Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $77.0600 (-1.65%) ($77.0400 - $79.0000) on Wed. Aug. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $77.0600(-1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(78%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $78.93
5 Day Moving Average   $78.25(-1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.11(-1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.93(-2.37%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2012	79.16	78.93	78.11	78.25			77.06(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-9	-10000	1	-37	63.6	46%	-0.08	-21.7	1.28%	0	-1.5	43	0
2	Jul_31_2012	79.22	79.16	78.42	78.2			78.35(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	7	-31	48.94	48%	-0.04	-4.3	1.27%	0	-0.6	46	0
3	Jul_30_2012	79.25	79.26	78.55	77.86			79.05(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	6	-42	34.79	48%	-0.04	2.4	1.27%	0	-0.2	48	0
4	Jul_27_2012	79.28	79.29	78.57	77.59			79.32(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	2	-57	67.3	48%	-0.01	4.2	1.27%	0	0	44	0
5	Jul_26_2012	79.29	79.2	78.6	77.51			77.48(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-10	-71	44.75	44%	-0.03	4.5	1.24%	0	-1.2	31	0

6	Jul_25_2012	79.31	79.2	78.74	78			76.82(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-14	-72	37.22	47%	-0.03	11.4	1.24%	0	-1.7	23	0
7	Jul_24_2012	79.33	79.21	78.99	78.68			76.65(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-25	-10000	-12	-62	55.61	47%	-0.04	16.4	1.26%	0	-1.8	21	0
8	Jul_23_2012	79.36	79.22	79.28	79.3			77.67(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-7	-47	47.37	46%	-0.04	24.5	1.25%	0	-1	35	0
9	Jul_20_2012	79.39	79.23	79.55	79.66			78.93(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-3	-31	42.32	48%	-0.04	32.4	1.25%	0	-0.2	48	0
10	Jul_19_2012	79.42	79.13	79.7	79.82			79.95(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	5	-5	49.41	50%	-0.01	34.7	1.24%	0	0.5	66	0

11	Jul_18_2012	79.43	79.06	79.83	79.59			80.22(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	5	8	46.05	50%	-0.03	40.3	1.24%	0	0.7	67	0
12	Jul_17_2012	79.45	78.98	79.94	79.36			79.73(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	29	43.66	52%	-0.04	44.4	1.24%	0	0.5	70	0
13	Jul_16_2012	79.48	78.86	80.02	79.28			79.45(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-3	47	31.92	52%	-0.04	48.5	1.26%	0	0.4	69	0
14	Jul_13_2012	79.51	78.75	80.04	79.43			79.77(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	42.11	50%	-0.04	51.5	1.25%	0	0.6	62	0
15	Jul_12_2012	79.54	78.58	79.82	79.59			78.79(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-10	73	55.51	52%	-0.04	53.7	1.26%	0	0.1	63	0

16	Jul_11_2012	79.57	78.42	79.73	80.12			79.06(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-10	87	40.18	53%	-0.04	55.6	1.27%	0	0.4	53	0
17	Jul_10_2012	79.6	78.29	79.48	80.61			79.33(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-10000	-4	94	49.99	51%	0	66.5	1.28%	0	0.6	53	0
18	Jul_9_2012	79.6	78.09	79.21	80.84			80.22(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	2	99	34.64	49%	-0.04	71.6	1.31%	0	1.1	62	0
19	Jul_6_2012	79.63	77.92	78.94	80.71			80.53(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	12	102	38.53	49%	-0.03	80.2	1.32%	0	1.4	63	0
20	Jul_5_2012	79.65	77.69	78.55	80.06			81.44(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	15	85	42.82	49%	-0.04	73.3	1.33%	0	2	71	0

21	Jul_3_2012	79.68	77.42	78.22	79.26			81.53(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	20	80	32.32	47%	0	67.7	1.33%	0	2.4	73	0
22	Jul_2_2012	79.68	77.07	77.89	78.2			80.48(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	17	59	53.37	49%	-0.01	45.3	1.32%	0	2.2	66	0
23	Jun_29_2012	79.69	76.72	77.54	77.36			79.56(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	8	39	71.66	49%	-0.04	23.3	1.31%	0	2	67	0
24	Jun_28_2012	79.72	76.43	77.29	76.94			77.31(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	27	58.19	45%	-0.08	7.7	1.26%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Jun_27_2012	79.78	76.37	77.19	76.81			77.44(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	-10000	-4	21	38.52	45%		3.6	1.26%	0	0.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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