Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JDST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $3418.0000 (-7.5%) ($3318.0000 - $3698.0000) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.53% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $3418.0000(-7.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 24.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(18%)    TBT(12%)    VIXM(2%)    IPO(1%)    UNG(-2%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -5.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-91%)    SIL(-88%)    GLD(-69%)    SLV(-60%)    XME(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.265% (StdDev 10.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $3532.4(-3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3178.02(7.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2783.1(22.81%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   74.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 19.43% (three month std-dev: 10.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.74%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.01%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 21.57%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	3712.85	2783.1	3178.02	3532.4	3473.45	3552.38	3418(-7.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	250	110	253	242	0.05	53%	-2.11	61	10.53%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Oct_11_2016	3793.02	2735.46	3068.62	3504.8	3507.76	3478.78	3695(9.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	558	-60	611	399	0.05	53%	-1.47	67.5	10.57%	0	1.8	83	0
3	Oct_10_2016	3849.55	2674.33	2945.84	3429.8	3434.45	3394.53	3366(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-339	-80	-444	-24	0.04	53%	-1.42	76	10.52%	0	1.4	64	0
4	Oct_7_2016	3905	2617.02	2843.42	3262.2	3356.44	3536.75	3507(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	841	460	952	508	0.07	51%	-1.43	66.1	10.67%	0	2	65	0
5	Oct_6_2016	3961.76	2568.11	2716	3040.6	3126.75	3474.38	3676(12.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	2033	860	2365	1036	0.07	49%	-1.46	50.6	10.71%	0	2.7	65	0

6	Oct_5_2016	4020.38	2488.07	2547.25	2770.8	2785.88	3176.13	3280(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	2151	1000	2517	1052	0.07	48%	-1.08	18.4	10.77%	0	2.4	64	0
7	Oct_4_2016	4064.46	2424.1	2411.92	2568.6	2549.26	2779.13	3320(31.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	1904	610	2238	903	0.1	48%	-1.26	-16.6	10.83%	0	3	64	0
8	Oct_3_2016	4116.3	2354.4	2321.74	2403.2	2385.13	2395.63	2528(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	325	10	387	139	0.06	43%	-1.57	-58.3	10.2%	0	0.8	51	0
9	Sep_30_2016	4181.83	2350.13	2319.53	2365.4	2381.57	2319.39	2399(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-203	-160	-235	-108	0.06	40%	-1.63	-70	10.45%	0	0.2	57	0
10	Sep_29_2016	4251.23	2376.12	2339.95	2338	2372.19	2374.64	2327(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-178	50	-204	-99	0.07	40%	-1.55	-58.1	10.46%	0	-0.2	47	0

11	Sep_28_2016	4317.98	2428.2	2354.93	2281.4	2329.87	2443.75	2269(-8.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	573	410	680	253	0.07	40%	-1.77	-42.3	10.49%	0	-0.5	57	0
12	Sep_27_2016	4395.85	2473.91	2379.28	2220	2217.44	2369.75	2493(6.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	809	480	957	366	0.06	40%	-1.95	-34.4	10.46%	0	0	63	0
13	Sep_26_2016	4483.16	2486.99	2384.03	2230.4	2139.76	2216	2339(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	426	130	502	197	0.05	40%	-1.52	-28.7	10.42%	0	-0.4	62	0
14	Sep_23_2016	4552.15	2509.81	2378.18	2273.6	2215.63	2065.14	2262(10.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-210	-550	-246	-101	0.08	38%	-1.88	-19.2	10.55%	0	-0.6	50	0
15	Sep_22_2016	4639.28	2534.54	2414.77	2350.2	2302.51	2063.51	2044(4.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1629	-790	-1916	-766	0.06	37%	-2.13	-6	10.45%	0	-1.2	40	0

16	Sep_21_2016	4740.36	2585.8	2433.91	2439.2	2463.25	2366.13	1962(-22.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-931	-250	-1090	-452	0.07	37%	-1.73	11.2	10.43%	0	-1.6	34	0
17	Sep_20_2016	4823.91	2615.13	2452.05	2550.2	2547.19	2541.5	2545(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-20	1	-26	0.03	39%	-1.42	26.5	10.13%	0	-0.2	43	0
18	Sep_19_2016	4893.35	2605.49	2399.36	2555.6	2515.22	2560.38	2555(-3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	51	80	73	-14	0.05	39%	-1.33	30.1	10.13%	0	-0.1	50	0
19	Sep_16_2016	4959.11	2588.9	2388.56	2496.8	2504.66	2552.88	2645(6.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	389	140	474	132	0.07	39%	-1.67	26.2	10.14%	0	0.1	51	0
20	Sep_15_2016	5043.35	2558.56	2413.99	2495.4	2482.59	2470.06	2489(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	77	-50	106	-11	0.07	38%	-2	23.9	10.18%	0	-0.2	50	0

21	Sep_14_2016	5146.52	2542.61	2501.46	2430.4	2470.97	2456.44	2517(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	10	36	-38	0.05	38%	-2.01	20.2	10.3%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	Sep_13_2016	5251.96	2521.31	2567.34	2336.6	2396.93	2495.13	2572(13.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	280	360	343	89	0.07	38%	-2.26	12.6	10.33%	0	0.1	56	0
23	Sep_12_2016	5373.67	2497.79	2587.03	2219.2	2298.43	2485.5	2261(-14.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	990	680	1180	418	0.08	35%	-2.21	3.7	10.17%	0	-0.5	55	0
24	Sep_9_2016	5494.99	2491.57	2644.03	2262.2	2208.37	2298.74	2638(21.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	689	220	822	290	0.1	37%	-1.9	4.2	10.05%	0	0.3	61	0
25	Sep_8_2016	5601.23	2464.42	2654.66	2333	2243.43	2111.36	2164(5.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-810	-530	-948	-397	0.07	30%		8.5	9.66%	0	-0.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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