Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $183600.0000 (2.97%) ($178349.9800 - $185637.5000) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.27% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $183600.0000(2.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(13%)    ARKK(2%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-2%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -4.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-92%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    GDXJ(-40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.635% (StdDev 9.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $177747(3.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $174925.34(4.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162887.89(12.72%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   76.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 12.59% (three month std-dev: 9.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 7.49%(67%) Average negative next day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 15.7%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.32%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	197142.85	162887.89	174925.34	177747	176298.31	177073.44	183600(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40133	10	47207	18911	0	44%	-0.07	79	9.27%	0	1	66	0
2	Nov_20_2015	197279.65	159723.41	173430.37	174407	175546.38	168773.19	178300(9.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27553	-250	-32424	-12939	0	45%	0.01	65.9	9.35%	0	0.8	66	0
3	Nov_19_2015	197266.52	156460.55	173592.53	172807	174402.6	175523.19	162235(-8.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35491	70	-41766	-16665	0	41%	-0.15	61.7	9.37%	0	0.3	61	0
4	Nov_18_2015	197559.09	154517.49	173831.87	175290	176119.13	182319.57	177950(-4.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46624	260	54835	21989	0	41%	0.03	67.6	9.39%	0	1	70	0
5	Nov_17_2015	197505.05	151761.74	171516.49	173740	174018.91	173282	186650.02(11.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19134	-20	22491	9061	0	41%	0.11	68.9	9.4%	0	1.4	80	0

6	Nov_16_2015	197290.41	148156.49	167536.48	171900	172577.88	169918.69	166900(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28864	-100	-33979	-13517	0	39%	0.05	66.2	9.35%	0	0.8	79	0
7	Nov_13_2015	197194.45	146260.41	165523.74	172350.01	175106.03	174755.81	170300(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4988	30	-5895	-2267	0	42%	0.07	65.8	9.35%	0	1	81	0
8	Nov_12_2015	197047.98	143464.78	163152.75	174550	176140.41	175237.06	174650(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3485	-10	-4134	-1538	0	39%	0.1	64.7	9.54%	0	1.3	86	0
9	Nov_11_2015	196855.56	139936.66	160027.47	172040	177090.6	175456.26	170200(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3630	20	4235	1814	0	38%	0.08	52	10%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Nov_10_2015	196706.06	136680.39	155677.8	168660	173034.31	177043.76	177450.02(4.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	11627	240	13645	5574	0	36%	0.12	42	10.08%	0	1.8	76	0

11	Nov_9_2015	196467.17	134337.4	149996.26	162420	165650.25	178724.94	169150.02(-6.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57761	610	67923	27275	0	36%	0.12	35.3	10.24%	0	1.7	77	0
12	Nov_6_2015	196231.31	132282.24	144965.49	157489.99	158634.62	169024.87	181299.98(11.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88827	480	104475	41882	0	35%	0.21	24.7	10.21%	0	2.6	70	0
13	Nov_5_2015	195824.24	129374.23	137740.11	150290	150497.16	152575.56	162099.98(5.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27323	100	32122	12925	0	33%	0.07	6.3	10.14%	0	2	72	0
14	Nov_4_2015	195681.82	128510.94	133438.79	146460	146860.31	148244.38	153300(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5782	70	6779	2789	0	33%	-0.04	-16.2	10.15%	0	1.7	74	0
15	Nov_3_2015	195767.68	127754.45	130208.24	140720	144278.97	148418.75	146250(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31871	280	37474	15061	0	34%	-0.08	-42.6	10.13%	0	1.3	71	0

16	Nov_2_2015	195914.65	127401.11	127028.9	135460	136532.13	145476.25	144500(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38778	480	45607	18291	0	34%	-0.08	-65.5	10.18%	0	1.2	54	0
17	Oct_30_2015	196077.27	127723.12	125279.23	130210	129954.03	140139.19	145300(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70262	540	82651	33093	0	36%	-0.06	-78.7	10.2%	0	1.1	56	0
18	Oct_29_2015	196191.42	128355.86	122019.23	123200	122775.28	127588	142950(14.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46232	260	54388	21762	0	36%	-0.03	-66.8	10.27%	0	0.6	56	0
19	Oct_28_2015	196252.53	130955.75	118030.44	118720	117190.69	119768.87	124600(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5399	120	6359	2518	0	33%	-0.16	-58	10.12%	0	-0.2	43	0
20	Oct_27_2015	196561.62	134090	116138.68	118300	118056.25	117962.56	119950(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14384	-10	16935	6731	0	35%	-0.16	-52.9	10.13%	0	-0.5	45	0

21	Oct_26_2015	196877.27	137942.07	117451.43	117320	117921.84	114612.5	118250(7.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17467	-180	-20535	-8262	0	35%	-0.21	-49.1	10.19%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Oct_23_2015	197288.89	141988.15	118682.53	119570	118999.97	118149.94	110250(-8.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18414	-60	-21648	-8711	0	35%	-0.22	-44.8	10.27%	0	-1	37	0
23	Oct_22_2015	197730.81	145498.4	120529.89	120340	121274.94	121231.19	120550(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13427	20	15815	6263	0	35%	-0.13	-43.7	10.31%	0	-0.8	37	0
24	Oct_21_2015	197981.82	147980.39	123281.65	117000	118143.72	119850	122500(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2297	130	2728	1005	0	34%	-0.09	-44	10.32%	0	-0.8	31	0
25	Oct_20_2015	198168.69	151749.95	125120.44	113550	114759.59	121318.69	115050(-11.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22114	430	26048	10312	0	40%		-43.9	10.35%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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