Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $77.7000 (1.45%) ($76.7600 - $77.9100) on Tue. May. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $77.7000(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(78%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $77.95
5 Day Moving Average   $76.68(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.49(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.95(-0.32%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2012	80.37	77.95	76.49	76.68			77.7(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	6	-64	51.17	47%	0.11	-58.2	1.12%	0	-0.1	40	0
2	May_25_2012	80.28	78.12	76.48	76.43			76.59(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	9	-84	33.85	44%	0.01	-50	1.1%	0	-0.7	32	0
3	May_24_2012	80.27	78.4	76.68	76.05			76.64(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	6	-103	54.58	44%	0.02	-49.3	1.1%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	May_23_2012	80.25	78.65	76.91	75.8			76.48(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-3	-127	66.98	44%	0.02	-49.1	1.1%	0	-1	27	0
5	May_22_2012	80.23	78.87	77.13	75.94			75.99(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-42	-10000	-8	-142	59.69	44%	-0.05	-47.8	1.12%	0	-1.3	21	0

6	May_21_2012	80.27	79.07	77.45	76.28			76.45(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-7	-145	61.39	44%	0.02	-48.5	1.12%	0	-1.3	24	0
7	May_18_2012	80.25	79.22	77.73	76.56			74.69(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-55	-10000	-20	-161	77.64	41%	0.01	-48.6	1.08%	0	-2.3	10	0
8	May_17_2012	80.24	79.52	78.19	77.4			75.4(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-51	-10000	-18	-150	71.67	41%	0.02	-42.3	1.08%	0	-2.4	10	0
9	May_16_2012	80.22	79.76	78.72	78.14			77.16(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-10000	-8	-131	52.66	47%	0.04	-39.8	1.05%	0	-1.9	21	0
10	May_15_2012	80.19	79.93	79.18	78.47			77.71(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-7	-113	54.32	47%	-0.04	-34.4	1.07%	0	-1.7	31	0

11	May_14_2012	80.22	80.09	79.56	78.78			77.85(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-7	-91	51.22	47%	0.04	-21.1	1.08%	0	-1.9	43	0
12	May_11_2012	80.19	80.2	79.92	79.07			78.9(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-65	44.86	49%	0.06	-17.8	1.07%	0	-1.2	52	0
13	May_10_2012	80.14	80.24	80.26	79.11			79.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-7	-53	45.7	49%	0.06	-26.2	1.08%	0	-1.1	46	0
14	May_9_2012	80.09	80.32	80.52	79.41			78.8(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-14	-32	64.44	49%	0.06	-25.2	1.09%	0	-1.5	47	0
15	May_8_2012	80.04	80.37	80.75	80.01			79.25(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	62.95	49%	0.11	-24.2	1.09%	0	-1.1	47	0

16	May_7_2012	79.95	80.34	80.83	80.47			79.3(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-10	7	47.36	49%	0.09	-36.7	1.09%	0	-1	44	0
17	May_4_2012	79.88	80.39	80.85	80.9			79.09(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-7	-10000	-15	18	75.1	49%	0.1	-36.7	1.08%	0	-1.3	50	0
18	May_3_2012	79.8	80.52	80.99	81.56			80.62(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-5	54	61.49	55%	0.13	-26	1.07%	0	0.1	57	0
19	May_2_2012	79.7	80.58	80.91	81.78			81.77(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	4	61	52.1	57%	0.13	-25.6	1.09%	0	1.1	55	0
20	May_1_2012	79.6	80.63	80.75	81.62			81.55(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	8	62	60.49	60%	0.11	-28.9	1.09%	0	0.8	60	0

21	Apr_30_2012	79.51	80.72	80.67	81.25			81.47(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	11	64	38.1	60%	0.09	-34.5	1.11%	0	0.5	65	0
22	Apr_27_2012	79.44	80.77	80.49	80.77			82.38(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	10	44	44.71	60%	0.13	-42.1	1.11%	0	1.1	57	0
23	Apr_26_2012	79.34	80.79	80.19	80.34			81.74(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	9	15	43.15	60%	0.1	-46.7	1.11%	0	0.6	49	0
24	Apr_25_2012	79.26	80.85	80.05	79.94			80.94(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	3	-10	50.26	60%	0.08	-50.5	1.1%	0	0.1	45	0
25	Apr_24_2012	79.2	80.98	79.9	79.79			79.7(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-5	-43	44.82	58%		-47.4	1.09%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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