104.88(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-10000	-14	2	5.98	69%	0.07	44.6	0.42%	0	-1.1	44	0
25	Jun_13_2016	102.31	105.56	105.83	106.16			105.24(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	5	-10000	-6	36	2.88	69%		67.3	0.42%	0	-0.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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