Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $72.7300 (-1.33%) ($72.3300 - $74.0500) on Tue. Nov. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $72.7300(-1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.02(-0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.79(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.09(2.31%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $72.73
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $67.46

$. The price is -1.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.5% away from the target price of 72.73.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2010	65.48	71.09	71.79	73.02			72.73(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	6	85	48.44	64%	0.11	80.7	1.45%	0	1.3	67	0
2	Nov_8_2010	65.41	70.93	71.58	72.73			73.71(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	15	88	31.66	64%	0.11	78.8	1.44%	0	2.2	78	0
3	Nov_5_2010	65.34	70.7	71.27	71.95			73.77(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	-10000	13	62	45.66	64%	0.11	79.4	1.44%	0	2.7	64	0
4	Nov_4_2010	65.27	70.47	70.9	71.26			73.36(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	20	-10000	13	40	60.91	64%	0.11	79.7	1.45%	0	3	65	0
5	Nov_3_2010	65.2	70.21	70.53	70.6			71.55(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	4	12	58.04	61%	0.06	82	1.43%	0	1.7	56	0

6	Nov_2_2010	65.16	70.07	70.39	70.4			71.27(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	2	-10000	2	2	55.1	61%	0.09	84.1	1.43%	0	1.6	54	0
7	Nov_1_2010	65.1	69.95	70.21	70.28			69.82(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	-4	-4	47.36	58%	0.08	70.9	1.43%	0	-0.1	54	0
8	Oct_29_2010	65.05	69.82	70.21	70.46			70.3(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	-0	12	40.46	58%	0.11	70.9	1.42%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Oct_28_2010	64.98	69.7	70.31	70.47			70.08(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	1	19	48.48	58%	0.12	70.4	1.42%	0	0.3	58	0
10	Oct_27_2010	64.9	69.58	70.31	70.43			70.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	1	29	53.52	58%	0.12	75.9	1.44%	0	0.8	68	0

11	Oct_26_2010	64.82	69.44	70.36	70.37			70.69(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	5	40	37.89	58%	0.14	79.5	1.44%	0	1	67	0
12	Oct_25_2010	64.73	69.29	70.25	70.13			70.74(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-10000	-1	33	36.1	58%	0.12	74.6	1.46%	0	1.1	65	0
13	Oct_22_2010	64.65	69.09	70.11	70.16			70.32(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	0	48	26.27	65%	0.05	73.7	1.49%	0	0.9	73	0
14	Oct_21_2010	64.62	68.93	70.01	70.15			69.87(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-2	53	62.49	65%	0.06	69.7	1.54%	0	0.6	63	0
15	Oct_20_2010	64.58	68.7	69.88	70.28			70.21(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-1	63	54.13	65%	0.09	68.8	1.56%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Oct_19_2010	64.52	68.48	69.73	70.28			69.5(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	0	72	64.63	65%	0.08	72.3	1.57%	0	0.6	63	0
17	Oct_18_2010	64.47	68.34	69.68	70.36			70.88(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	6	84	39.85	69%	0.08	77.5	1.55%	0	1.6	73	0
18	Oct_15_2010	64.42	68.14	69.29	70.05			70.29(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	4	73	74.96	62%	0.05	78.4	1.62%	0	1.3	75	0
19	Oct_14_2010	64.39	67.89	69.05	69.85			70.53(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	7	74	70.38	62%	0.09	78.1	1.62%	0	1.6	74	0
20	Oct_13_2010	64.33	67.61	68.75	69.43			70.58(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	-10000	7	76	58.58	65%	0.11	78.9	1.62%	0	1.9	82	0

21	Oct_12_2010	64.26	67.34	68.44	69.03			69.52(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	71	51.11	65%	0.08	82.4	1.66%	0	1.5	70	0
22	Oct_11_2010	64.21	67.11	68.23	68.9			69.34(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	8	75	37.35	65%	0.08	89.3	1.66%	0	1.5	63	0
23	Oct_8_2010	64.16	66.91	67.98	68.42			69.28(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	5	60	59.95	65%	0.08	81.2	1.67%	0	1.6	60	0
24	Oct_7_2010	64.11	66.63	67.75	68.13			68.41(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	61	39.96	68%	0.02	76.8	1.67%	0	1.2	65	0
25	Oct_6_2010	64.1	66.39	67.41	67.95			68.61(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	3	55	43.16	68%		75	1.72%	0	1.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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