Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $82.2300 (-0.68%) ($81.8300 - $83.0400) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $82.2300(-0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    XAR(78%)    XLY(78%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.21(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.24(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.32(1.12%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.6
One Month Target Price   > $82.23
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $75.77

$. The price is -0.9% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.7% away from the target price of 82.23.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2012	74.54	81.32	82.24	82.21			82.23(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	-0	19	39.89	79%	0.43	72	1.57%	0	0.6	68	0
2	Feb_17_2012	74.22	81.13	82.24	82.23			82.79(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	37	33.3	79%	0.23	70	1.59%	0	1	71	0
3	Feb_16_2012	74.05	80.9	82.29	81.92			82.8(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	41	61.46	79%	0.26	67.9	1.61%	0	1.1	66	0
4	Feb_15_2012	73.86	80.68	82.13	81.84			81.27(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-5	46	59.84	78%	0.18	70.1	1.61%	0	0.3	64	0
5	Feb_14_2012	73.73	80.51	82.1	82.15			81.95(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-2	63	49.38	78%	0.23	71.8	1.61%	0	0.7	67	0

6	Feb_13_2012	73.56	80.24	81.84	82.29			82.32(1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-1	70	38.57	78%	0.23	77.3	1.62%	0	1.1	72	0
7	Feb_10_2012	73.39	79.95	81.54	82.36			81.27(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-5	75	42.51	78%	0.23	79.5	1.64%	0	0.6	71	0
8	Feb_9_2012	73.22	79.74	81.4	82.69			82.4(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	4	96	48.72	67%	0.23	86.2	1.63%	0	1.2	79	0
9	Feb_8_2012	73.05	79.45	81.09	82.45			82.81(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	91	46.71	67%	0.19	88.5	1.75%	0	1.6	83	0
10	Feb_7_2012	72.91	79.11	80.73	82.03			82.63(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	10	90	41.62	67%	0.16	89	1.76%	0	1.7	84	0

11	Feb_6_2012	72.79	78.74	80.32	81.31			82.68(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	10	83	34.52	67%	0.17	83.6	1.76%	0	1.9	87	0
12	Feb_3_2012	72.67	78.34	79.86	80.59			82.95(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	25	-10000	9	74	72.74	67%	0.17	78.4	1.76%	0	2.3	89	0
13	Feb_2_2012	72.55	77.93	79.37	79.95			81.18(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	21	-10000	6	64	46.41	64%	0.15	81.8	1.76%	0	1.8	81	0
14	Feb_1_2012	72.44	77.6	79.06	79.55			80.72(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	18	-10000	4	61	67.29	58%	0.17	77.5	1.79%	0	1.8	80	0
15	Jan_31_2012	72.32	77.31	78.75	79.26			79.02(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	58	52.03	55%	0.15	78.3	1.83%	0	1	77	0

16	Jan_30_2012	72.21	77.05	78.51	79.17			79.1(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	3	62	46.33	55%	0.17	76.5	1.86%	0	1.2	82	0
17	Jan_27_2012	72.09	76.81	78.25	78.98			79.72(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	4	66	52.21	61%	0.15	70.3	1.86%	0	1.7	90	0
18	Jan_26_2012	71.98	76.49	77.95	78.69			79.18(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	64	52.76	61%	0.11	67	1.97%	0	1.6	86	0
19	Jan_25_2012	71.9	76.26	77.69	78.49			79.27(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	-10000	4	68	68.27	61%	0.17	73.6	1.98%	0	1.7	88	0
20	Jan_24_2012	71.78	76.02	77.38	78.18			78.6(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	6	67	49.86	64%	0.1	81.9	2.01%	0	1.6	80	0

21	Jan_23_2012	71.71	75.79	77.04	77.74			78.15(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	5	63	37.48	64%	0.14	86.1	2.05%	0	1.6	83	0
22	Jan_20_2012	71.61	75.59	76.72	77.38			78.25(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	4	58	42.23	64%	0.1	94.8	2.07%	0	1.8	78	0
23	Jan_19_2012	71.54	75.36	76.39	77.09			78.2(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	18	-10000	4	58	35.83	64%	0.08	105.1	2.07%	0	2.2	81	0
24	Jan_18_2012	71.48	75.01	76.02	76.77			77.72(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	4	52	49.33	64%	0.07	103.2	2.08%	0	2.3	65	0
25	Jan_17_2012	71.43	74.73	75.73	76.48			76.36(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	3	47	34.52	60%		99.3	2.1%	0	1.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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