Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $80.8700 (-0.44%) ($80.4200 - $81.3000) on Wed. Feb. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $80.8700(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.47(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.69(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.3(1.98%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $80.87
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $76.79

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -4.4% away from the target price of 80.87.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2011	74.44	79.3	79.69	80.47			80.87(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	7	101	43.3	58%	0.19	32.9	1.01%	0	1.3	66	0
2	Feb_8_2011	74.3	79.21	79.5	80.19			81.23(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	7	94	37.56	58%	0.2	31.1	1.02%	0	1.7	62	0
3	Feb_7_2011	74.15	79.09	79.16	79.89			80.66(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	13	68	40.84	58%	0.2	24.1	1.02%	0	1.5	48	0
4	Feb_4_2011	74	78.97	78.87	79.35			79.87(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	12	27	39.54	62%	0.22	11.6	1.01%	0	0.9	45	0
5	Feb_3_2011	73.84	78.92	78.6	78.86			79.73(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	2	-16	41.16	62%	0.19	-0.8	1.06%	0	0.8	48	0

6	Feb_2_2011	73.7	78.9	78.39	78.78			79.45(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	2	-34	39.94	64%	0.2	-0.8	1.06%	0	0.6	47	0
7	Feb_1_2011	73.55	78.84	78.29	78.72			79.75(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	9	-39	57.79	64%	0.2	-4	1.08%	0	0.9	51	0
8	Jan_31_2011	73.4	78.83	78.33	78.34			77.95(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	-10000	1	-48	53.27	62%	0.19	-12.1	1.05%	0	-0.9	46	0
9	Jan_28_2011	73.26	78.85	78.57	78.3			77.41(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-9	-10000	1	-38	91.03	62%	0.19	-15.4	1.05%	0	-1.5	46	0
10	Jan_27_2011	73.12	78.93	78.83	78.26			79.35(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	8	-33	48.17	67%	0.23	-18.3	1%	0	0.5	52	0

11	Jan_26_2011	72.95	78.9	78.87	77.93			79.12(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	-10000	3	-45	65.9	67%	0.22	-29.8	1%	0	0.2	48	0
12	Jan_25_2011	72.79	78.88	78.88	77.81			77.88(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-14	-52	47.02	65%	0.07	-31.6	0.99%	0	-1.1	49	0
13	Jan_24_2011	72.74	78.94	79	78.36			77.76(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-14	-35	48.15	65%	0.19	-10.9	0.99%	0	-1.4	41	0
14	Jan_21_2011	72.6	79	79.1	78.91			77.19(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-13	-10000	-14	-9	56.68	65%	0.19	12	0.99%	0	-2.1	47	0
15	Jan_20_2011	72.46	79.09	79.3	79.46			77.71(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-5	-10000	-12	16	79.65	65%	0.22	44.7	0.99%	0	-1.9	47	0

16	Jan_19_2011	72.3	79.09	79.49	79.92			78.53(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.1	8	-10000	-4	43	70.71	63%	0.26	82.4	0.98%	0	-1	49	0
17	Jan_18_2011	72.11	79.17	79.5	80.07			80.6(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	55	37.82	70%	0.43	98.8	0.96%	0	2.2	62	0
18	Jan_14_2011	71.8	79.04	79.38	79.74			80.54(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	11	47	38.04	70%	0.29	92.3	0.95%	0	2.4	59	0
19	Jan_13_2011	71.59	78.9	79.15	79.34			79.94(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	5	24	29.7	70%	0.28	88.9	0.95%	0	1.8	58	0
20	Jan_12_2011	71.39	78.76	79.02	79.14			79.97(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	3	14	38.45	70%	0.3	75.3	0.97%	0	1.9	57	0

21	Jan_11_2011	71.18	78.63	78.91	79.02			79.29(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	5	8	42.13	70%	0.27	76.5	0.96%	0	1	50	0
22	Jan_10_2011	70.99	78.53	78.91	78.84			78.97(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-10000	-3	0	55.02	70%	0.25	72.4	0.96%	0	0.6	55	0
23	Jan_7_2011	70.81	78.47	78.85	78.97			78.52(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	5	-10000	2	14	59.5	70%	0.25	92	0.97%	0	0.1	55	0
24	Jan_6_2011	70.63	78.39	78.87	78.91			78.97(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	18	39.4	70%	0.24	91.8	0.97%	0	0.8	60	0
25	Jan_5_2011	70.46	78.28	78.86	78.87			79.34(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	2	30	47.15	73%		92.7	0.97%	0	1.2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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