Trading Signals: JCI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: JCI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Johnson Controls International plc)
JCI latest price $36.2800 (-0.25%) ($36.0100 - $36.4900) on Tue. Feb. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $36.2800(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JCI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JCI advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JCI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(69%)    IWD(69%)    SDY(68%)    IWN(66%)    XLI(66%)
Factors Impacting JCI price   JCI will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.3(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.91(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.29(5.8%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $26.994b

Johnson Controls International Plc engages in the provision of buildings products, energy solutions, integrated infrastructure and next generation transportation systems. Its technology and service capabilities include fire, security, HVAC, power solutions and energy storage to serve various end markets including large institutions, commercial buildings, retail, industrial, small business and residential. The company was established in 1885 and is headquartered in Cork, Ireland.

$. JCI price fluctuates within 6.12% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2016	35.71	34.29	35.91	36.3			36.28(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	5	132	3.36	48%	0	53.1	2%	0	0.9	82	0
2	Feb_8_2016	35.71	34.06	35.84	36.12			36.37(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	4	155	3.08	48%	-0.03	47.2	2%	0	1.1	75	0
3	Feb_5_2016	35.72	33.82	35.77	35.98			36.63(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	-10000	3	185	5.1	48%	-0.06	42.6	2%	0	1.4	78	0
4	Feb_4_2016	35.74	33.57	35.34	35.86			36.34(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	-10000	7	192	4.53	48%	-0.06	38.1	1.99%	0	1.4	77	0
5	Feb_3_2016	35.76	33.37	34.87	35.6			35.9(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	-10000	4	185	5.17	48%	-0.08	32.9	1.99%	0	1.3	78	0

6	Feb_2_2016	35.79	33.21	34.42	35.46			35.34(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-10000	-1	177	4.37	50%	-0.06	30.5	1.98%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Feb_1_2016	35.81	33.09	34.1	35.51			35.69(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	-0	187	3.57	50%	-0.06	31.9	1.99%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Jan_29_2016	35.83	32.96	33.7	35.52			36.01(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	-10000	23	205	4.98	50%	-0.06	32.5	1.98%	0	1.8	74	0
9	Jan_28_2016	35.85	32.82	33.25	34.73			35.06(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	-10000	22	167	4.6	47%	-0.06	22.8	1.95%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Jan_27_2016	35.87	32.76	32.87	33.99			35.2(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	-10000	24	118	6.55	45%	-0.08	14.5	1.96%	0	1.7	64	0

11	Jan_26_2016	35.9	32.67	32.52	33.2			35.58(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	-10000	23	69	8.05	45%	-0.03	3.7	1.96%	0	2.2	63	0
12	Jan_25_2016	35.91	32.55	32.11	32.48			35.76(11.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	24	-10000	26	19	22.87	45%	-0.03	-9.6	1.96%	0	2.7	60	0
13	Jan_22_2016	35.92	32.43	31.66	31.67			32.03(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	4	-75	2.12	35%	-0.17	-35.9	1.26%	0	-0.4	35	0
14	Jan_21_2016	35.98	32.48	31.63	31.59			31.4(0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-10000	2	-106	2.98	30%	-0.19	-37.5	1.3%	0	-1.1	25	0
15	Jan_20_2016	36.05	32.55	31.74	31.55			31.23(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-8	-135	4.57	30%	-0.17	-40.9	1.3%	0	-1.3	20	0

16	Jan_19_2016	36.11	32.62	31.9	31.71			31.96(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	2	-133	4.57	32%	-0.22	-46.5	1.29%	0	-0.7	31	0
17	Jan_15_2016	36.19	32.66	32.02	31.66			31.72(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	0	-145	4.02	32%	-0.19	-59.1	1.28%	0	-1	30	0
18	Jan_14_2016	36.26	32.76	32.18	31.65			31.64(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-10000	-1	-152	3.92	32%	-0.14	-67.3	1.29%	0	-1.3	27	0
19	Jan_13_2016	36.31	32.85	32.38	31.68			31.21(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-13	-153	3.16	29%	-0.16	-75.2	1.28%	0	-1.9	32	0
20	Jan_12_2016	36.37	32.96	32.67	31.95			32.01(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-9	-116	4.44	31%	-0.11	-87.6	1.25%	0	-1.2	46	0

21	Jan_11_2016	36.41	33.06	32.84	32.13			31.71(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-15	-89	3.6	31%	-0.16	-94.6	1.25%	0	-1.8	48	0
22	Jan_8_2016	36.47	33.2	33.04	32.44			31.7(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-17	-54	3.26	35%	-0.19	-94.3	1.25%	0	-2.1	43	0
23	Jan_7_2016	36.54	33.36	33.26	32.78			31.75(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-18	-26	3.12	35%	-0.22	-91.5	1.28%	0	-2.4	36	0
24	Jan_6_2016	36.62	33.51	33.43	33.17			32.58(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-10000	-16	4	5.87	37%	-0.19	-91.8	1.25%	0	-1.4	45	0
25	Jan_5_2016	36.69	33.65	33.46	33.5			32.89(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-8	25	3.28	40%		-86.9	1.26%	0	-1.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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