Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 31, 2013

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $89.5800 (0.69%) ($88.7600 - $89.6800) on Thu. Jan. 31, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $89.5800(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.71(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.32(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.33(1.42%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $89.58
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $85.55

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.6% away from the target price of 89.58.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2013	83.7	88.33	89.32	89.71			89.58(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	2	83	36.93	64%	0.06	124.2	0.9%	0	1.1	71	0
2	Jan_30_2013	83.65	88.19	89.12	89.65			88.97(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	-0	83	39.3	64%	0.06	136.7	0.9%	0	0.7	69	0
3	Jan_29_2013	83.6	87.98	89.02	89.66			90.05(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	4	95	37.06	67%	0.08	137.7	0.89%	0	1.8	86	0
4	Jan_28_2013	83.53	87.61	88.76	89.49			90(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	7	93	42.63	67%	0.07	109.3	0.9%	0	1.8	84	0
5	Jan_25_2013	83.47	87.28	88.49	89.2			89.94(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	8	84	34.62	67%	0.07	80.1	0.9%	0	1.6	77	0

6	Jan_24_2013	83.41	86.95	88.23	88.88			89.29(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	9	78	39.82	67%	0.1	65.9	0.9%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Jan_23_2013	83.33	86.67	88.03	88.52			89(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	6	67	32.82	67%	0.08	57.7	0.9%	0	1.2	73	0
8	Jan_22_2013	83.26	86.43	87.81	88.28			89.21(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	9	75	31.59	67%	0.11	60.3	0.91%	0	1.5	86	0
9	Jan_18_2013	83.17	86.19	87.57	87.91			88.57(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	6	89	23.26	62%	0.1	60.7	0.94%	0	1.3	89	0
10	Jan_17_2013	83.09	85.96	87.43	87.67			88.32(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	4	107	34.22	63%	0.08	62.4	0.94%	0	1.3	81	0

11	Jan_16_2013	83.02	85.77	87.25	87.5			87.51(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	1	125	20.88	63%	0.07	65.1	0.94%	0	1	79	0
12	Jan_15_2013	82.96	85.57	87.18	87.45			87.77(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	5	148	34.71	63%	0.08	68.8	0.94%	0	1.3	74	0
13	Jan_14_2013	82.89	85.31	86.86	87.26			87.39(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	2	144	24.35	63%	0.08	68	0.94%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Jan_11_2013	82.82	85.06	86.41	87.17			87.34(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	27.32	63%	0.1	66	0.95%	0	1.3	66	0
15	Jan_10_2013	82.74	84.84	86.01	87.15			87.47(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	125	39.75	63%	0.07	68.7	0.95%	0	1.5	68	0

16	Jan_9_2013	82.68	84.62	85.58	86.97			87.27(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	2	110	27.43	60%	0.07	72.5	0.95%	0	1.5	63	0
17	Jan_8_2013	82.62	84.38	85.23	86.88			86.85(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	12	114	23.77	60%	0.07	77.7	0.96%	0	1.5	67	0
18	Jan_7_2013	82.56	84.14	84.95	86.37			86.91(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	21	109	23.69	60%	0.06	72.2	0.97%	0	1.8	71	0
19	Jan_4_2013	82.51	83.9	84.69	85.5			87.24(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	20	89	29.85	60%	0.08	60.2	0.97%	0	2.3	73	0
20	Jan_3_2013	82.44	83.63	84.36	84.67			86.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	-10000	17	63	45.87	60%	0.08	53.5	0.97%	0	2.3	67	0

21	Jan_2_2013	82.37	83.39	84.13	83.99			86.8(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	22	-10000	15	44	116.41	60%	0.12	49.6	0.97%	0	2.9	64	0
22	Dec_31_2012	82.27	83.14	83.78	83.39			84.32(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	1	22	67.46	55%	0.05	53.3	0.89%	0	1.3	60	0
23	Dec_28_2012	82.23	83.14	83.59	83.36			82.53(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-11	19	34.26	51%	0.04	61.9	0.85%	0	-0.6	55	0
24	Dec_27_2012	82.2	83.02	83.59	83.76			83.12(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-6	43	35.57	53%	0.04	88.7	0.85%	0	0.1	59	0
25	Dec_26_2012	82.17	82.93	83.6	83.96			83.18(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-8	60	24.67	53%		98.3	0.86%	0	0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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