Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 6, 2018

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $1541.5000 (7.23%) ($1452.5000 - $1548.5000) on Tue. Feb. 6, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.69% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $1541.5000(7.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(12%)    TBT(8%)    VIXM(3%)    VXX(1%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -2.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-91%)    SIL(-87%)    GLD(-68%)    SLV(-60%)    XME(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.345% (StdDev 4.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1398.15(10.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1318.6(16.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1273.12(21.08%)
To recent high   -19.6%
To recent low   41.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 8.95% (three month std-dev: 4.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 4.22%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 22.97%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 15.31%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.27%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2018	1439.1	1273.12	1318.6	1398.15	1414.45	1473.94	1541.5(7.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	760	330	862	454	0.05	52%	0.16	42.1	4.69%	0	2.4	70	-2
2	Feb_5_2018	1436.79	1259	1279.11	1360.3	1364.98	1423.88	1437.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	848	310	969	483	0.05	50%	0.15	39.3	4.67%	0	1.9	70	-2.9
3	Feb_2_2018	1434.68	1247.95	1255.38	1332.35	1330.45	1354.97	1444.5(12.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	681	120	776	396	0.1	50%	0.19	32.7	4.68%	0	2.3	64	-2.2
4	Feb_1_2018	1431.94	1235.15	1231.6	1278.7	1293.63	1306.09	1286.75(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	213	100	235	145	0.07	46%	0.05	13.6	4.42%	0	0.7	50	-0.5
5	Jan_31_2018	1431.16	1232.01	1226.03	1261.6	1260.12	1305.94	1280.5(-5.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	496	250	574	262	0.12	46%	0.1	4.9	4.42%	0	0.7	48	-1.6

6	Jan_30_2018	1429.71	1226.91	1214.94	1223.8	1218.91	1281.17	1352.25(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	965	350	1139	444	0.07	48%	0.13	-20.4	4.41%	0	1.7	48	-1.9
7	Jan_29_2018	1427.89	1222.42	1190.41	1185.25	1165.15	1214.3	1297.75(10.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	624	240	750	247	0.1	48%	0.15	-45.4	4.4%	0	1.1	50	-2.1
8	Jan_26_2018	1425.72	1220.4	1177.19	1168.55	1152.16	1156.66	1176.25(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	322	-10	401	86	0.06	46%	0.11	-64.9	4.19%	0	-0.7	48	136.8
9	Jan_25_2018	1424.22	1225.17	1187.29	1178.9	1163.34	1116	1201.25(10.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-449	-320	-510	-264	0.13	46%	0.07	-78.6	4.23%	0	-0.4	51	137.4
10	Jan_24_2018	1423.23	1228.42	1197.75	1186.45	1182.06	1147.66	1091.5(-5.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-857	-210	-993	-447	0.1	42%	0.02	-94.1	4.04%	0	-2	43	-1.4

11	Jan_23_2018	1422.89	1241.97	1225.39	1202.4	1209.84	1210.69	1159.5(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	33	20	44	-2	0.07	44%	-0.19	-120	4%	0	-1.4	51	0.1
12	Jan_22_2018	1425.64	1254.46	1238.94	1193.3	1194.84	1216.47	1214.25(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	197	130	239	71	0.04	46%	0.03	-142.6	3.98%	0	-0.7	47	0.9
13	Jan_19_2018	1425.17	1266.15	1241.41	1185.95	1175.94	1209	1228(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	372	170	447	146	0.05	46%	0.03	-145.1	4.02%	0	-0.6	48	1
14	Jan_18_2018	1424.74	1281.08	1239.89	1197.95	1175.01	1173.22	1239(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	162	-70	200	48	0.09	46%	-0.06	-138.1	4.03%	0	-0.6	49	-INF
15	Jan_17_2018	1425.55	1296.4	1239.07	1214.25	1197.8	1142.89	1171.25(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-661	-360	-770	-335	0.08	43%	-0.07	-126.7	3.97%	0	-1.4	45	INF

16	Jan_16_2018	1426.51	1319.41	1241.25	1254.35	1241.11	1176.8	1114(-5.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-1192	-390	-1396	-579	0.09	43%	-0.14	-106	3.91%	0	-2	34	INF
17	Jan_12_2018	1428.49	1345.43	1259.26	1290.15	1294.77	1252.7	1177.5(-8.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-677	-220	-793	-328	0.09	45%	-0.21	-86.2	3.91%	0	-1.3	34	INF
18	Jan_11_2018	1431.46	1367.83	1269.46	1301.65	1309.65	1305.42	1288(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-253	-0	-290	-142	0.04	49%	-0.13	-84.3	3.76%	0	-0.6	36	INF
19	Jan_10_2018	1433.34	1393.66	1267.51	1285.5	1294.41	1336.84	1320.5(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	398	250	488	129	0.06	49%	-0.13	-80	3.77%	0	-0.5	33	INF
20	Jan_9_2018	1435.21	1418.42	1261.53	1267.25	1272.35	1313.88	1371.75(6.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	922	240	1117	336	0.06	49%	-0.06	-66.7	3.77%	0	-0.3	34	INF

21	Jan_8_2018	1436.11	1440.82	1258.03	1228.6	1237.24	1251.99	1293(4.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	310	100	413	-1	0.05	46%	-0.17	-59.8	3.72%	0	-0.7	23	INF
22	Jan_5_2018	1438.51	1470.59	1268.54	1226.55	1221.43	1230.83	1235(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	40	26	-177	0.04	40%	-0.21	-51.5	3.78%	0	-1	17	INF
23	Jan_4_2018	1441.49	1500.59	1290.08	1233.75	1231.7	1222.5	1207.25(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-60	52	-176	0.05	40%	-0.23	-44.9	3.81%	0	-1.2	15	INF
24	Jan_3_2018	1444.87	1529.33	1323.01	1246.55	1241.91	1212.03	1229.25(4.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-472	-180	-493	-410	0.07	40%	-0.29	-40.3	3.82%	0	-1.2	11	INF
25	Jan_2_2018	1449.13	1553.65	1355.91	1254.2	1256.17	1240.91	1178.5(-8.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-573	-80	-606	-475	0.07	38%		-37.9	3.8%	0	-1.6	5	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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