Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: JDST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 3, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bear 3X ETF)
JDST latest price $250000.0000 (22.19%) ($224740.0200 - $252000.0000) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   50.75% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $250000.0000(22.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JDST advances 7.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JDST advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JDST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    TBT(13%)    VIXM(3%)    UNG(-4%)    XHB(-4%)
Factors Impacting JDST price   JDST will decline at least -25.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-93%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-71%)    SLV(-61%)    GDXJ(-46%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -25.375% (StdDev 50.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $207449.6(20.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $197812.6(26.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $189320.31(32.05%)
To recent high   -41.8%
To recent low   411.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -2.58%

$. JDST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 2.58% a day on average for holding it.$. JDST price fluctuates within 9% (three month std-dev: 50.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.05%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 15.88%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.23%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2015	240000.51	189320.31	197812.6	207449.6	206686.75	220392.5	250000(22.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	24241	450	28516	11415	0	0%	-0.29	63.1	50.75%	0	3.6	75	0
2	Mar_5_2015	240690.09	184497.93	191472.04	192889.6	192065.5	200225	204599.98(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	9227	280	10854	4346	0	0%	-0.49	43.9	51.12%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Mar_4_2015	241877.59	182605.27	189287.16	188289.6	185645.75	192981.01	205600(7.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10055	230	11828	4734	0	0%	-0.5	32.9	51.12%	0	2.1	58	0
4	Mar_3_2015	243094.26	181244.88	186007.09	184329.6	180617.25	183906	191448(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4972	70	5849	2341	0	0%	-0.52	43.8	51.12%	0	1.1	58	0
5	Mar_2_2015	244372.93	180087.77	185557.49	184720	179976.75	178310.5	185600(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1253	-140	-1475	-588	0	0%	-0.66	48.2	51.14%	0	0.6	60	0

6	Feb_27_2015	245997.93	179136.74	184385.71	186616	184126.5	177328.51	177200(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5880	-300	-6918	-2765	0	0%	-0.62	48	50.7%	0	-0.2	51	0
7	Feb_26_2015	247537.51	179654.88	184811.72	189686.8	188626.25	181643	181600(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8578	-280	-10093	-4032	0	0%	-0.45	73.6	51.11%	0	0.2	63	0
8	Feb_25_2015	248668.78	179092.36	185273.78	190086.8	190351.87	190924.5	185800(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3071	30	-3615	-1439	0	0%	-0.93	86.4	51.1%	0	0.7	59	0
9	Feb_24_2015	251006.28	177196.91	184517.81	187567.2	188701.87	195609.5	193400(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6652	270	7824	3135	0	0%	-0.7	68.5	51.11%	0	1.3	55	0
10	Feb_23_2015	252783.37	175633.61	182062.95	186447.2	185089.75	189779.25	195080(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7742	160	9107	3648	0	0%	-0.91	69.4	51.11%	0	1.6	60	0

11	Feb_20_2015	255107.53	174532.37	180392.08	181951.2	182884.75	181794.25	192554(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2961	-30	3482	1397	0	0%	-0.65	67.4	51.12%	0	1.6	60	0
12	Feb_19_2015	256768.43	172540.88	176952.3	179480.4	179275.13	180400.25	183600(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3019	40	-3552	-1419	0	0%	-0.66	44.2	51.17%	0	1	50	0
13	Feb_18_2015	258466.34	170642.1	175340	179960.4	179375.13	183975.25	173202(-7.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	5022	170	5908	2365	0	0%	-0.72	28	51.2%	0	0.2	54	0
14	Feb_17_2015	260335.07	169060	176083.08	180840	179000	178150	187800(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4042	-60	4754	1906	0	100%	-0.76	18.8	51.28%	0	1.3	65	0
15	Feb_13_2015	262321.31	167566.08	174053.63	176960	176500	174775	172600(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-80	-91	-36	0	100%	-0.48	0.5	2737.22%	0	0.4	55	0

16	Feb_12_2015	263579.04	167235.69	173468.57	178400	176325	179850	180200(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	110	39	16	0	100%	-0.53	-14.3	2737.05%	0	0.9	53	0
17	Feb_11_2015	264970.79	167641.44	174053.19	173840	175491.25	178225	186000(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	124	140	146	58	0	100%	-0.45	-26.2	2737.04%	0	1.3	60	0
18	Feb_10_2015	266181.1	167175.47	172311.65	170120	171190	172800	177600(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	80	16	6	0	100%	-0.59	-37.8	2737.2%	0	0.7	61	0
19	Feb_9_2015	267754.3	166414.25	169276.92	170800	169840	172757.5	168400(-6.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	100	42	17	0	100%	-0.46	-57.6	2737.01%	0	0.1	61	0
20	Feb_6_2015	268995.54	167500.99	168770.11	170760	171327.5	169580	179800(14.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	-60	62	25	0	99%	-0.3	-75.1	2737.17%	0	0.8	57	0

21	Feb_5_2015	269812.03	169209.39	168126.15	167960	170123.75	166922.5	157400(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-123	-90	-145	-58	0	99%	-0.39	-82.7	2737.24%	0	-0.6	50	0
22	Feb_4_2015	270873.89	171528.18	167928.79	174160	173137.5	173075	167400(-7.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-20	-51	-20	0	99%	-0.26	-89.4	2737.11%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Feb_3_2015	271570.79	172716.24	165825.05	174600	177337.5	173325	181000(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-110	43	17	0	99%	-0.25	-116	2736.98%	0	0.4	52	0
24	Feb_2_2015	272240.9	174895.8	161658.9	167440	173587.62	173200	168200(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-83	90	-98	-39	0	99%	-0.37	-121.2	2737.1%	0	-0.3	54	0
25	Jan_30_2015	273263.58	179732.93	160690.55	166320	168912.62	181350	165800(-12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	116	560	136	54	0	99%		-103.6	2736.95%	0	-0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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