Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $66.4500 (-5.69%) ($65.8200 - $70.4000) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $66.4500(-5.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(79%)    QQQ(78%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $73.92
5 Day Moving Average   $69.78(-4.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.04(-3.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.92(-10.11%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 8.29% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2011	80.94	73.92	69.04	69.78			66.45(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-7	-124	110.7	38%	-0.22	-51.1	2.3%	0	-1.2	32	0
2	Aug_17_2011	81.12	74.79	69.65	70.36			70.46(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	-10000	11	-135	66.79	41%	-0.16	-48.4	2.21%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Aug_16_2011	81.25	75.41	70.25	69.48			70.44(-1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	2	-167	79.48	40%	-0.14	-52.1	2.2%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	Aug_15_2011	81.36	76.05	70.81	69.29			71.76(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	18	-184	57.62	40%	-0.14	-53.5	2.2%	0	-0.7	33	0
5	Aug_12_2011	81.47	76.54	71.47	67.96			69.79(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-61	-10000	-4	-233	86.48	37%	-0.15	-60.3	2.17%	0	-1.1	29	0

6	Aug_11_2011	81.59	77.2	72.4	68.27			69.36(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-68	-10000	-9	-244	121.88	36%	-0.15	-62.6	2.17%	0	-1.3	27	0
7	Aug_10_2011	81.71	77.87	73.42	68.91			66.06(-4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-89	-10000	-30	-265	182.38	33%	-0.18	-64.9	2.08%	0	-2	19	0
8	Aug_9_2011	81.86	78.78	74.84	71.15			69.46(6.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-10000	-20	-238	207.87	37%	-0.15	-63.3	2.01%	0	-1.8	24	0
9	Aug_8_2011	81.98	79.49	76.14	72.61			65.12(-8.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-92	-10000	-41	-244	170.16	30%	-0.18	-62.8	1.82%	0	-3	7	0
10	Aug_5_2011	82.13	80.47	78	75.43			71.33(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-74	-10000	-29	-209	188.57	35%	-0.09	-64.9	1.49%	0	-2.5	22	0

11	Aug_4_2011	82.2	81.19	79.3	77.11			72.6(-6.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-59	-10000	-25	-161	130.9	35%	-0.07	-59.7	1.48%	0	-2.8	21	0
12	Aug_3_2011	82.26	81.87	80.47	78.56			77.26(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-10000	-11	-126	114.91	38%	-0.02	-55	1.29%	0	-1.9	32	0
13	Aug_2_2011	82.28	82.24	81.08	79.1			76.75(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-10000	-22	-117	95.67	37%	-0.04	-49.4	1.3%	0	-2.6	26	0
14	Aug_1_2011	82.31	82.63	81.77	80.24			79.22(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-15	-81	93.48	40%	-0.01	-34.6	1.25%	0	-1.9	36	0
15	Jul_29_2011	82.32	82.88	82.03	81.01			79.74(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-17	-68	93.52	40%	0	-14	1.26%	0	-2	36	0

16	Jul_28_2011	82.32	83.05	82.36	81.87			79.84(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-25	-10000	-16	-53	67.44	40%	-0.02	8.8	1.26%	0	-2.3	31	0
17	Jul_27_2011	82.34	83.2	82.64	82.69			79.97(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-20	-10000	-12	-43	97.53	40%	-0.04	37.2	1.26%	0	-2.6	30	0
18	Jul_26_2011	82.37	83.31	83.02	83.33			82.43(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-4	-25	52.21	42%	0.02	67.2	1.21%	0	-0.8	43	0
19	Jul_25_2011	82.35	83.24	83.07	83.51			83.06(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-10000	6	-22	49.77	42%	0	69.9	1.21%	0	-0.2	46	0
20	Jul_22_2011	82.35	83.1	83.1	83.19			84.05(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	5	-39	34.54	42%	0.02	59.9	1.2%	0	0.7	49	0

21	Jul_21_2011	82.33	82.93	83.17	82.95			83.94(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	7	-34	63.41	42%	0.04	57.8	1.21%	0	0.7	55	0
22	Jul_20_2011	82.3	82.74	83.31	82.61			83.18(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-2	-31	40.28	45%	0.02	54.7	1.21%	0	0.3	55	0
23	Jul_19_2011	82.28	82.62	83.42	82.69			83.32(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	56.07	45%	0.01	58.6	1.24%	0	0.4	58	0
24	Jul_18_2011	82.27	82.42	83.49	82.6			81.48(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-8	-2	56.87	41%	0	55	1.2%	0	-0.5	58	0
25	Jul_15_2011	82.27	82.28	83.77	82.97			82.81(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-9	32	75.5	42%		55.7	1.21%	0	0.3	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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