Trading Signals: JD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: JD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. May. 22, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JD.com)
JD latest price $25.5900 (-3.94%) ($25.2100 - $26.7800) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $25.5900(-3.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JD advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(83%)    MCHI(77%)    FXI(73%)    EEM(62%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting JD price   JD will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.97(-1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.8(-0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.95(2.57%)
To recent high   -21.6%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $38.385b

JD.com, Inc. is a technology driven E-commerce company. It engages in the sale of electronics products and general merchandise products, including audio, video products, and books. The company operates through the following business segments: JD Mall, and New Businesses. The JD Mall segment represents its core e-commerce business. The New Businesses segment includes logistic services provided to third parties, technology services, overseas business, insurance and O2O. It also provides an online marketplace, whereby third-party sellers sell products to customers primarily through its websites and mobile apps. The company offers advertising, logistics and other value-added services. JD com was founded on June 18, 1998 by Qiang Dong Liu and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. JD price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2016	28.16	24.95	25.8	25.97			25.59(-3.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	3	62	15.82	35%	0	21.9	2.9%	0	0.5	69	0
2	Mar_2_2016	28.16	24.87	25.78	25.84			26.64(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	5	76	14.66	37%	-0.04	12.9	2.86%	0	1.4	73	0
3	Mar_1_2016	28.17	24.76	25.68	25.65			26.5(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	5	90	17.27	37%	-0.07	0.2	2.87%	0	1.5	74	0
4	Feb_29_2016	28.19	24.76	25.52	25.46			25.71(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	-10000	-4	95	14.1	35%	-0.11	-10.3	2.86%	0	0.9	68	0
5	Feb_26_2016	28.22	24.7	25.29	25.59			25.41(1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-1	102	8.27	35%	-0.07	-12.1	2.85%	0	0.6	62	0

6	Feb_25_2016	28.24	24.69	25.06	25.61			24.93(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-10000	-2	89	10.99	35%	-0.07	-17	2.86%	0	0.2	50	0
7	Feb_24_2016	28.26	24.71	24.91	25.69			25.68(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	-0	93	10.38	36%	-0.07	-19	2.84%	0	0.9	60	0
8	Feb_23_2016	28.28	24.76	24.64	25.7			25.59(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	3	82	5.6	36%	-0.14	-19.1	2.84%	0	0.7	54	0
9	Feb_22_2016	28.32	24.81	24.4	25.58			26.32(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	18	64	8.16	36%	-0.07	-20.6	2.84%	0	1.2	52	0
10	Feb_19_2016	28.34	24.84	24.11	24.94			25.54(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	15	13	7.53	33%	-0.04	-35.1	2.85%	0	0.5	46	0

11	Feb_18_2016	28.35	24.88	24.03	24.41			25.33(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	12	-17	11.91	33%	-0.04	-45.5	2.86%	0	0.3	49	0
12	Feb_17_2016	28.36	24.92	23.86	23.99			25.72(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	17	-48	17.47	33%	0.04	-57.9	2.85%	0	0.6	50	0
13	Feb_16_2016	28.35	24.99	23.73	23.43			24.98(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	11	-96	20.06	37%	0.11	-63.6	2.83%	0	-0	39	0
14	Feb_12_2016	28.32	25.08	23.75	23.07			23.13(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-3	-126	13.9	27%	-0.07	-69.3	2.92%	0	-1.2	28	0
15	Feb_11_2016	28.34	25.33	24.03	23.17			22.9(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-12	-133	20.21	27%	-0.07	-65.9	2.95%	0	-1.5	25	0

16	Feb_10_2016	28.36	25.55	24.28	23.59			23.24(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-3	-123	12.43	27%	-0.07	-69.7	2.95%	0	-1.5	32	0
17	Feb_9_2016	28.38	25.79	24.5	23.7			22.88(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-10000	-10	-129	16.7	27%	-0.11	-73.7	2.95%	0	-1.9	32	0
18	Feb_8_2016	28.41	26.01	24.9	24.06			23.21(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-13	-119	30.4	27%	-0.14	-82.5	2.96%	0	-2	29	0
19	Feb_5_2016	28.45	26.24	25.29	24.53			23.64(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-13	-99	19.83	27%	-0.14	-97.2	2.99%	0	-2	34	0
20	Feb_4_2016	28.49	26.46	25.65	25.01			24.96(4.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10000	-2	-83	20.95	29%	-0.07	-111.1	2.93%	0	-1.3	33	0

21	Feb_3_2016	28.51	26.7	25.82	25.09			23.81(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-9	-89	20.21	24%	-0.04	-108.7	2.85%	0	-2.2	34	0
22	Feb_2_2016	28.52	27.01	26.1	25.41			24.67(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-12	-90	11.28	30%	0	-109.6	2.85%	0	-1.8	33	0
23	Feb_1_2016	28.52	27.25	26.38	25.87			25.59(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-67	10.92	31%	0.07	-113	2.85%	0	-1.3	44	0
24	Jan_29_2016	28.5	27.57	26.53	26.16			26.03(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-60	11.9	31%	0.07	-112.1	2.85%	0	-1.2	43	0
25	Jan_28_2016	28.48	27.86	26.72	26.41			25.37(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-7	-49	21.55	31%		-85.6	2.83%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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