Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $119.7100 (0.68%) ($118.8000 - $119.7100) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $119.7100(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(88%)    SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    VT(83%)    VYM(80%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.5(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.63(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.8(2.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $119.71
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $112.65

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3% away from the target price of 119.71.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	113.9	116.8	116.63	117.5			119.71(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	18	26	27.04	52%	0.09	21.9	1.18%	0	1.7	59	0
2	Dec_19_2014	113.8	116.63	116.25	116.27			118.9(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	9	-10000	12	-1	49.04	51%	0.06	2.2	1.19%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Dec_18_2014	113.73	116.49	116.08	115.43			118.63(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	1	-10000	7	-19	54.32	51%	0.04	-15.1	1.2%	0	1.5	54	0
4	Dec_17_2014	113.68	116.32	115.86	114.93			116.89(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-7	-10000	4	-39	70.38	49%	0.04	-34.4	1.19%	0	0.4	45	0
5	Dec_16_2014	113.64	116.29	115.89	114.69			113.39(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-15	-60	62.85	46%	0	-43	1.12%	0	-2.1	37	0

6	Dec_15_2014	113.64	116.42	116.2	115.64			113.55(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-10000	-8	-40	66.36	45%	0	-32.7	1.12%	0	-2.3	38	0
7	Dec_12_2014	113.64	116.6	116.38	116.18			114.71(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-9	-35	44.82	44%	0	-25.3	1.13%	0	-1.8	46	0
8	Dec_11_2014	113.64	116.72	116.59	116.77			116.12(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-2	-16	36.02	45%	0.01	-9.6	1.12%	0	-0.6	50	0
9	Dec_10_2014	113.63	116.8	116.81	116.91			115.66(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-5	-1	45.41	45%	0.01	3.5	1.13%	0	-1.1	53	0
10	Dec_9_2014	113.62	116.89	117.06	117.25			118.17(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	6	19	52.65	46%	0.04	20.5	1.1%	0	1.3	56	0

11	Dec_8_2014	113.57	116.84	117.01	116.87			116.22(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	8	-10000	4	19	32.3	44%	0.02	13.8	1.09%	0	-0.7	53	0
12	Dec_5_2014	113.55	116.87	117.06	116.6			117.69(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	3	11	30.26	45%	0.04	7.6	1.07%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Dec_4_2014	113.5	116.8	116.94	116.4			116.81(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-4	-10000	-5	1	28.63	45%	0.03	9.1	1.07%	0	0	50	0
14	Dec_3_2014	113.47	116.77	116.79	116.73			117.37(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-1	29.15	45%	0.03	30.8	1.07%	0	0.7	47	0
15	Dec_2_2014	113.44	116.69	116.69	116.86			116.25(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-6	-3	31.81	45%	0	42.5	1.07%	0	-0.5	46	0

16	Dec_1_2014	113.44	116.7	116.65	117.21			114.87(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-4	-10000	-5	-0	36.24	44%	0	79.7	1.06%	0	-2	41	0
17	Nov_28_2014	113.44	116.8	116.85	117.55			116.69(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	4	-10000	1	12	21.11	45%	-0.02	132.9	1.04%	0	-0.1	51	0
18	Nov_26_2014	113.46	116.72	116.88	117.5			118.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	11	16	14.64	48%	0.02	117.2	1.02%	0	1.6	60	0
19	Nov_25_2014	113.44	116.5	116.79	116.84			118.06(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	5	4	26.75	48%	0.01	120	1.03%	0	1.4	61	0
20	Nov_24_2014	113.43	116.3	116.7	116.51			117.97(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	8	3	24.57	48%	0.04	91.7	1.03%	0	1.1	62	0

21	Nov_21_2014	113.39	115.97	116.61	116.06			116.58(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-0	-9	43.24	47%	-0.03	78.6	1.02%	0	0.3	52	0
22	Nov_20_2014	113.42	115.72	116.62	116.08			116.44(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-8	26.55	47%	-0.03	78	1.02%	0	0.4	49	0
23	Nov_19_2014	113.45	115.46	116.64	116.17			115.15(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-9	-1	38.26	45%	-0.04	72.6	1.01%	0	-0.1	55	0
24	Nov_18_2014	113.5	115.19	116.75	116.72			116.39(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-3	27	33.72	49%	-0.02	78.9	1%	0	0.5	68	0
25	Nov_17_2014	113.52	114.91	116.71	116.92			115.72(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	29.85	49%		81.8	1.01%	0	0.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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