Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $81.7100 (0.7%) ($80.9900 - $81.8600) on Fri. Aug. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $81.7100(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(78%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.51(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.2(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.05(3.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.9
One Month Target Price   > $83.02
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $77.83

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.6% away from the target price of 83.02.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2012	78.74	79.05	80.2	80.51			81.71(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	7	79	33.45	54%	-0.03	20	1.25%	0	1.9	63	0
2	Aug_16_2012	78.76	78.89	79.89	80.15			81.14(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	4	62	46.05	54%	-0.03	11.5	1.28%	0	1.7	59	0
3	Aug_15_2012	78.78	78.82	79.46	79.96			80.3(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	2	53	27.06	54%	-0.05	12.1	1.28%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Aug_14_2012	78.82	78.8	79.15	79.87			79.6(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-1	51	26.06	52%	-0.05	14.3	1.28%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Aug_13_2012	78.86	78.79	79.03	79.93			79.79(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	65	31.55	52%	-0.04	17.5	1.29%	0	0.8	68	0

6	Aug_10_2012	78.89	78.77	78.94	79.82			79.92(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	5	71	26.08	52%	-0.04	12.3	1.29%	0	1	61	0
7	Aug_9_2012	78.92	78.75	78.87	79.56			80.2(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	13	69	24.05	52%	-0.03	3.3	1.29%	0	1.2	54	0
8	Aug_8_2012	78.94	78.67	78.59	78.87			79.82(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	11	33	28.01	52%	-0.05	-23.4	1.29%	0	1	48	0
9	Aug_7_2012	78.98	78.62	78.29	78.32			79.94(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	-10000	6	-5	50.06	52%	-0.05	-47.9	1.29%	0	1.2	47	0
10	Aug_6_2012	79.02	78.58	77.96	78			79.22(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	1	-35	34.67	52%	-0.04	-59.3	1.28%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Aug_3_2012	79.05	78.62	77.79	77.97			78.61(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-3	-47	52.41	49%	-0.06	-54.9	1.3%	0	-0	46	0
12	Aug_2_2012	79.1	78.7	77.8	78.11			76.78(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-3	-49	43.38	46%	-0.08	-36.7	1.28%	0	-1.4	35	0
13	Aug_1_2012	79.16	78.93	78.11	78.25			77.06(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-9	-10000	1	-37	63.6	46%	-0.08	-21.7	1.28%	0	-1.5	43	0
14	Jul_31_2012	79.22	79.16	78.42	78.2			78.35(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	7	-31	48.94	48%	-0.04	-4.3	1.27%	0	-0.6	46	0
15	Jul_30_2012	79.25	79.26	78.55	77.86			79.05(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	6	-42	34.79	48%	-0.04	2.4	1.27%	0	-0.2	48	0

16	Jul_27_2012	79.28	79.29	78.57	77.59			79.32(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	2	-57	67.3	48%	-0.01	4.2	1.27%	0	0	44	0
17	Jul_26_2012	79.29	79.2	78.6	77.51			77.48(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-10	-71	44.75	44%	-0.03	4.5	1.24%	0	-1.2	31	0
18	Jul_25_2012	79.31	79.2	78.74	78			76.82(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-14	-72	37.22	47%	-0.03	11.4	1.24%	0	-1.7	23	0
19	Jul_24_2012	79.33	79.21	78.99	78.68			76.65(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-25	-10000	-12	-62	55.61	47%	-0.04	16.4	1.26%	0	-1.8	21	0
20	Jul_23_2012	79.36	79.22	79.28	79.3			77.67(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-7	-47	47.37	46%	-0.04	24.5	1.25%	0	-1	35	0

21	Jul_20_2012	79.39	79.23	79.55	79.66			78.93(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-3	-31	42.32	48%	-0.04	32.4	1.25%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Jul_19_2012	79.42	79.13	79.7	79.82			79.95(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	5	-5	49.41	50%	-0.01	34.7	1.24%	0	0.5	66	0
23	Jul_18_2012	79.43	79.06	79.83	79.59			80.22(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	5	8	46.05	50%	-0.03	40.3	1.24%	0	0.7	67	0
24	Jul_17_2012	79.45	78.98	79.94	79.36			79.73(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	29	43.66	52%	-0.04	44.4	1.24%	0	0.5	70	0
25	Jul_16_2012	79.48	78.86	80.02	79.28			79.45(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-3	47	31.92	52%		48.5	1.26%	0	0.4	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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