Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $115.4400 (0.35%) ($115.0600 - $115.7300) on Tue. Aug. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $115.4400(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    VT(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLF(78%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.18(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.28(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.02(2.14%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2014	113.82	113.02	113.28	114.18			115.44(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	12	86	22.69	49%	-0.01	9.8	0.85%	0	1.8	54	0
2	Aug_18_2014	113.83	112.96	112.86	113.61			115.04(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	7	53	33.29	49%	0.01	-1.8	0.86%	0	1.6	55	0
3	Aug_15_2014	113.82	112.88	112.51	113.27			113.39(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	5	35	53.72	45%	-0.01	-16.5	0.84%	0	0.4	51	0
4	Aug_14_2014	113.83	112.91	112.24	113.04			113.61(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	10	12	20.88	42%	-0.02	-24.8	0.85%	0	0.6	48	0
5	Aug_13_2014	113.85	112.86	112.24	112.56			113.44(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	7	-25	23.13	42%	-0.03	-44.6	0.87%	0	0.5	43	0

6	Aug_12_2014	113.88	112.88	111.99	112.22			112.56(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	5	-43	31.19	47%	-0.04	-59.1	0.88%	0	-0.2	38	0
7	Aug_11_2014	113.93	112.98	112.05	111.98			113.34(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	7	-57	31	47%	-0.04	-64.8	0.92%	0	0.3	41	0
8	Aug_8_2014	113.98	113.08	111.99	111.65			112.27(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	6	-73	32.67	44%	-0.06	-75.4	0.91%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Aug_7_2014	114.05	113.22	112.11	111.65			111.19(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	0	-90	40.85	41%	-0.07	-94	0.92%	0	-1.3	34	0
10	Aug_6_2014	114.13	113.42	112.44	111.33			111.73(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-85	33.66	39%	-0.07	-102.2	0.91%	0	-1.1	48	0

11	Aug_5_2014	114.21	113.65	112.74	111.74			111.38(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-7	-67	44.37	39%	-0.06	-102.8	0.94%	0	-1.4	39	0
12	Aug_4_2014	114.28	113.9	113.07	112.13			111.66(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-5	-54	34.65	39%	-0.05	-98	0.94%	0	-1.3	39	0
13	Aug_1_2014	114.34	114.2	113.3	112.41			110.68(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-11	-59	67.81	39%	-0.06	-99.3	0.93%	0	-2.1	30	0
14	Jul_31_2014	114.41	114.65	113.67	112.99			111.19(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-13	-47	61.51	39%	-0.06	-76.4	0.93%	0	-1.9	35	0
15	Jul_30_2014	114.48	115.04	113.85	113.68			113.79(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-39	30.23	43%	-0.04	-62.2	0.89%	0	-0.7	42	0

16	Jul_29_2014	114.53	115.34	113.89	113.9			113.34(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	30.57	43%	-0.05	-46.2	0.89%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Jul_28_2014	114.59	115.6	114.01	114.17			113.03(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-3	-45	37.37	43%	-0.05	-40.5	0.89%	0	-1.2	34	0
18	Jul_25_2014	114.65	115.87	114.27	114.32			113.6(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	46.52	40%	-0.06	-39.4	0.89%	0	-1	31	0
19	Jul_24_2014	114.72	116.08	114.42	114.45			114.64(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	8	-67	31.91	41%	-0.04	-39.3	0.91%	0	-0.7	27	0
20	Jul_23_2014	114.77	116.23	114.47	114.02			114.87(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	2	-105	26.42	41%	-0.04	-45.4	0.91%	0	-0.6	32	0

21	Jul_22_2014	114.82	116.33	114.61	113.89			114.73(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-31	-10000	1	-127	31.33	41%	-0.02	-48.6	0.92%	0	-0.8	29	0
22	Jul_21_2014	114.84	116.5	114.75	113.85			113.77(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-10000	-7	-146	32.72	41%	-0.03	-45.8	0.92%	0	-1.3	32	0
23	Jul_18_2014	114.88	116.73	115.14	114.24			114.23(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-10000	-3	-139	46.17	41%	-0.03	-37.2	0.92%	0	-1.2	36	0
24	Jul_17_2014	114.92	116.92	115.66	114.41			112.48(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-11	-129	62.22	37%	-0.04	-30.9	0.91%	0	-2.3	33	0
25	Jul_16_2014	114.97	117.21	116.33	114.97			114.24(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-9	-109	63.44	40%		-23	0.89%	0	-1.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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