Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $138.5400 (0.57%) ($137.7900 - $138.9000) on Mon. May. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $138.5400(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(55%)    EWI(54%)    QQQ(54%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(8%)    TIP(9%)    USO(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.8(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.74(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $137.83(0.52%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.36% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2008	136.46	137.83	137.74	137.8			138.54(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-2	-10000	5	-24	0.02	66%	-0.04	88.9	0.4%	0	1.4	52	0
2	May_16_2008	136.52	137.73	137.7	137.66			137.76(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.03	64%	-0.04	94.7	0.4%	0	0.1	47	0
3	May_15_2008	136.58	137.69	137.72	137.57			137.88(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.04	64%	-0.04	83.3	0.4%	0	0.3	55	0
4	May_14_2008	136.63	137.59	137.81	137.54			137.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.02	64%	0	68.3	0.41%	0	-0.2	51	0
5	May_13_2008	136.63	137.5	137.89	137.62			137.4(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-1	-11	0.02	64%	-0.04	62	0.41%	0	-0.1	50	0

6	May_12_2008	136.69	137.39	137.97	137.66			137.88(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10000	-4	1	0.02	64%	-0.04	55.6	0.4%	0	0.4	58	0
7	May_9_2008	136.75	137.25	137.99	137.75			137.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-5	21	0.01	63%	-0.05	55.1	0.4%	0	0	58	0
8	May_8_2008	136.82	137.13	138.01	137.88			137.76(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-9	34	0.02	63%	-0.05	58.7	0.4%	0	0.5	62	0
9	May_7_2008	136.89	137.03	137.99	138.13			137.76(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-3	69	0.03	58%	-0.05	69.8	0.4%	0	0.6	69	0
10	May_6_2008	136.96	136.89	137.98	138.2			137.64(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	95	0.04	58%	-0.04	78.6	0.41%	0	0.6	71	0

11	May_5_2008	137.02	136.78	137.94	138.31			138.33(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10000	2	127	0.04	61%	-0.04	82.7	0.41%	0	1.1	80	0
12	May_2_2008	137.08	136.58	137.78	138.25			137.91(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	3	135	0.03	53%	-0.04	80.4	0.44%	0	0.9	79	0
13	May_1_2008	137.14	136.39	137.67	138.15			139.02(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	10	153	0.05	57%	-0.03	73.7	0.44%	0	1.7	95	0
14	Apr_30_2008	137.18	136.11	137.35	137.84			138.12(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	4	143	0.04	61%	-0.05	68.7	0.43%	0	1.3	77	0
15	Apr_29_2008	137.25	135.85	137.07	137.73			138.15(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	6	129	0.06	61%	-0.04	65.2	0.48%	0	1.5	80	0

16	Apr_28_2008	137.31	135.61	136.76	137.52			138.06(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	8	118	0.07	64%	-0.04	66.1	0.48%	0	1.7	75	0
17	Apr_25_2008	137.36	135.41	136.44	137.24			137.4(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	4	107	0.03	57%	-0.05	70.6	0.49%	0	1.4	77	0
18	Apr_24_2008	137.43	135.25	136.18	137.11			137.46(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	10	108	0.06	57%	-0.04	78	0.51%	0	1.6	79	0
19	Apr_23_2008	137.49	135.04	135.98	136.77			137.58(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	13	111	0.04	57%	-0.04	84.2	0.51%	0	2	83	0
20	Apr_22_2008	137.55	134.83	135.7	136.31			137.1(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	13	108	0.26	57%	-0.01	90.8	0.51%	0	1.9	84	0

21	Apr_21_2008	137.56	134.65	135.5	135.88			136.68(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	11	102	0.07	57%	-0.01	100	0.51%	0	1.8	74	0
22	Apr_18_2008	137.57	134.45	135.27	135.51			136.74(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	11	87	0.04	57%	-0.01	107.9	0.51%	0	2.2	65	0
23	Apr_17_2008	137.58	134.2	135	135.12			135.75(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	2	67	0.02	48%	-0.01	98.7	0.5%	0	1.5	61	0
24	Apr_16_2008	137.6	133.97	134.76	135.07			135.27(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	1	59	0.01	50%	-0.01	78.2	0.54%	0	1.1	64	0
25	Apr_15_2008	137.62	133.77	134.53	135.01			134.94(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-1	52	0.01	49%		63.8	0.54%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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