Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $77.3500 (-0.51%) ($77.3200 - $78.1900) on Mon. Dec. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $77.3500(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(78%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $77(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.99(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.26(4.16%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $77.35
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $72.94

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.8% away from the target price of 77.35.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2010	68.13	74.26	75.99	77			77.35(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	143	43.03	81%	0.18	50.3	1.14%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Dec_10_2010	68.01	73.99	75.6	76.76			77.75(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	9	142	43.31	81%	0.22	45.7	1.16%	0	1.8	79	0
3	Dec_9_2010	67.86	73.74	75.15	76.34			76.79(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	7	136	49.39	80%	0.22	44.5	1.16%	0	1.6	78	0
4	Dec_8_2010	67.71	73.56	74.84	76.01			76.53(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	10	146	40.39	80%	0.22	48.3	1.16%	0	1.7	81	0
5	Dec_7_2010	67.56	73.36	74.4	75.58			76.58(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	-10000	18	145	66.78	75%	0.22	49.8	1.16%	0	2	82	0

6	Dec_6_2010	67.41	73.19	74.01	74.81			76.14(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	13	117	36.18	75%	0.22	54.2	1.19%	0	2.1	68	0
7	Dec_3_2010	67.26	73.06	73.63	74.25			75.67(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	10	99	36.55	75%	0.19	62.3	1.2%	0	2.1	67	0
8	Dec_2_2010	67.13	72.92	73.28	73.8			75.13(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	6	74	42.53	75%	0.16	73.5	1.21%	0	2.1	57	0
9	Dec_1_2010	67.02	72.74	72.85	73.52			74.38(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	10	50	59.98	78%	0.15	78.9	1.21%	0	1.7	52	0
10	Nov_30_2010	66.92	72.58	72.47	73.06			72.75(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	-0	16	68.63	71%	0.16	71	1.26%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Nov_29_2010	66.81	72.45	72.4	73.07			73.33(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	4	8	47.9	71%	0.15	57.4	1.29%	0	0.8	47	0
12	Nov_26_2010	66.71	72.3	72.26	72.9			73.39(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	5	-8	19.01	73%	0.26	50.3	1.32%	0	0.9	47	0
13	Nov_24_2010	66.54	72.14	72.23	72.66			73.73(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	12	-14	42.14	73%	0.23	43.2	1.32%	0	1.3	51	0
14	Nov_23_2010	66.39	71.98	72.18	72.08			72.11(-0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	6	-26	52.2	72%	0.09	32.6	1.32%	0	0.1	54	0
15	Nov_22_2010	66.33	71.91	72.23	71.79			72.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	3	-30	42.17	72%	0.2	30.3	1.32%	0	0.7	59	0

16	Nov_19_2010	66.2	71.81	72.3	71.63			72.45(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-15	32.83	66%	0.18	26.4	1.32%	0	0.5	65	0
17	Nov_18_2010	66.08	71.71	72.42	71.55			72.21(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-4	-1	52.64	66%	0.17	23.8	1.37%	0	0.4	61	0
18	Nov_17_2010	65.97	71.6	72.53	71.76			70.83(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-11	22	39.51	64%	0.14	25.9	1.36%	0	-0.6	57	0
19	Nov_16_2010	65.88	71.58	72.63	72.3			70.64(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-8	48	70.14	64%	0.09	34.5	1.37%	0	-0.7	54	0
20	Nov_15_2010	65.82	71.54	72.73	72.72			72.04(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-7	69	38.92	68%	0.12	43.9	1.34%	0	0.4	59	0

21	Nov_12_2010	65.74	71.48	72.55	73.05			72.03(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-7	77	48.8	68%	0.14	55.3	1.35%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Nov_11_2010	65.65	71.39	72.4	73.4			73.25(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	-0	95	42.99	64%	0.12	65.8	1.34%	0	1.3	69	0
23	Nov_10_2010	65.57	71.25	72.1	73.42			73.54(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	8	96	53.67	64%	0.14	77.5	1.43%	0	1.7	73	0
24	Nov_9_2010	65.48	71.09	71.79	73.02			72.73(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	6	85	48.44	64%	0.11	80.7	1.45%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Nov_8_2010	65.41	70.93	71.58	72.73			73.71(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	15	88	31.66	64%		78.8	1.44%	0	2.2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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