Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $96.0000 (-1.87%) ($95.6400 - $97.4700) on Thu. Jan. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $96.0000(-1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(71%)    IWM(67%)    EWG(66%)    EEM(64%)    QQQ(64%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $96.32
5 Day Moving Average   $95.75(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.19(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.32(-0.33%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2009	97.3	96.32	95.19	95.75			96(-1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	2	-15	0.18	56%	-0.33	32.9	2.16%	0	-0.2	49	0
2	Jan_28_2009	97.62	96.19	94.98	95.53			97.83(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	7	-28	0.51	56%	-0.32	42.5	2.15%	0	0.8	49	0
3	Jan_27_2009	97.93	95.92	94.99	94.77			95.34(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-48	0.32	53%	-0.34	42.4	2.12%	0	-0.3	37	0
4	Jan_26_2009	98.26	95.94	95.22	94.24			95.46(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.25	53%	-0.32	50.2	2.14%	0	-0.2	43	0
5	Jan_23_2009	98.58	95.89	95.46	94.24			94.14(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	0	-51	0.35	49%	-0.34	74.7	2.17%	0	-0.7	49	0

6	Jan_22_2009	98.92	95.63	95.73	94.53			94.86(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	2	-52	0.28	49%	-0.34	82.1	2.18%	0	-0.3	47	0
7	Jan_21_2009	99.26	95.3	96.03	94.34			94.06(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.48	49%	-0.34	91.4	2.19%	0	-0.5	55	0
8	Jan_20_2009	99.6	94.99	96.71	95.26			92.7(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-10	-12	0.28	49%	-0.37	91.6	2.18%	0	-0.8	54	0
9	Jan_16_2009	99.97	94.75	97.36	96.31			96.87(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-3	17	0.33	48%	-0.31	85	2.1%	0	0.5	53	0
10	Jan_15_2009	100.28	94.14	97.27	96.58			94.17(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-5	23	0.15	44%	-0.35	81.9	2.2%	0	0	52	0

11	Jan_14_2009	100.63	93.69	97.61	97.1			93.9(-4.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-8	55	0.3	55%	-0.34	76.5	2.21%	0	0	63	0
12	Jan_13_2009	100.97	93.13	97.6	97.92			98.64(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-4	75	0.27	68%	-0.3	73.1	2.53%	0	1	71	0
13	Jan_12_2009	101.27	92.27	96.99	98.39			97.98(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-1	86	0.42	68%	-0.31	69	2.89%	0	1	71	0
14	Jan_9_2009	101.58	91.49	96.75	98.6			98.22(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	94	0.15	55%	-0.29	65.9	3.43%	0	1.1	71	0
15	Jan_8_2009	101.88	90.73	96.37	98.09			96.75(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	-0	109	0.29	51%	-0.31	62.4	3.42%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Jan_7_2009	102.2	90.06	95.56	98.17			98.01(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10000	6	121	0.25	49%	-0.3	62.9	3.48%	0	1.2	74	0
17	Jan_6_2009	102.51	89.35	94.54	97.15			101.01(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	11	125	0.34	48%	-0.27	60.4	3.51%	0	1.9	83	0
18	Jan_5_2009	102.79	88.41	93.1	95.38			99(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	4	118	0.8	48%	-0.29	55.9	3.5%	0	1.8	82	0
19	Jan_2_2009	103.09	87.56	91.89	94.69			95.67(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	2	123	0.26	46%	-0.55	54.2	3.48%	0	1.5	76	0
20	Dec_31_2008	103.66	86.92	90.72	94.43			97.17(4.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	12	130	0.24	46%	-0.3	56.4	3.48%	0	2.1	76	0

21	Dec_30_2008	103.97	86.2	89.41	92.57			92.88(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	7	114	0.26	44%	-0.34	52.5	3.43%	0	1.5	71	0
22	Dec_29_2008	104.32	85.7	88.29	91.46			92.16(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	7	98	0.2	42%	-0.34	50.6	3.44%	0	1.6	67	0
23	Dec_26_2008	104.68	85.31	87.2	90.37			95.58(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	30	-10000	11	85	0.15	44%	-0.52	50	3.45%	0	2.7	78	0
24	Dec_24_2008	105.23	84.79	85.79	88.66			94.38(7.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	28	-10000	15	68	0.22	43%	-0.32	49.3	3.43%	0	3.3	77	0
25	Dec_23_2008	105.57	84.23	84.57	86.51			87.87(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	41	0.28	38%		34.2	3.28%	0	1.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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