Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $118.2500 (0.73%) ($116.5600 - $118.4200) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $118.2500(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(97%)    IWO(97%)    IWD(90%)    IVE(88%)    SPY(87%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.01(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.13(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.84(1.21%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.9
One Month Target Price   > $121.32
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $113.68

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.6% away from the target price of 121.32.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2015	117.21	116.84	116.13	117.01			118.25(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	10	-17	24.99	57%	-0.05	35.8	1.26%	0	0.9	48	0
2	Nov_23_2015	117.27	116.62	116.08	116.28			117.39(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	6	-34	22.72	57%	0	18.8	1.35%	0	0.5	45	0
3	Nov_20_2015	117.27	116.51	116.09	115.82			116.81(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	7	-44	31.7	52%	-0.06	8.3	1.36%	0	0.2	46	0
4	Nov_19_2015	117.34	116.47	116.29	115.27			116.06(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	3	-44	25.51	51%	-0.08	0	1.39%	0	-0.3	54	0
5	Nov_18_2015	117.43	116.41	116.51	115.04			116.55(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-1	-43	35.55	50%	-0.08	-6.2	1.39%	0	0.1	54	0

6	Nov_17_2015	117.52	116.28	116.66	115.15			114.61(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-9	-41	34.44	50%	-0.08	-2.1	1.38%	0	-1	42	0
7	Nov_16_2015	117.61	116.34	117.05	115.87			115.05(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-7	-11	28.98	50%	-0.11	14	1.39%	0	-0.8	57	0
8	Nov_13_2015	117.74	116.38	117.34	116.42			114.07(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-10000	-13	7	43.88	50%	-0.12	23.9	1.38%	0	-1.4	50	0
9	Nov_12_2015	117.88	116.46	117.52	117.45			114.9(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-9	29	39.92	50%	-0.11	42.3	1.38%	0	-1	49	0
10	Nov_11_2015	118.01	116.51	117.67	118.15			117.14(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-3	51	22.04	51%	-0.1	51.4	1.36%	0	0.4	59	0

11	Nov_10_2015	118.13	116.31	117.68	118.38			118.17(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	-0	71	21.89	52%	-0.09	49.7	1.36%	0	1	66	0
12	Nov_9_2015	118.24	116.1	117.27	118.41			117.82(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	0	67	32.98	52%	-0.08	56.8	1.37%	0	1	57	0
13	Nov_6_2015	118.34	115.98	117.01	118.4			119.22(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	10	71	35.14	51%	-0.08	65.3	1.36%	0	1.9	61	0
14	Nov_5_2015	118.43	115.79	116.66	117.62			118.38(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	55	27.14	51%	-0.06	73.8	1.37%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Nov_4_2015	118.5	115.63	116.29	117.12			118.29(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	3	41	25.7	51%	-0.08	90.9	1.37%	0	1.9	58	0

16	Nov_3_2015	118.59	115.43	115.83	116.88			118.35(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	11	43	28.63	51%	-0.06	105	1.37%	0	2.1	66	0
17	Nov_2_2015	118.66	115.14	115.51	115.97			117.74(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	7	28	33.84	51%	-0.07	113.5	1.37%	0	2	60	0
18	Oct_30_2015	118.74	114.91	115.27	115.44			115.34(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-1	14	28.02	48%	-0.09	107.2	1.35%	0	0.3	49	0
19	Oct_29_2015	118.85	114.69	115.28	115.54			115.87(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	3	17	27.25	48%	-0.08	82.8	1.35%	0	0.6	50	0
20	Oct_28_2015	118.95	114.37	115.24	115.31			117.12(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	9	15	65.53	49%	-0.07	61.8	1.34%	0	1.3	54	0

21	Oct_27_2015	119.03	113.99	114.82	114.63			113.8(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-5	-11	38.19	45%	-0.09	38.5	1.3%	0	-0.1	49	0
22	Oct_26_2015	119.14	113.71	114.86	114.97			115.06(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-2	3	19.78	45%	-0.08	28.4	1.29%	0	0.5	61	0
23	Oct_23_2015	119.24	113.39	114.9	115.08			115.85(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	1	16	40.17	43%	-0.08	17.8	1.3%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Oct_22_2015	119.33	113.16	114.86	115			114.72(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-2	32	36.88	43%	-0.09	10	1.3%	0	0.6	65	0
25	Oct_21_2015	119.44	113.08	114.94	115.17			113.72(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	2	62	34.06	43%		4.8	1.3%	0	0.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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