Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $65.2100 (0.42%) ($64.2800 - $65.5200) on Fri. Sep. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $65.2100(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(88%)    PEJ(84%)    XLY(80%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.15(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.43(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.79(3.85%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 3.14% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2010	64.45	62.79	64.43	65.15			65.21(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	5	99	61.78	52%	-0.14	46.2	1.74%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Sep_16_2010	64.54	62.58	64.23	64.86			64.94(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	5	108	52.66	52%	-0.11	42.3	1.74%	0	1.2	71	0
3	Sep_15_2010	64.61	62.45	64	64.57			65.36(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	7	113	63.01	54%	-0.11	41.6	1.74%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Sep_14_2010	64.68	62.3	63.5	64.2			64.99(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	7	106	55.81	54%	-0.14	33.7	1.77%	0	1.6	72	0
5	Sep_13_2010	64.77	62.11	63.04	63.82			65.27(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	3	95	60.55	54%	-0.14	17.7	1.77%	0	2	69	0

6	Sep_10_2010	64.86	61.89	62.67	63.63			63.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	2	95	46.97	55%	-0.15	3.1	1.75%	0	1.3	60	0
7	Sep_9_2010	64.96	61.78	62.31	63.53			63.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	4	87	52.5	55%	-0.14	-11.5	1.8%	0	1.3	60	0
8	Sep_8_2010	65.05	61.7	62.02	63.33			63.48(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	12	74	58.87	55%	-0.14	-31.4	1.8%	0	1.4	51	0
9	Sep_7_2010	65.14	61.73	61.64	62.67			63.11(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	10	40	48.88	52%	-0.23	-45.5	1.8%	0	1	51	0
10	Sep_3_2010	65.29	61.84	61.35	62.1			64.33(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	16	51.99	49%	-0.12	-46.4	1.9%	0	1.4	59	0

11	Sep_2_2010	65.37	61.85	61	61.57			63.2(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	11	2	45.82	52%	-0.14	-52	1.9%	0	0.7	58	0
12	Sep_1_2010	65.46	61.94	60.76	60.94			62.51(3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	7	-21	62.59	49%	-0.12	-54.6	1.92%	0	0.3	52	0
13	Aug_31_2010	65.54	62.1	60.74	60.55			60.18(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	2	-31	60.63	45%	-0.17	-54.9	1.9%	0	-0.9	41	0
14	Aug_30_2010	65.65	62.37	60.98	60.55			60.3(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	0	-45	42.41	45%	-0.15	-55.9	1.91%	0	-0.9	32	0
15	Aug_27_2010	65.75	62.65	61.11	60.44			61.65(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	2	-65	72	51%	-0.12	-57.3	1.9%	0	-0.5	32	0

16	Aug_26_2010	65.83	62.82	61.04	60.34			60.08(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-86	74.58	49%	-0.15	-58.4	1.95%	0	-1.2	29	0
17	Aug_25_2010	65.93	63.07	61.22	60.54			60.53(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-8	-101	64.03	49%	-0.15	-55	1.95%	0	-1.2	29	0
18	Aug_24_2010	66.03	63.3	61.37	61			59.63(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-35	-10000	-10	-110	78.9	49%	-0.15	-42.4	1.94%	0	-1.7	22	0
19	Aug_23_2010	66.13	63.64	61.86	61.6			60.32(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-4	-97	55.42	49%	-0.09	-29.1	1.94%	0	-1.6	28	0
20	Aug_20_2010	66.19	63.95	62.4	61.85			61.15(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	0	-92	64.09	45%	-0.11	-16.2	1.94%	0	-1.5	28	0

21	Aug_19_2010	66.26	64.16	62.79	61.83			61.09(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-2	-90	89.24	45%	-0.11	-8.1	2.04%	0	-1.7	35	0
22	Aug_18_2010	66.33	64.3	63.22	61.97			62.81(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	2	-84	61.77	45%	-0.09	-6	2.02%	0	-0.8	41	0
23	Aug_17_2010	66.39	64.24	63.55	61.82			62.62(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-6	-88	54.59	45%	-0.08	-14.7	2.03%	0	-0.9	39	0
24	Aug_16_2010	66.44	64.25	63.84	62.22			61.56(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-14	-86	51.37	45%	-0.11	-12.8	2.01%	0	-1.4	29	0
25	Aug_13_2010	66.51	64.27	64.31	63.08			61.07(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-13	-66	68.24	44%		-2.3	2.02%	0	-1.6	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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