Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $116.5600 (1.47%) ($115.8800 - $116.9600) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $116.5600(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    VT(83%)    XAR(80%)    XLF(78%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.1(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.22(3.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.57(6.38%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.1
One Month Target Price   > $116.56
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $110.56

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.4% away from the target price of 116.56.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2014	113.6	109.57	112.22	114.1			116.56(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	-10000	19	217	53.13	48%	0.01	41.9	1.03%	0	2.1	87	0
2	Oct_30_2014	113.59	109.18	111.3	113			114.87(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	-10000	13	197	59.05	46%	-0.01	35.2	1.05%	0	2	83	0
3	Oct_29_2014	113.6	108.85	110.58	112.21			113.9(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	-10000	17	188	67.14	46%	-0.03	28.7	1.05%	0	2	74	0
4	Oct_28_2014	113.63	108.52	109.85	111.22			114.17(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	-10000	13	150	84.92	46%	-0.02	11.7	1.05%	0	2.4	61	0
5	Oct_27_2014	113.65	108.24	108.97	110.49			111.01(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	130	31.13	42%	-0.04	-1.1	0.99%	0	1.4	61	0

6	Oct_24_2014	113.7	108.21	108.32	110.03			111.07(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	13	98	41.93	41%	-0.04	-10.1	0.99%	0	1.4	54	0
7	Oct_23_2014	113.74	108.18	107.69	109.32			110.88(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	12	51	60.8	41%	-0.02	-26.8	0.99%	0	1.4	51	0
8	Oct_22_2014	113.76	108.11	107.18	108.7			108.95(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	9	17	48.8	39%	-0.03	-45.5	0.97%	0	0.4	49	0
9	Oct_21_2014	113.79	108.24	107.14	108.23			110.53(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	19	12	44.75	40%	-0.01	-55.8	0.96%	0	1.1	56	0
10	Oct_20_2014	113.8	108.25	106.74	107.23			108.74(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	18	-34	34.92	37%	-0.04	-71.4	0.94%	0	0.2	47	0

11	Oct_17_2014	113.85	108.41	106.69	106.35			107.48(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	11	-79	72.67	36%	-0.05	-77	0.95%	0	-0.4	39	0
12	Oct_16_2014	113.91	108.71	106.87	105.8			107.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-21	-10000	7	-106	100.54	36%	-0.04	-75.6	0.96%	0	-0.3	40	0
13	Oct_15_2014	113.96	109.07	106.94	105.45			106.6(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-40	-10000	-9	-134	117.51	33%	-0.06	-76.1	0.95%	0	-0.8	40	0
14	Oct_14_2014	114.03	109.46	107.06	105.92			105.54(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-5	-142	70.04	31%	-0.07	-71.9	0.95%	0	-1.2	33	0
15	Oct_13_2014	114.11	109.9	107.44	106.2			104.32(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-17	-152	72.05	29%	-0.07	-72.2	0.94%	0	-1.8	32	0

16	Oct_10_2014	114.19	110.41	108.11	107.07			104.74(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-10000	-20	-134	66.58	28%	-0.05	-71.7	0.94%	0	-1.9	30	0
17	Oct_9_2014	114.25	110.95	108.77	108.06			106.03(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-11	-117	60.79	29%	-0.03	-66.8	0.93%	0	-1.7	29	0
18	Oct_8_2014	114.29	111.48	109.2	108.62			108.97(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	5	-129	51.6	30%	0	-63.8	0.88%	0	-0.9	30	0
19	Oct_7_2014	114.29	111.81	109.48	108.38			106.92(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-11	-166	40.28	25%	-0.03	-67.3	0.85%	0	-1.7	26	0
20	Oct_6_2014	114.33	112.24	109.93	108.87			108.71(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-10000	-10	-168	35.57	26%	-0.01	-69.2	0.85%	0	-1.3	31	0

21	Oct_3_2014	114.34	112.63	110.29	109.33			109.65(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-10000	-6	-164	44.04	27%	0.01	-66.3	0.85%	0	-1.1	34	0
22	Oct_2_2014	114.33	112.97	110.7	109.63			108.83(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-6	-164	71.83	27%	-0.01	-63.8	0.85%	0	-1.5	28	0
23	Oct_1_2014	114.34	113.34	111.33	109.89			107.8(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-56	-10000	-18	-171	88.63	27%	-0.03	-65.5	0.84%	0	-2.1	21	0
24	Sep_30_2014	114.38	113.79	112.04	110.73			109.35(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-8	-147	55.6	28%	-0.03	-63.8	0.84%	0	-1.9	27	0
25	Sep_29_2014	114.41	114.19	112.56	111.12			111.03(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-6	-141	30.62	30%		-62.8	0.83%	0	-1.5	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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