Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $115.0200 (1.27%) ($113.9700 - $115.0800) on Mon. Aug. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $115.0200(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(70%)    EWG(66%)    QQQ(66%)    EEM(64%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(2%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(12%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $110.69(-3.76%)
5 Day Moving Average   $113.75(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.88(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $114.1(0.81%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2011	119.44	114.1	113.88	113.75			115.02(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	7	16	1.64	45%	-0.06	-67	1.02%	0	0.4	56	0
2	Aug_26_2011	119.51	114.34	113.84	113.75			113.58(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	0	24	1.43	44%	-0.07	-63.3	1.01%	0	-0.3	62	0
3	Aug_25_2011	119.59	114.67	113.8	113.36			112.55(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.89	44%	-0.08	-59.2	1%	0	-0.7	44	0
4	Aug_24_2011	119.68	115.06	113.9	113.68			113.58(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-6	15	1.21	44%	-0.07	-55.1	1%	0	-0.5	46	0
5	Aug_23_2011	119.76	115.38	113.72	114.02			114.03(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	-0	-7	0.93	44%	-0.07	-50	1%	0	-0.4	39	0

6	Aug_22_2011	119.84	115.72	113.63	114.04			113.04(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-6	-38	0.94	44%	-0.07	-47.7	0.99%	0	-0.8	36	0
7	Aug_19_2011	119.92	116.1	113.38	114.39			113.58(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	2	-74	1.31	44%	-0.07	-43	0.99%	0	-0.7	34	0
8	Aug_18_2011	120	116.48	113.5	114.29			114.15(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10000	3	-105	1.28	44%	-0.06	-42.4	0.99%	0	-0.6	34	0
9	Aug_17_2011	120.07	116.83	113.58	114.14			115.32(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	14	-135	0.88	45%	-0.05	-42.3	0.98%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	Aug_16_2011	120.13	117.09	113.85	113.37			114.09(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	4	-173	1.11	43%	-0.07	-47.6	0.97%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Aug_15_2011	120.21	117.41	114.29	113.17			114.81(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-34	-10000	17	-187	1.39	43%	-0.05	-49	0.97%	0	-0.7	33	0
12	Aug_12_2011	120.27	117.67	114.8	112.23			113.07(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-10000	-7	-232	1.84	40%	-0.07	-56.7	0.95%	0	-1.3	30	0
13	Aug_11_2011	120.36	118.05	115.54	112.62			113.4(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	-10000	-7	-227	1.9	40%	-0.06	-57.3	0.95%	0	-1.3	29	0
14	Aug_10_2011	120.43	118.42	116.25	112.97			111.48(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-81	-10000	-28	-238	2.64	37%	-0.09	-58.6	0.92%	0	-2.1	22	0
15	Aug_9_2011	120.54	118.89	117.16	114.43			113.07(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-10000	-23	-200	4.3	39%	-0.07	-54.4	0.91%	0	-2	28	0

16	Aug_8_2011	120.62	119.25	117.98	115.63			110.13(-4.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-78	-10000	-42	-185	5.06	32%	-0.09	-51.1	0.84%	0	-3.4	13	0
17	Aug_5_2011	120.73	119.78	119.12	117.71			115.02(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-56	-10000	-29	-136	4.42	40%	-0.04	-49.6	0.66%	0	-2.8	27	0
18	Aug_4_2011	120.78	120.11	119.79	118.86			115.17(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-42	-10000	-28	-82	2.35	40%	-0.03	-39.4	0.67%	0	-3.8	26	0
19	Aug_3_2011	120.82	120.43	120.45	119.97			118.77(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-15	-10000	-10	-28	2.01	47%	0	-21.4	0.55%	0	-2.4	39	0
20	Aug_2_2011	120.82	120.53	120.66	120.29			119.04(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-13	-10000	-13	-11	1.05	46%	-0.02	0	0.55%	0	-2.6	42	0

21	Aug_1_2011	120.84	120.62	120.83	120.72			120.56(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-1	25	0.91	49%	0	48.7	0.54%	0	-0.1	61	0
22	Jul_29_2011	120.84	120.63	120.78	120.77			120.75(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-4	27	0.61	49%	0	74.4	0.54%	0	0.3	59	0
23	Jul_28_2011	120.84	120.62	120.74	120.89			120.75(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-4	27	0.94	49%	0	102.6	0.54%	0	0.3	47	0
24	Jul_27_2011	120.84	120.58	120.71	121.01			120.33(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	6	-10000	-2	29	0.87	49%	-0.02	119.5	0.54%	0	-0.5	43	0
25	Jul_26_2011	120.86	120.53	120.72	121.08			121.2(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	4	36	0.85	51%		100	0.53%	0	1.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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