Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $110.4100 (-0.1%) ($109.7400 - $110.6000) on Thu. Nov. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $110.4100(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.8(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.39(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.94(0.43%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.5
One Month Target Price   > $110.41
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $105.22

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.6% away from the target price of 110.41.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2013	105.1	109.94	109.39	109.8			110.41(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	12	-11	33.24	57%	0.14	38.4	0.94%	0	0.5	45	0
2	Nov_13_2013	104.95	109.89	109.26	109.18			110.52(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	6	-43	36.47	57%	0.14	34.4	0.94%	0	0.6	46	0
3	Nov_12_2013	104.8	109.8	109.17	108.9			109.47(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-10000	-0	-59	28.08	56%	0.14	42.3	0.93%	0	-0.3	45	0
4	Nov_11_2013	104.65	109.7	109.33	108.92			109.38(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-2	-56	19.9	56%	0.12	53.7	0.94%	0	-0.3	43	0
5	Nov_8_2013	104.52	109.65	109.48	109.04			109.23(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	2	-50	48.15	56%	0.13	63.2	0.94%	0	-0.3	44	0

6	Nov_7_2013	104.38	109.58	109.65	108.94			107.28(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-8	-57	60.46	53%	0.09	55.3	0.91%	0	-1.6	31	0
7	Nov_6_2013	104.29	109.56	110.04	109.32			109.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-36	31.77	55%	0.1	49.1	0.89%	0	-0.2	50	0
8	Nov_5_2013	104.19	109.32	110.18	109.46			109.59(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-7	-23	26.65	55%	0.11	36.4	0.9%	0	0.1	59	0
9	Nov_4_2013	104.08	109.07	110.3	109.81			109.97(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-4	9	31.97	55%	0.13	32.4	0.9%	0	0.4	68	0
10	Nov_1_2013	103.95	108.87	110.35	110.02			108.72(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-10	27	117.04	55%	0.1	33	0.89%	0	-0.1	56	0

11	Oct_31_2013	103.85	108.79	110.56	110.5			109.19(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-7	62	47.37	55%	0.13	39.3	0.9%	0	0.2	61	0
12	Oct_30_2013	103.72	108.66	110.62	110.85			109.83(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-2	96	46.08	55%	0.12	43	0.9%	0	0.5	71	0
13	Oct_29_2013	103.6	108.53	110.51	110.97			111.35(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	3	134	30.03	58%	0.12	46.7	0.88%	0	1.2	85	0
14	Oct_28_2013	103.48	108.34	110.12	110.85			111.03(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	2	151	22.51	58%	0.13	49.5	0.88%	0	1.2	81	0
15	Oct_25_2013	103.35	108.12	109.84	110.74			111.08(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	2	166	21.33	58%	0.14	50.2	0.88%	0	1.4	70	0

16	Oct_24_2013	103.21	107.88	109.51	110.66			110.98(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	6	170	24.72	58%	0.15	52.4	0.89%	0	1.5	63	0
17	Oct_23_2013	103.06	107.67	109.03	110.35			110.39(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	-10000	8	162	32.28	58%	0.13	51.9	0.9%	0	1.4	63	0
18	Oct_22_2013	102.93	107.46	108.39	109.97			110.76(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	15	135	38.11	58%	0.12	47.7	0.89%	0	1.8	59	0
19	Oct_21_2013	102.81	107.24	107.74	109.25			110.47(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	9	88	29.2	58%	0.13	42.4	0.89%	0	1.9	57	0
20	Oct_18_2013	102.68	107.03	107.25	108.8			110.69(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	-10000	12	70	39.5	58%	0.12	43.7	0.89%	0	2.4	61	0

21	Oct_17_2013	102.56	106.81	106.84	108.2			109.44(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	14	53	38.97	56%	0.11	46.2	0.89%	0	2.1	59	0
22	Oct_16_2013	102.45	106.67	106.5	107.54			108.49(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	21	30	34.33	56%	0.09	46.2	0.88%	0	1.6	54	0
23	Oct_15_2013	102.36	106.59	106.36	106.57			107.16(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	-10000	14	-3	42.26	54%	0.05	33.3	0.87%	0	0.5	52	0
24	Oct_14_2013	102.31	106.53	106.4	105.95			108.22(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	3	-10000	11	-20	38.77	56%	0.11	21.4	0.87%	0	1.5	55	0
25	Oct_11_2013	102.2	106.37	106.22	105.46			107.68(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-8	-10000	3	-41	43.2	58%		13.7	0.87%	0	1.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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