Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $84.8400 (1.42%) ($83.7700 - $84.8600) on Tue. May. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $84.8400(1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(78%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.91(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.78(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.25(1.91%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2011	81.94		82.78	82.91			84.84(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	6	-10000	16	-24	77.46	52%	0.11	-58.1	1.07%	0	1.4	45	0
2	May_27_2011	81.85	83.25	82.51	82.22			83.65(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-14	-10000	3	-66	46.62	48%	0.06	-61.6	1.1%	0	0.3	47	0
3	May_26_2011	81.8	83.37	82.47	82.06			83.08(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-20	-10000	-2	-74	51.83	48%	0.05	-53.8	1.11%	0	-0.2	50	0
4	May_25_2011	81.76	83.51	82.6	82.14			82(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-5	-64	60.01	49%	0.04	-44.4	1.1%	0	-1	48	0
5	May_24_2011	81.73	83.69	82.79	82.39			80.98(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-4	-49	60.23	47%	0.02	-29.9	1.13%	0	-1.8	42	0

6	May_23_2011	81.71	83.91	83.24	82.6			81.37(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-4	-36	50.71	45%	0.04	-19.4	1.13%	0	-1.9	39	0
7	May_20_2011	81.68	84.07	83.54	82.79			82.86(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-35	56.03	44%	0.05	-13.6	1.17%	0	-1	39	0
8	May_19_2011	81.64	84.16	83.6	82.92			83.47(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-5	-49	52.93	44%	0.06	-4.9	1.17%	0	-0.6	38	0
9	May_18_2011	81.59	84.18	83.6	83.16			83.29(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-58	54.52	44%	0.05	7	1.18%	0	-0.7	38	0
10	May_17_2011	81.55	84.14	83.54	83.29			82.03(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-14	-73	76.49	42%	0.05	10	1.16%	0	-1.7	35	0

11	May_16_2011	81.51	84.17	83.78	83.99			82.29(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10000	-8	-53	68.78	42%	0	21.3	1.17%	0	-1.5	39	0
12	May_13_2011	81.51	84.25	84.09	84.38			83.51(-1.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-7	-10000	1	-32	74.68	44%	0.06	30.5	1.14%	0	-0.6	48	0
13	May_12_2011	81.46	84.21	84.36	84.34			84.69(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-21	80.12	46%	0.07	20.5	1.14%	0	0.4	52	0
14	May_11_2011	81.4	84.1	84.48	83.96			83.95(-1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	3	-24	81.33	47%	0.06	0.6	1.14%	0	-0.1	52	0
15	May_10_2011	81.35	84.02	84.65	83.82			85.53(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	5	-9	44.42	50%	0.1	-12.3	1.12%	0	1.1	67	0

16	May_9_2011	81.27	83.9	84.6	83.57			84.24(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-5	-5	45.82	47%	0.07	-22.9	1.11%	0	0.3	64	0
17	May_6_2011	81.21	83.88	84.62	83.8			83.27(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-10000	-13	5	76.5	45%	0.07	-20.4	1.09%	0	-0.5	51	0
18	May_5_2011	81.15	83.96	84.75	84.42			82.83(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-14	39	91.88	45%	0.07	-5.1	1.1%	0	-0.8	54	0
19	May_4_2011	81.09	84.09	84.89	85.07			83.21(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	11	-10000	-10	74	64.79	45%	0.07	13.8	1.11%	0	-0.7	58	0
20	May_3_2011	81.03	84.19	84.83	85.57			84.3(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-4	98	56.08	47%	0.09	31.9	1.09%	0	0.1	64	0

21	May_2_2011	80.96	84.2	84.64	85.74			85.38(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	4	105	48.98	49%	0.1	45	1.08%	0	0.9	61	0
22	Apr_29_2011	80.88	84.15	84.46	85.54			86.39(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	8	97	41.03	55%	0.12	49.4	1.09%	0	1.7	61	0
23	Apr_28_2011	80.78	84.03	84.07	85.15			86.08(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	10	72	43.47	51%	0.12	55.2	1.09%	0	1.7	53	0
24	Apr_27_2011	80.68	83.91	83.68	84.7			85.69(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	15	39	44.68	51%	0.11	60	1.14%	0	1.6	48	0
25	Apr_26_2011	80.59	83.76	83.32	83.99			85.18(1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	9	-10000	13	-4	53.16	53%		53.5	1.14%	0	1.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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