Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $82.9500 (-0.9%) ($82.5800 - $83.3000) on Tue. Mar. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $82.9500(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(78%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.02(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.19(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.76(1.46%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.9
One Month Target Price   > $82.95
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $78.97

$. The price is -0.9% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.4% away from the target price of 82.95.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2012	76.94	81.76	82.19	83.02			82.95(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	-0	106	43.83	75%	0.13	19.7	0.96%	0	0.9	58	0
2	Mar_19_2012	76.84	81.72	81.79	83.04			83.7(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	66.83	75%	0.1	20.4	1.07%	0	1.5	54	0
3	Mar_16_2012	76.76	81.66	81.45	82.59			83(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	6	48	42.05	75%	0.09	16.8	1.09%	0	1.1	50	0
4	Mar_15_2012	76.69	81.63	81.16	82.31			83.07(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	11	25	58.74	75%	0.14	12.2	1.09%	0	1.2	50	0
5	Mar_14_2012	76.58	81.54	80.97	81.8			82.38(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10000	13	-1	46.71	75%	0.14	-5.6	1.1%	0	0.7	46	0

6	Mar_13_2012	76.47	81.51	80.82	81.22			83.06(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	9	-10000	20	-24	61	75%	0.13	-21.8	1.1%	0	1.3	55	0
7	Mar_12_2012	76.37	81.46	80.7	80.35			81.44(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	5	-62	34.09	72%	0.14	-46	1.12%	0	-0	45	0
8	Mar_9_2012	76.26	81.45	80.78	80.13			81.6(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	6	-71	61.46	76%	0.16	-58	1.14%	0	0.1	43	0
9	Mar_8_2012	76.14	81.49	80.86	79.86			80.51(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-4	-84	43.8	64%	0.16	-60	1.18%	0	-0.9	37	0
10	Mar_7_2012	76.02	81.6	81.07	80.06			79.48(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-6	-68	57.46	62%	0.12	-47.5	1.25%	0	-1.8	43	0

11	Mar_6_2012	75.93	81.76	81.3	80.37			78.74(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10000	-14	-64	80.77	62%	0.13	-28.9	1.24%	0	-2.9	36	0
12	Mar_5_2012	75.83	81.97	81.67	81.08			80.34(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-9	-41	44.33	68%	0.13	6.1	1.21%	0	-2	40	0
13	Mar_2_2012	75.73	82.11	81.92	81.51			80.25(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-13	-10000	-10	-20	70.79	68%	0.15	44.3	1.23%	0	-2.6	47	0
14	Mar_1_2012	75.62	82.17	81.92	81.99			81.47(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-5	0	69.53	74%	0.16	87	1.21%	0	-1.1	46	0
15	Feb_29_2012	75.5	82.15	82.19	82.25			81.05(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-2	2	64.22	81%	0.16	101.2	1.4%	0	-1.6	41	0

16	Feb_28_2012	75.38	82.07	82.19	82.36			82.28(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	0	3	47.69	88%	0.2	80	1.39%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Feb_27_2012	75.23	81.92	82.3	82.35			82.5(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-1	0	51.81	88%	0.24	70.5	1.49%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Feb_24_2012	75.05	81.79	82.18	82.41			82.64(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-1	-6	37.61	88%	0.21	73.8	1.51%	0	0.7	47	0
19	Feb_23_2012	74.89	81.63	82.15	82.44			82.8(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	5	3	53.19	79%	0.24	72.8	1.52%	0	0.9	59	0
20	Feb_22_2012	74.71	81.46	82.14	82.13			81.58(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	1	42.63	79%	0.23	69.2	1.57%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Feb_21_2012	74.54	81.32	82.24	82.21			82.23(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	-0	19	39.89	79%	0.43	72	1.57%	0	0.6	68	0
22	Feb_17_2012	74.22	81.13	82.24	82.23			82.79(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	37	33.3	79%	0.23	70	1.59%	0	1	71	0
23	Feb_16_2012	74.05	80.9	82.29	81.92			82.8(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	41	61.46	79%	0.26	67.9	1.61%	0	1.1	66	0
24	Feb_15_2012	73.86	80.68	82.13	81.84			81.27(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-5	46	59.84	78%	0.18	70.1	1.61%	0	0.3	64	0
25	Feb_14_2012	73.73	80.51	82.1	82.15			81.95(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-2	63	49.38	78%		71.8	1.61%	0	0.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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