Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $123.4700 (0.73%) ($122.5300 - $123.7800) on Mon. Mar. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $123.4700(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(87%)    SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    VT(83%)    XAR(80%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.95(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.59(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.09(1.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $125.57
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $118.91

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.7% away from the target price of 125.57.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2015	116.89	121.09	122.59	122.95			123.47(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	-10000	3	67	29.68	60%	0.16	71.7	1.06%	0	1.3	88	0
2	Feb_27_2015	116.7	120.72	122.4	122.76			122.58(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	1	68	23.82	55%	0.15	56.4	1.09%	0	0.9	72	0
3	Feb_26_2015	116.52	120.51	122.23	122.72			123.25(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	4	73	24.38	55%	0.12	56.6	1.09%	0	1.3	77	0
4	Feb_25_2015	116.38	120.18	121.87	122.48			122.8(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	2	72	17.06	55%	0.15	55.1	1.09%	0	1.2	81	0
5	Feb_24_2015	116.21	119.97	121.56	122.33			122.66(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	73	20.02	56%	0.12	60.8	1.09%	0	1.3	75	0

6	Feb_23_2015	116.07	119.78	121.19	122.18			122.5(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	80	25.78	56%	0.12	68.5	1.1%	0	1.4	81	0
7	Feb_20_2015	115.93	119.56	120.92	121.98			122.38(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	5	95	30.33	57%	0.12	77.6	1.1%	0	1.5	83	0
8	Feb_19_2015	115.79	119.34	120.66	121.67			122.05(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	96	16.62	56%	0.13	81.6	1.11%	0	1.5	64	0
9	Feb_18_2015	115.64	119.03	120.3	121.15			122.04(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	91	20.45	56%	0.11	69.3	1.12%	0	1.7	68	0
10	Feb_17_2015	115.51	118.73	119.98	120.66			121.91(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	9	82	16.87	56%	0.14	62.1	1.12%	0	1.8	59	0

11	Feb_13_2015	115.35	118.46	119.47	120.05			121.53(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	5	57	20.45	56%	0.1	54.1	1.12%	0	1.9	55	0
12	Feb_12_2015	115.23	118.13	118.9	119.71			120.81(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	3	38	27.85	56%	0.08	37.5	1.12%	0	1.7	57	0
13	Feb_11_2015	115.14	117.92	118.63	119.54			119.45(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	3	35	23.79	55%	0.07	37.8	1.12%	0	1	54	0
14	Feb_10_2015	115.06	117.8	118.36	119.33			119.62(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	33	28.96	55%	0.06	41.5	1.12%	0	1.3	62	0
15	Feb_9_2015	114.99	117.67	118.25	119.17			118.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	6	42	32.37	55%	0.05	39.8	1.11%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Feb_6_2015	114.93	117.6	118.27	118.75			119.81(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	13	46	31.69	55%	0.03	27.6	1.11%	0	1.6	59	0
17	Feb_5_2015	114.89	117.53	118.08	117.93			119.94(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	5	36	32.34	55%	0.04	9.1	1.11%	0	1.9	65	0
18	Feb_4_2015	114.84	117.36	117.88	117.6			118.41(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	5	35	28.6	53%	0.03	-12	1.1%	0	0.9	54	0
19	Feb_3_2015	114.8	117.21	117.64	117.26			118.85(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	1	19	43.92	53%	0.04	-40	1.1%	0	1.3	54	0
20	Feb_2_2015	114.75	117.12	117.64	117.23			116.76(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-8	11	44.82	51%	0.02	-55	1.08%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	Jan_30_2015	114.73	117.22	117.38	117.73			115.7(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-8	20	49.74	53%	-0.01	-44.8	1.09%	0	-1.2	45	0
22	Jan_29_2015	114.74	117.41	117.34	118.21			118.3(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	0	22	39.3	56%	0.02	-35.9	1.05%	0	0.7	47	0
23	Jan_28_2015	114.72	117.5	117.19	118.19			116.69(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	8	-10000	3	23	38.09	58%	0.02	-32.4	1.04%	0	-0.6	51	0
24	Jan_27_2015	114.7	117.7	117.25	118.02			118.69(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	8	29	26.92	61%	0.02	-26.2	1.08%	0	0.7	62	0
25	Jan_26_2015	114.68	117.77	117.08	117.53			119.26(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	8	15	23.01	61%		-26.8	1.07%	0	0.9	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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