Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JDST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $3478.0000 (7.05%) ($3305.0000 - $3590.9900) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.07% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $3478.0000(7.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 21.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(18%)    TBT(12%)    IPO(4%)    VIXM(3%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -5.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-91%)    SIL(-88%)    GLD(-68%)    SLV(-60%)    XME(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.035% (StdDev 10.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $3014.6(15.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2732.34(27.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2425.74(43.38%)
To recent high   -67.7%
To recent low   75.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 18.04% (three month std-dev: 10.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 4.82%(57%) Average negative next day return: -7.08%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 6.64%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -11.2%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.45%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.2%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2016	6401.58	2425.74	2732.34	3014.6	3007.27	3260	3478(7.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	1657	580	1912	893	0.05	32%	-1.99	54	10.07%	0	2.4	79	INF
2	Aug_30_2016	6531.6	2354.88	2592.55	2932	2865.33	2961.13	3249(16.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	1074	170	1226	619	0.05	32%	-2.1	51.7	10.05%	0	2.4	79	INF
3	Aug_29_2016	6671.5	2294.05	2468.22	2774.2	2802.64	2754.54	2787(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	297	-90	318	235	0.03	28%	-2.77	30.4	9.87%	0	1.6	69	INF
4	Aug_26_2016	6861.53	2258.38	2395.26	2678.8	2675.39	2769.54	2809(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-83	240	-124	41	0.06	31%	-3.08	1	10.07%	0	1.9	67	INF
5	Aug_25_2016	7079.63	2226.26	2318.69	2551	2585.12	2850.74	2750(-10.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	1634	760	1903	827	0.03	31%	-3.29	-26.2	10.07%	0	2	61	INF

6	Aug_24_2016	7320.53	2210.53	2247.55	2397	2399.71	2581.24	3065(24.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	1635	530	1911	807	0.03	38%	-3.18	-51.2	10.08%	0	3.4	73	INF
7	Aug_23_2016	7561.3	2179.34	2134.2	2207	2199.71	2319.5	2460(6.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	580	370	680	281	0.02	32%	-3.47	-82.7	9.98%	0	1.1	60	INF
8	Aug_22_2016	7832.91	2204.69	2095.35	2122	2145.03	2218.18	2310(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	765	270	901	356	0.02	32%	-3.12	-61.1	9.97%	0	0.3	58	INF
9	Aug_19_2016	8085.34	2255.77	2077.96	2072	2077.78	2079.93	2170(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	20	110	33	0.02	32%	-3.18	-51.9	9.92%	0	-0.2	53	INF
10	Aug_18_2016	8351.3	2296.96	2086.76	2051	2055.63	2071.88	1980(-6.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	60	2	-12	0.02	37%	-3.02	-47.5	9.82%	0	-0.7	40	INF

11	Aug_17_2016	8611.6	2345.21	2097.75	2069	2048.13	2075.63	2115(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	213	60	257	82	0.03	37%	-2.79	-38	10.31%	0	-0.5	34	INF
12	Aug_16_2016	8858.42	2410.87	2101.47	2048	2020.94	2039.38	2035(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	98	20	125	16	0.02	37%	-3.38	-31.4	10.33%	0	-0.8	28	INF
13	Aug_15_2016	9168.17	2452.68	2110.21	2063	2008.73	2020.63	2060(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	13	-40	31	-40	0.01	37%	-0.78	-31.9	10.35%	0	-0.8	21	INF
14	Aug_12_2016	9240.7	2485.7	2116.32	2085	2027.48	2002.5	2065(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-135	-170	-136	-132	0.03	37%	-3.24	-30.8	10.35%	0	-0.9	18	INF
15	Aug_11_2016	9549.73	2518.15	2132.35	2130	2082.36	1996.83	2070(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-420	-350	-468	-276	0.02	37%	-3.2	-29.2	10.37%	0	-1	31	INF

16	Aug_10_2016	9865.85	2544.84	2175.22	2131	2151.42	2052.45	2010(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-559	-290	-629	-347	0.02	37%	-2.58	-35	10.41%	0	-1.2	32	INF
17	Aug_9_2016	10126.97	2574.02	2230.33	2161	2176.45	2167.89	2110(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-397	-10	-435	-281	0.01	42%	-2.56	-37.2	10.46%	0	-1.1	28	INF
18	Aug_8_2016	10393.2	2615.81	2321.89	2162	2190.51	2250.39	2170(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	317	230	402	63	0.02	42%	-2.52	-41.8	10.85%	0	-1.1	43	INF
19	Aug_5_2016	10661.87	2640.16	2443.13	2151	2154.38	2185	2290(10.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	251	100	320	43	0.03	40%	-2.61	-53.3	10.98%	0	-0.9	48	INF
20	Aug_4_2016	10947.69	2660.29	2516.85	2139	2128.13	2130.63	2075(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-116	-10	-113	-125	0.01	43%	-2.37	-70.2	10.92%	0	-1.4	44	INF

21	Aug_3_2016	11213.25	2712.3	2608.25	2230	2178.13	2123.75	2160(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-240	-240	-263	-169	0.02	43%	-3.07	-84.2	11.19%	0	-1.4	48	INF
22	Aug_2_2016	11568.76	2747.6	2741.22	2314	2270.63	2125.63	2115(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-844	-500	-981	-432	0.02	43%	-3.08	-101.5	11.25%	0	-1.7	48	INF
23	Aug_1_2016	11936.46	2805.46	2823.65	2510	2455	2232.5	2115(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1262	-700	-1478	-613	0.02	43%	-2.7	-111.7	11.27%	0	-1.9	42	INF
24	Jul_29_2016	12267.94	2878.49	2891.91	2782	2698.44	2415.63	2230(-11.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-1596	-820	-1880	-745	0.03	41%	-2.39	-108.9	11.35%	0	-1.8	50	INF
25	Jul_28_2016	12568.66	2984.63	2947.26	2949	2969.35	2677.5	2530(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1424	-670	-1683	-648	0.02	41%		-86.3	11.45%	0	-1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.