Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $119.9400 (0.58%) ($119.4000 - $120.0300) on Tue. Oct. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $119.9400(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    IWM(71%)    EWG(67%)    QQQ(66%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(0%)    IGOV(7%)    TIP(8%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.67(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.3(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.86(0.91%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20101105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2010	116.1	118.86	119.3	119.67			119.94(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	5	62	0.66	66%	0.04	84.8	0.37%	0	1.4	64	0
2	Oct_4_2010	116.05	118.72	119.18	119.55			119.25(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	2	56	0.59	60%	0.03	89.1	0.37%	0	0.7	60	0
3	Oct_1_2010	116.01	118.62	119.16	119.52			119.55(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	5	64	1.23	60%	0.03	82.9	0.37%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Sep_30_2010	115.98	118.49	119.08	119.41			120.03(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	15	72	1.22	68%	0.03	83.6	0.37%	0	1.8	77	0
5	Sep_29_2010	115.94	118.33	118.96	119.08			119.58(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	10	62	0.64	44%	0.03	77.8	0.37%	0	1.5	76	0

6	Sep_28_2010	115.9	118.2	118.86	118.87			119.34(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	19	-10000	5	59	0.5	44%	0.03	73.6	0.4%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Sep_27_2010	115.87	118.05	118.77	118.87			119.1(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	0	66	0.76	44%	0.04	64	0.4%	0	1.2	77	0
8	Sep_24_2010	115.82	117.93	118.71	118.76			118.98(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	82	0.7	44%	0.05	60.5	0.42%	0	1.2	78	0
9	Sep_23_2010	115.76	117.77	118.6	118.72			118.41(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-4	87	0.51	36%	0.02	50	0.42%	0	0.7	73	0
10	Sep_22_2010	115.74	117.68	118.53	118.82			118.5(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-1	107	0.61	36%	0	48.8	0.42%	0	0.8	77	0

11	Sep_21_2010	115.74	117.58	118.41	118.84			118.8(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	2	112	0.54	36%	-0.01	47.6	0.43%	0	1.2	83	0
12	Sep_20_2010	115.75	117.49	118.25	118.78			119.13(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	6	120	0.6	36%	-0.01	48.1	0.43%	0	1.7	92	0
13	Sep_17_2010	115.76	117.39	118.03	118.64			118.74(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	119	0.45	36%	-0.02	54.1	0.43%	0	1.6	87	0
14	Sep_16_2010	115.78	117.29	117.87	118.46			118.95(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	10	120	0.62	36%	-0.01	58	0.44%	0	2	95	0
15	Sep_15_2010	115.79	117.19	117.65	118.2			118.56(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	11	111	0.4	51%	0	59	0.44%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Sep_14_2010	115.79	117.11	117.48	117.92			118.5(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	11	96	0.49	51%	-0.02	50	0.45%	0	2.2	75	0
17	Sep_13_2010	115.81	117.03	117.27	117.63			118.47(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	11	71	1.13	51%	-0.02	34	0.46%	0	2.6	62	0
18	Sep_10_2010	115.83	116.92	117.07	117.34			117.81(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	6	44	0.77	43%	-0.02	10.5	0.46%	0	2	54	0
19	Sep_9_2010	115.85	116.83	116.87	117.19			117.65(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	6	24	0.62	43%	-0.02	-21.1	0.47%	0	1.9	57	0
20	Sep_8_2010	115.87	116.78	116.74	117.03			117.15(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	3	6	0.69	43%	-0.03	-50	0.47%	0	0.9	48	0

21	Sep_7_2010	115.9	116.8	116.74	116.96			117.09(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	5	-3	0.86	43%	-0.05	-53.8	0.47%	0	0.6	48	0
22	Sep_3_2010	115.96	116.84	116.67	116.83			117(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	3	-10	0.9	43%	-0.03	-53.2	0.48%	0	0.3	50	0
23	Sep_2_2010	115.99	116.88	116.69	116.74			117.06(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	9	-5	0.87	43%	-0.02	-54.9	0.48%	0	0.3	58	0
24	Sep_1_2010	116.01	116.92	116.67	116.5			116.85(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.76	30%	-0.03	-64.3	0.48%	0	-0.1	61	0
25	Aug_31_2010	116.04	116.97	116.7	116.41			116.82(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-13	1	30%		-62.3	0.53%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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