Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $76.2200 (1.26%) ($74.7800 - $76.2600) on Tue. Jun. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $76.2200(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(78%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.17(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.54(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.98(0.32%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2012	80.16	75.98	75.54	76.17			76.22(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	7	-9	56.6	49%	-0.02	-52.7	1.22%	0	0.2	51	0
2	Jun_11_2012	80.18	76.05	75.66	75.84			75.27(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	7	-14	52.8	47%	-0.04	-63.2	1.21%	0	-0.7	46	0
3	Jun_8_2012	80.21	76.22	75.79	75.52			76.97(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	-10000	14	-13	50.42	53%	-0.02	-64.5	1.19%	0	0.6	60	0
4	Jun_7_2012	80.23	76.31	75.73	74.89			75.94(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-10000	-1	-35	57.91	51%	-0.01	-76.2	1.19%	0	-0.3	53	0
5	Jun_6_2012	80.24	76.44	75.78	74.92			76.44(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	1	-37	48.64	49%	0	-80.5	1.2%	0	0	47	0

6	Jun_5_2012	80.24	76.57	75.72	74.88			74.6(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-14	-56	48.28	46%	-0.07	-82.7	1.18%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Jun_4_2012	80.3	76.8	75.92	75.5			73.65(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-13	-43	50.13	44%	-0.04	-77.9	1.16%	0	-1.9	32	0
8	Jun_1_2012	80.33	77.08	76.06	76.09			73.82(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-21	-10000	-12	-46	76.13	43%	-0.04	-83.2	1.18%	0	-2.1	29	0
9	May_31_2012	80.36	77.43	76.25	76.65			76.11(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-2	-46	59.57	46%	0	-78.8	1.12%	0	-0.9	34	0
10	May_30_2012	80.36	77.69	76.35	76.72			76.21(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	-10000	1	-52	47.89	46%	-0.01	-66.1	1.14%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	May_29_2012	80.37	77.95	76.49	76.68			77.7(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	6	-64	51.17	47%	0.11	-58.2	1.12%	0	-0.1	40	0
12	May_25_2012	80.28	78.12	76.48	76.43			76.59(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	9	-84	33.85	44%	0.01	-50	1.1%	0	-0.7	32	0
13	May_24_2012	80.27	78.4	76.68	76.05			76.64(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	6	-103	54.58	44%	0.02	-49.3	1.1%	0	-0.8	35	0
14	May_23_2012	80.25	78.65	76.91	75.8			76.48(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-3	-127	66.98	44%	0.02	-49.1	1.1%	0	-1	27	0
15	May_22_2012	80.23	78.87	77.13	75.94			75.99(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-42	-10000	-8	-142	59.69	44%	-0.05	-47.8	1.12%	0	-1.3	21	0

16	May_21_2012	80.27	79.07	77.45	76.28			76.45(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-7	-145	61.39	44%	0.02	-48.5	1.12%	0	-1.3	24	0
17	May_18_2012	80.25	79.22	77.73	76.56			74.69(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-55	-10000	-20	-161	77.64	41%	0.01	-48.6	1.08%	0	-2.3	10	0
18	May_17_2012	80.24	79.52	78.19	77.4			75.4(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-51	-10000	-18	-150	71.67	41%	0.02	-42.3	1.08%	0	-2.4	10	0
19	May_16_2012	80.22	79.76	78.72	78.14			77.16(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-10000	-8	-131	52.66	47%	0.04	-39.8	1.05%	0	-1.9	21	0
20	May_15_2012	80.19	79.93	79.18	78.47			77.71(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-7	-113	54.32	47%	-0.04	-34.4	1.07%	0	-1.7	31	0

21	May_14_2012	80.22	80.09	79.56	78.78			77.85(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-7	-91	51.22	47%	0.04	-21.1	1.08%	0	-1.9	43	0
22	May_11_2012	80.19	80.2	79.92	79.07			78.9(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-65	44.86	49%	0.06	-17.8	1.07%	0	-1.2	52	0
23	May_10_2012	80.14	80.24	80.26	79.11			79.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-7	-53	45.7	49%	0.06	-26.2	1.08%	0	-1.1	46	0
24	May_9_2012	80.09	80.32	80.52	79.41			78.8(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-14	-32	64.44	49%	0.06	-25.2	1.09%	0	-1.5	47	0
25	May_8_2012	80.04	80.37	80.75	80.01			79.25(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	62.95	49%		-24.2	1.09%	0	-1.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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