Trading Signals: JD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: JD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. May. 22, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JD.com)
JD latest price $28.0000 (2.56%) ($27.2000 - $28.3500) on Thu. Feb. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $28.0000(2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JD advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(71%)    EEM(61%)    VWO(54%)    QQQ(50%)    EWY(46%)
Factors Impacting JD price   JD will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-12%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.82(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.52(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.84(4.32%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   27.4%
Market Cap   $42b

JD.com, Inc. is a technology driven E-commerce company. It engages in the sale of electronics products and general merchandise products, including audio, video products, and books. The company operates through the following business segments: JD Mall, and New Businesses. The JD Mall segment represents its core e-commerce business. The New Businesses segment includes logistic services provided to third parties, technology services, overseas business, insurance and O2O. It also provides an online marketplace, whereby third-party sellers sell products to customers primarily through its websites and mobile apps. The company offers advertising, logistics and other value-added services. JD com was founded on June 18, 1998 by Qiang Dong Liu and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. JD price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2015	25	26.84	27.52	27.82			28(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	1	54	5.44	62%	0.08	70.2	2.69%	0	1.2	61	0
2	Feb_25_2015	24.98	26.73	27.37	27.79			27.3(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-4	50	6.4	62%	0.08	79.6	2.67%	0	0.6	57	0
3	Feb_24_2015	24.96	26.64	27.28	27.93			27.49(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	1	60	3.62	62%	0.08	86.1	2.67%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Feb_23_2015	24.94	26.52	27.2	27.89			28.11(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	10	73	3.7	62%	0.08	87.9	2.66%	0	1.5	77	0
5	Feb_20_2015	24.92	26.35	27.03	27.51			28.21(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	-10000	9	69	4.15	59%	0.12	84.1	2.66%	0	1.8	81	0

6	Feb_19_2015	24.89	26.15	26.88	27.17			27.83(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	7	69	4.43	56%	0.08	78.5	2.69%	0	1.6	81	0
7	Feb_18_2015	24.87	25.98	26.75	26.9			28(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	9	63	12.62	56%	0.12	76.6	2.73%	0	2	64	0
8	Feb_17_2015	24.84	25.81	26.57	26.56			27.3(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	4	54	5.81	50%	-0.04	75.6	2.72%	0	1.6	65	0
9	Feb_13_2015	24.85	25.64	26.39	26.42			26.23(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-1	49	3.84	47%	-0.04	67.6	2.82%	0	0.6	62	0
10	Feb_12_2015	24.86	25.51	26.27	26.47			26.5(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-2	53	7.9	52%	0	54.3	2.82%	0	1	67	0

11	Feb_11_2015	24.86	25.37	26.1	26.53			26.45(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	58	6.13	52%	-0.04	50.7	2.96%	0	1	69	0
12	Feb_10_2015	24.87	25.25	26.05	26.53			26.32(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	73	4.94	56%	0	49	2.97%	0	1	67	0
13	Feb_9_2015	24.87	25.13	25.96	26.58			26.61(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	5	81	8.42	56%	-0.08	48.1	3.06%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Feb_6_2015	24.89	25.04	25.8	26.36			26.46(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	8	81	4.9	57%	-0.12	49.1	3.06%	0	1.4	71	0
15	Feb_5_2015	24.92	24.96	25.62	26.03			26.81(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	11	79	4.47	54%	-0.08	51.7	3.07%	0	2	78	0

16	Feb_4_2015	24.94	24.85	25.37	25.61			26.71(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	4	62	7.97	54%	-0.04	53.3	3.12%	0	2.2	71	0
17	Feb_3_2015	24.95	24.74	25.14	25.46			26.32(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	5	63	10.49	56%	-0.08	60.3	3.11%	0	2.2	69	0
18	Feb_2_2015	24.97	24.64	24.96	25.27			25.48(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	58	5.63	55%	-0.16	62.7	3.12%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Jan_30_2015	25.01	24.57	24.82	25.17			24.84(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	-10000	1	48	5.58	55%	-0.2	56.4	3.11%	0	0.5	49	0
20	Jan_29_2015	25.06	24.49	24.68	25.14			24.69(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-10000	2	35	12.25	53%	-0.12	40.8	3.11%	0	0.3	46	0

21	Jan_28_2015	25.09	24.42	24.6	25.07			25.99(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	-10000	8	28	14.56	57%	-0.16	23	3.06%	0	2.3	59	0
22	Jan_27_2015	25.13	24.32	24.38	24.76			25.34(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	8	11.32	57%	-0.12	7.8	3.06%	0	1.6	57	0
23	Jan_26_2015	25.16	24.27	24.24	24.61			25.01(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	5	-2	7.53	57%	-0.2	3	3.06%	0	1.3	54	0
24	Jan_23_2015	25.21	24.27	24.22	24.42			24.65(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-10000	7	-3	7.17	54%	-0.2	2.6	3.07%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Jan_22_2015	25.26	24.24	24.25	24.15			24.34(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	3	-2	4.05	54%		2.2	3.09%	0	0.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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