Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $97.9500 (-0.25%) ($97.7000 - $98.5600) on Thu. May. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $97.9500(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.55(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.72(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.75(3.38%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $98.44
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $93.27

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.5% away from the target price of 98.44.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2013	91.5	94.75	96.72	97.55			97.95(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	7	135	42.05	54%	0.16	67.8	1.05%	0	1.3	73	0
2	May_15_2013	91.35	94.34	96.27	97.18			98.2(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	7	124	34	54%	0.08	55.6	1.06%	0	1.5	70	0
3	May_14_2013	91.28	93.93	95.65	96.82			98(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	7	110	33.54	54%	0.16	48	1.06%	0	1.7	71	0
4	May_13_2013	91.13	93.6	95.25	96.45			96.76(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	5	111	22.53	52%	0.14	44.3	1.05%	0	1.4	70	0
5	May_10_2013	91	93.27	94.92	96.18			96.83(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	121	39.29	52%	0.14	39.1	1.04%	0	1.6	75	0

6	May_9_2013	90.87	93.08	94.53	95.76			96.1(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	11	124	32.33	52%	0.14	40.6	1.04%	0	1.5	74	0
7	May_8_2013	90.74	92.96	94.25	95.2			96.43(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	19	130	37.67	52%	0.13	40.5	1.05%	0	1.8	78	0
8	May_7_2013	90.62	92.8	93.87	94.28			96.15(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	-10000	8	112	29.92	52%	0.14	36.5	1.05%	0	1.9	74	0
9	May_6_2013	90.49	92.59	93.47	93.87			95.37(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	7	104	26.9	52%	0.15	32.4	1.05%	0	1.8	63	0
10	May_3_2013	90.35	92.43	93.02	93.51			94.76(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	8	99	51.98	52%	0.13	26.8	1.05%	0	1.6	66	0

11	May_2_2013	90.23	92.27	92.61	93.13			93.28(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-1	68	38.84	49%	0.12	12.3	1.04%	0	0.7	48	0
12	May_1_2013	90.12	92.2	92.26	93.16			91.82(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10000	-4	44	120.18	47%	0.1	4.8	1.03%	0	-0.3	43	0
13	Apr_30_2013	90.03	92.17	92.11	93.35			94.1(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	36	30.5	49%	0.13	-1.4	0.98%	0	1.4	49	0
14	Apr_29_2013	89.91	92.08	91.85	92.99			93.57(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	12	22	20.79	49%	0.13	-14.3	0.99%	0	1.2	54	0
15	Apr_26_2013	89.79	92.04	91.5	92.45			92.9(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	10	-14	32.41	49%	0.12	-29.5	0.98%	0	0.7	51	0

16	Apr_25_2013	89.68	92.1	91.53	92			93.4(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	17	-17	36.54	49%	0.13	-35.3	0.98%	0	0.9	56	0
17	Apr_24_2013	89.56	92.13	91.55	91.23			92.79(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	12	-35	41.02	49%	0.12	-50.3	0.98%	0	0.5	53	0
18	Apr_23_2013	89.45	92.19	91.62	90.69			92.31(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	3	-43	55.31	49%	0.12	-57.1	0.98%	0	0.1	55	0
19	Apr_22_2013	89.34	92.26	91.6	90.56			90.87(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	4	-52	49.19	46%	0.1	-59.3	0.96%	0	-0.9	44	0
20	Apr_19_2013	89.25	92.43	91.76	90.41			90.61(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-14	-69	44.93	46%	0.1	-63.7	0.97%	0	-1.2	41	0

21	Apr_18_2013	89.16	92.59	91.89	91.02			89.58(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-20	-67	58.52	44%	0.09	-57.9	0.96%	0	-2	34	0
22	Apr_17_2013	89.08	92.86	92.15	91.9			90.08(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-17	-48	77.71	44%	0.11	-43	0.96%	0	-2	36	0
23	Apr_16_2013	88.98	93.05	92.29	92.67			91.67(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-3	-34	58.06	47%	0.14	-31.3	0.94%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Apr_15_2013	88.86	93.18	92.39	92.78			90.11(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-19	-10000	-11	-43	100.2	43%	0.11	-27.3	0.92%	0	-2.5	34	0
25	Apr_12_2013	88.76	93.43	92.71	93.25			93.64(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	11	-28	41.93	51%		-16.2	0.77%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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