Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 13, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $101.3700 (0.45%) ($100.5900 - $102.1800) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $101.3700(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IWM(69%)    EWG(66%)    QQQ(65%)    EEM(64%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $99.18(-2.16%)
Resistance Level   $103.18
5 Day Moving Average   $101.18(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.21(-0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.18(-1.75%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2009	96	103.18	102.21	101.18			101.37(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.33	55%	0.13	-80	1.32%	0	-1.1	39	0
2	Jul_10_2009	95.88	103.44	102.52	101.11			100.92(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.25	55%	0.13	-72.9	1.32%	0	-1.5	32	0
3	Jul_9_2009	95.76	103.72	102.82	101.3			102(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-4	-68	0.25	55%	0.15	-65.3	1.32%	0	-1	38	0
4	Jul_8_2009	95.62	103.94	103.03	101.56			100.8(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-14	-65	0.43	55%	0.12	-55.9	1.33%	0	-1.8	40	0
5	Jul_7_2009	95.51	104.22	103.31	102.51			100.83(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-13	-48	0.19	55%	0.05	-41.5	1.33%	0	-2	35	0

6	Jul_6_2009	95.46	104.47	103.63	103.42			100.98(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-10	-28	0.41	55%	0.1	-31.7	1.33%	0	-2.4	37	0
7	Jul_2_2009	95.36	104.71	104.06	104.12			101.91(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-6	-17	0.24	59%	0.08	-20.7	1.33%	0	-2.3	32	0
8	Jul_1_2009	95.28	104.87	104.36	104.51			103.26(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-5	-10000	-2	-14	0.38	59%	0.12	-14.1	1.35%	0	-1.5	36	0
9	Jun_30_2009	95.17	104.94	104.4	104.68			105.57(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	6	-18	0.32	58%	0.12	-4.3	1.35%	0	0.6	44	0
10	Jun_29_2009	95.06	104.91	104.3	104.24			105.36(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	4	-34	0.31	58%	0.12	-8.5	1.4%	0	0.5	45	0

11	Jun_26_2009	94.95	104.94	104.2	103.92			104.52(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-2	-48	0.2	58%	0.13	-7.4	1.4%	0	-0.4	45	0
12	Jun_25_2009	94.83	104.97	104.4	104.03			103.86(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0.27	58%	0.12	10.6	1.4%	0	-1.1	42	0
13	Jun_24_2009	94.72	105.01	104.66	104.2			104.1(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	2	-30	0.25	58%	0.12	20.4	1.4%	0	-0.9	48	0
14	Jun_23_2009	94.61	104.98	104.89	104.08			103.38(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.33	58%	0.12	20.4	1.41%	0	-1.5	47	0
15	Jun_22_2009	94.5	104.99	105.17	104.34			103.74(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.39	58%	0.08	40	1.41%	0	-1.2	44	0

16	Jun_19_2009	94.42	105.02	105.37	104.49			105.09(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-19	0.28	58%	0.1	67.7	1.41%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Jun_18_2009	94.33	104.86	105.4	104.84			104.67(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.4	58%	0.07	67.5	1.41%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Jun_17_2009	94.26	104.8	105.43	105.22			103.5(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-8	-1	0.46	58%	0.1	84	1.41%	0	-1	47	0
19	Jun_16_2009	94.17	104.76	105.55	105.82			104.7(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-4	18	0.4	58%	0.1	91.7	1.4%	0	-0	61	0
20	Jun_15_2009	94.08	104.58	105.62	106.11			104.51(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-3	33	0.33	58%	0.12	77.8	1.4%	0	-0	60	0

21	Jun_12_2009	93.97	104.32	105.78	106.32			106.83(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	4	50	0.21	62%	0.13	63.5	1.37%	0	1.2	68	0
22	Jun_11_2009	93.85	104.02	105.59	106.04			106.56(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-10000	5	57	0.36	62%	0.13	63.2	1.38%	0	1.2	76	0
23	Jun_10_2009	93.73	103.71	105.39	105.68			106.5(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	55	0.34	66%	0.16	57.3	1.4%	0	1.3	65	0
24	Jun_9_2009	93.58	103.49	105.07	105.26			106.13(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	2	47	0.32	66%	0.14	59.6	1.45%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Jun_8_2009	93.45	103.3	104.78	105.08			105.6(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-1	51	0.28	66%		69.5	1.48%	0	1.2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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