Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 26, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $95.5800 (1.27%) ($91.8000 - $97.1100) on Fri. Dec. 26, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $95.5800(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(68%)    IWM(65%)    EWG(62%)    EEM(61%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(6%)    GLD(8%)    USO(31%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.37(5.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.2(9.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.31(12.04%)
To recent high   -20.3%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2008	104.68	85.31	87.2	90.37			95.58(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	30	-10000	11	85	0.15	44%	-0.52	50	3.45%	0	2.7	78	0
2	Dec_24_2008	105.23	84.79	85.79	88.66			94.38(7.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	28	-10000	15	68	0.22	43%	-0.32	49.3	3.43%	0	3.3	77	0
3	Dec_23_2008	105.57	84.23	84.57	86.51			87.87(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	41	0.28	38%	-0.38	34.2	3.28%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Dec_22_2008	105.97	83.98	84.09	85.79			87.33(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	8	33	0.26	38%	-0.39	5.8	3.28%	0	1.9	62	0
5	Dec_19_2008	106.39	83.69	83.73	84.61			86.7(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	8	21	0.33	40%	-0.4	-43.8	3.28%	0	1.9	61	0

6	Dec_18_2008	106.82	83.47	83.31	83.47			87(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	6	-10000	7	2	0.72	42%	-0.4	-100.6	3.31%	0	2.4	54	0
7	Dec_17_2008	107.25	83.36	82.85	82.48			83.67(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	1	-20	0.21	38%	-0.43	-159.6	3.29%	0	0.2	37	0
8	Dec_16_2008	107.71	83.58	82.82	82.35			84.27(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.21	37%	-0.43	-143.8	3.3%	0	0.4	50	0
9	Dec_15_2008	108.17	83.88	82.72	82.17			81.42(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.07	33%	-0.45	-113.2	3.28%	0	-1	44	0
10	Dec_12_2008	108.66	84.4	82.93	82.71			81(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-3	-18	0.06	33%	-0.46	-93.1	3.29%	0	-1.2	51	0

11	Dec_11_2008	109.16	85	83.35	83.08			82.02(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.07	33%	-0.45	-81.6	3.29%	0	-0.9	50	0
12	Dec_10_2008	109.65	85.56	83.78	83.23			83.02(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.08	33%	-0.43	-74.4	3.29%	0	-0.7	42	0
13	Dec_9_2008	110.12	86.15	83.91	83.33			83.37(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-0	-11	0.08	33%	-0.42	-65.6	3.29%	0	-0.6	35	0
14	Dec_8_2008	110.59	86.7	83.92	83.37			84.15(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	1	-25	0.17	34%	-0.41	-61.5	3.29%	0	-0.5	31	0
15	Dec_5_2008	111.04	87.24	83.68	83.22			82.83(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-3	-50	0.08	34%	-0.41	-57.8	3.29%	0	-0.9	26	0

16	Dec_4_2008	111.5	87.88	83.67	83.69			82.77(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-20	-10000	-5	-66	0.08	34%	-0.41	-53	3.29%	0	-1	24	0
17	Dec_3_2008	111.96	88.5	83.94	84.43			83.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-10000	-1	-73	0.06	34%	-0.4	-48.4	3.29%	0	-1	24	0
18	Dec_2_2008	112.41	89.07	84.39	84.56			83.55(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	0	-84	0.07	34%	-0.42	-47.5	3.29%	0	-1.1	22	0
19	Dec_1_2008	112.88	89.65	85.11	84.52			83.4(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-92	0.06	34%	-0.42	-48	3.28%	0	-1.2	24	0
20	Nov_28_2008	113.36	90.2	85.96	84.16			85.17(-1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	4	-102	0.05	34%	-0.53	-50.4	3.28%	0	-1	25	0

21	Nov_26_2008	113.96	90.69	86.73	83.62			86.49(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	1	-114	0.08	34%	-0.38	-55.9	3.26%	0	-0.9	26	0
22	Nov_25_2008	114.4	91.09	87.4	83.43			84.18(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-124	0.08	34%	-0.38	-58.7	3.23%	0	-1.4	20	0
23	Nov_24_2008	114.84	91.62	88.49	84.29			83.34(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-11	-118	0.07	34%	-0.28	-59.6	3.23%	0	-1.8	18	0
24	Nov_21_2008	115.16	92.21	89.66	85.88			81.6(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-38	-10000	-15	-105	0.09	34%	-0.42	-59.3	3.21%	0	-2.6	10	0
25	Nov_20_2008	115.65	92.82	91.1	88.04			82.5(-3.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-31	-10000	-15	-80	0.1	34%		-61.4	3.21%	0	-3	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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