Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $118.3800 (-0.05%) ($118.1400 - $118.4400) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $118.3800(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(70%)    EWG(66%)    QQQ(66%)    EEM(65%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(7%)    TIP(8%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $118.13(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.27(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.99(2.06%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	115.83	115.99	117.27	118.13			118.38(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	10	94	0.36	49%	0.02	68.5	0.65%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Mar_10_2010	115.81	115.66	117.04	117.77			118.44(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	86	0.71	49%	0.03	50.6	0.65%	0	1.3	72	0
3	Mar_9_2010	115.77	115.4	116.76	117.44			118.29(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	12	87	0.83	49%	0.03	42.2	0.65%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Mar_8_2010	115.74	115.14	116.48	116.99			118.05(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	13	87	0.59	49%	0.03	31	0.65%	0	1.5	79	0
5	Mar_5_2010	115.71	114.87	116.31	116.51			117.48(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	6	101	0.78	49%	0.03	16	0.64%	0	1.4	81	0

6	Mar_4_2010	115.68	114.67	116.14	116.29			116.61(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	3	125	0.34	47%	0.02	5.2	0.64%	0	1.1	80	0
7	Mar_3_2010	115.66	114.62	116.01	116.2			116.79(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	6	151	0.89	47%	0.03	1.3	0.64%	0	1.3	79	0
8	Mar_2_2010	115.63	114.57	115.73	115.97			116.04(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	3	147	0.68	45%	0.02	-4.1	0.64%	0	0.9	63	0
9	Mar_1_2010	115.61	114.54	115.45	115.87			115.65(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-5	142	0.61	45%	0.02	-8.2	0.64%	0	0.7	63	0
10	Feb_26_2010	115.59	114.57	115.1	116.06			116.37(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	3	153	0.44	45%	0.03	-2.6	0.63%	0	1	68	0

11	Feb_25_2010	115.56	114.58	114.63	115.97			116.16(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	5	134	0.58	45%	0.03	-4.5	0.64%	0	0.9	60	0
12	Feb_24_2010	115.53	114.6	114.2	115.78			115.65(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	9	97	0.53	45%	0.02	-12	0.64%	0	0.6	46	0
13	Feb_23_2010	115.51	114.63	113.96	115.43			115.53(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	13	64	0.92	45%	0.02	-24.2	0.64%	0	0.5	45	0
14	Feb_22_2010	115.49	114.68	113.7	114.94			116.58(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	27	27	0.96	48%	0.04	-37.3	0.63%	0	1	50	0
15	Feb_19_2010	115.44	114.62	113.3	113.98			115.95(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	-10000	25	-48	1.14	48%	0.04	-61.3	0.62%	0	0.7	44	0

16	Feb_18_2010	115.39	114.66	113.04	113.09			115.2(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-14	-10000	20	-117	0.73	46%	-0.01	-79	0.62%	0	0.3	39	0
17	Feb_17_2010	115.4	114.82	113.07	112.4			113.91(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-41	-10000	3	-173	0.65	42%	-0.01	-83.2	0.6%	0	-0.4	31	0
18	Feb_16_2010	115.41	115.08	113.25	112.29			113.04(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-10000	-0	-187	0.65	39%	-0.03	-79.2	0.6%	0	-0.9	29	0
19	Feb_12_2010	115.44	115.39	113.5	112.3			111.81(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10000	-6	-210	0.85	34%	-0.02	-78.2	0.57%	0	-1.5	20	0
20	Feb_11_2010	115.46	115.79	113.98	112.5			111.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-10000	-14	-200	0.99	34%	-0.03	-75.9	0.57%	0	-1.7	26	0

21	Feb_10_2010	115.49	116.19	114.52	112.95			111.72(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-10000	-26	-183	0.69	34%	-0.03	-75.2	0.58%	0	-1.9	23	0
22	Feb_9_2010	115.52	116.61	115.07	113.82			113.37(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-17	-162	0.6	38%	-0.01	-68.4	0.55%	0	-1.5	21	0
23	Feb_8_2010	115.53	116.95	115.41	114.36			113.1(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-10000	-17	-162	0.7	38%	-0.01	-58.5	0.55%	0	-1.8	18	0
24	Feb_5_2010	115.54	117.32	115.78	114.9			112.8(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-58	-10000	-24	-160	1.61	38%	-0.01	-46.4	0.55%	0	-2.2	18	0
25	Feb_4_2010	115.55	117.69	116.12	115.67			113.78(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-55	-10000	-20	-158	1.26	41%		-34	0.54%	0	-2.1	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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