Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $117.2100 (0.51%) ($116.5000 - $117.3700) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $117.2100(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.46(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.73(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.28(1.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.1
One Month Target Price   > $117.21
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $112.64

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.5% away from the target price of 117.21.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2014	110.15	115.28	115.73	116.46			117.21(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	71	24.02	55%	0.15	112.8	0.78%	0	2.1	58	0
2	Jan_21_2014	109.98	115.11	115.47	116.09			116.62(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	12	58	29.83	55%	0.15	141.8	0.77%	0	2	57	0
3	Jan_17_2014	109.81	114.89	115.19	115.55			115.93(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	2	26	28.74	58%	0.13	148.4	0.78%	0	1.5	54	0
4	Jan_16_2014	109.67	114.74	115.06	115.47			116.34(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	6	22	23.1	60%	0.15	126.8	0.78%	0	1.7	55	0
5	Jan_15_2014	109.51	114.5	114.83	115.18			116.2(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	6	5	31.64	58%	0.15	116.7	0.79%	0	1.8	54	0

6	Jan_14_2014	109.35	114.27	114.72	114.91			115.34(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	3	-3	39.13	58%	0.11	89.9	0.8%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Jan_13_2014	109.23	114.03	114.69	114.78			113.94(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	1	-2	45.38	55%	0.1	70.3	0.79%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Jan_10_2014	109.12	113.84	114.82	114.75			115.52(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	17	29.18	65%	0.12	52.2	0.79%	0	1.1	73	0
9	Jan_9_2014	108.99	113.56	114.77	114.58			114.89(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	3	23	29.87	65%	0.13	39	0.84%	0	0.8	63	0
10	Jan_8_2014	108.85	113.39	114.8	114.43			114.86(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	38	30.76	61%	0.12	32	0.84%	0	0.8	70	0

11	Jan_7_2014	108.72	113.26	114.79	114.53			114.71(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	60	28.55	59%	0.14	34.1	0.87%	0	0.7	68	0
12	Jan_6_2014	108.57	113.15	114.72	114.6			113.76(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-5	81	36.2	59%	0.11	33.3	0.88%	0	0.3	71	0
13	Jan_3_2014	108.45	113.04	114.59	114.88			114.69(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-2	107	26.47	57%	0.12	33.3	0.87%	0	0.9	77	0
14	Jan_2_2014	108.32	112.88	114.43	114.99			114.11(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-4	131	44.25	57%	0.14	33.1	0.88%	0	0.6	77	0
15	Dec_31_2013	108.17	112.77	114.18	115.21			115.36(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	2	145	38.36	60%	0.1	36.7	0.87%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Dec_30_2013	108.06	112.6	113.81	115.1			115.09(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-10000	5	139	28.92	60%	0.1	38.9	0.88%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Dec_27_2013	107.95	112.5	113.34	114.86			115.16(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	12	124	20.07	60%	0.1	43.3	0.88%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Dec_26_2013	107.84	112.4	112.82	114.24			115.23(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	9	94	19.67	60%	0.14	46.2	0.88%	0	1.8	64	0
19	Dec_24_2013	107.69	112.26	112.25	113.77			115.22(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	15	72	17.37	60%	0.09	53.5	0.88%	0	2	64	0
20	Dec_23_2013	107.59	112.08	111.84	113			114.78(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	13	44	37.05	60%	0.09	50.9	0.88%	0	2.1	61	0

21	Dec_20_2013	107.49	111.92	111.57	112.34			113.93(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	15	23	48.77	60%	0.08	47	0.88%	0	1.8	55	0
22	Dec_19_2013	107.4	111.78	111.38	111.6			112.04(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	9	-11	32.87	58%	0.07	34.8	0.85%	0	0.3	41	0
23	Dec_18_2013	107.32	111.66	111.33	111.16			112.88(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	14	-35	52.98	59%	0.08	16.3	0.85%	0	1.1	44	0
24	Dec_17_2013	107.23	111.49	111.17	110.5			111.35(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	-10000	-0	-73	32.4	59%	0.08	0	0.84%	0	-0.1	41	0
25	Dec_16_2013	107.14	111.43	111.21	110.52			111.51(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-22	-10000	-4	-75	33.99	59%		2.6	0.85%	0	0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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