Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $138800.0000 (-4.28%) ($135800.0000 - $143400.0000) on Wed. May. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.95% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $138800.0000(-4.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST declines -7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    TBT(12%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(-3%)    DIA(-4%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -3.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-92%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    GDXJ(-45%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.975% (StdDev 7.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $152842.54
5 Day Moving Average   $137240(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143883.08(-3.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152842.54(-9.19%)
To recent high   -57.1%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 9.89% (three month std-dev: 7.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.5%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -10.63%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -27.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2015	190559.61	152842.54	143883.08	137240	137018.75	140925	138800(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29297	190	34483	13738	0	22%	-0.91	-62.1	7.95%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	May_19_2015	192310.12	155108.95	146222.42	136440	135006.25	136650	145000(8.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22598	50	26601	10587	0	22%	-1.15	-61.1	7.96%	0	-0.7	48	0
3	May_18_2015	194547.24	156348.29	147254.07	136880	133843.75	133112.5	133600(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16263	-100	-19118	-7698	0	17%	-1.11	-67.2	7.92%	0	-1.5	41	0
4	May_15_2015	196736.93	158479.23	149173.19	141200	138472.13	133362.5	133200(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23813	-320	-28001	-11247	0	17%	-0.34	-68.9	8%	0	-1.7	32	0
5	May_14_2015	197398.77	160798.78	152347.69	146200	143915.88	134575	135600(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69222	-500	-81425	-32612	0	17%	-1.3	-68.4	8.06%	0	-1.8	28	0

6	May_13_2015	199998.77	162848.4	155339.78	151520	150778.38	143581.75	134800(-8.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-74090	-350	-87155	-34894	0	17%	-1.51	-75.4	8.12%	0	-2.2	36	0
7	May_12_2015	203067.52	164830.17	157349.89	157240	158240.88	153256.75	147200(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31958	-200	-37588	-15067	0	18%	-1.3	-72.4	8.07%	0	-1.4	35	0
8	May_11_2015	205744.6	167313.93	157845.71	159000	160487.5	157975	155200(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24399	-80	-28694	-11514	0	18%	-0.9	-63.4	8.05%	0	-0.9	46	0
9	May_8_2015	207617.52	169387.54	159145.49	158240	159437.5	163225	158200(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6196	190	7301	2879	0	18%	-0.78	-59.1	8.01%	0	-0.8	45	0
10	May_7_2015	209257.1	170870.09	161527.03	159480	157862.5	163000	162200(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37633	200	44284	17678	0	18%	-1.25	-56.8	8.07%	0	-0.6	45	0

11	May_6_2015	211909.19	172960.6	162400.44	159960	158200	155650	163400(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10972	-150	12919	5131	0	18%	0.37	-52.5	8.13%	0	-0.6	47	0
12	May_5_2015	211124.85	174713.31	164404.39	157680	159575	152725	156000(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38979	-260	-45847	-18375	0	18%	0.53	-66.9	8.31%	0	-1.1	46	0
13	May_4_2015	210009.25	176504.48	165863.29	156520	158900	160750	151400(-7.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32529	130	-38255	-15350	0	18%	-1.14	-84.5	8.34%	0	-1.6	36	0
14	May_1_2015	212423.84	178035.64	168355.16	160040	160075	166425	164400(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44569	280	52449	20930	0	18%	-0.95	-94.3	8.25%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Apr_30_2015	214459.25	180181.38	169730.99	164040	161275	157050	164599.98(8.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	5709	-230	6729	2647	0	18%	-0.89	-83.9	8.32%	0	-1	43	0

16	Apr_29_2015	216386.34	181991.44	170791.21	165520	164950	153725	152000(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81113	-490	-95411	-38217	0	18%	-0.82	-80.8	8.4%	0	-1.9	33	0
17	Apr_28_2015	218167.59	186457.96	173016.27	172280	172037.5	165500	150200(-11.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-68948	-270	-81101	-32488	0	18%	-1.03	-47.8	8.51%	0	-1.9	35	0
18	Apr_27_2015	220448.84	190986.35	177849.72	176240	177250	176175.01	169000(-8.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11890	-30	-13977	-5628	0	20%	-1	-29.9	8.64%	0	-1	44	0
19	Apr_24_2015	222671.75	193505.14	180697.67	177520	177275	178575	184400(7.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	43	50	59	-5	0	20%	-0.74	-26	8.67%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Apr_23_2015	224328	194735.99	180982.99	176360	177675	178325	172000(-7.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12680	50	14928	5934	0	20%	-0.7	-32.6	8.7%	0	-1.1	40	0

21	Apr_22_2015	225900.92	196055.1	184306.99	176960	177262.38	175975	185800(9.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1053	-50	-1228	-526	0	20%	-0.72	-41.4	8.83%	0	-0.5	47	0
22	Apr_21_2015	227546.75	196277.09	185565.5	174200	175874.88	177025	170000(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13955	70	-16402	-6614	0	11%	-0.52	-67.7	8.79%	0	-1.3	32	0
23	Apr_20_2015	228744.46	197471.45	187831.43	179844	178137.38	178549.75	175400.02(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7013	-10	8267	3249	0	11%	-1.04	-83.1	8.79%	0	-1.1	33	0
24	Apr_17_2015	231150.71	199145.26	188459.12	184444	182088.62	174724.75	178600(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26908	-320	-31638	-12716	0	11%	-0.24	-93.7	8.95%	0	-1.1	42	0
25	Apr_16_2015	231703.88	201902.17	191403.73	186404	186526.25	177725	175000(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67257	-330	-79109	-31701	0	11%		-98.7	9.02%	0	-1.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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