Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 10, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $71.4600 (-1.34%) ($70.9400 - $72.4700) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $71.4600(-1.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.47(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.77(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.53(2.78%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2010	64.08	69.53	70.77	71.47			71.46(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	6	134	93.25	56%	0.11	62.6	1.1%	0	1.3	76	0
2	Apr_15_2010	64.01	69.36	70.48	71.23			72.43(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	14	136	55.15	56%	0.22	62	1.09%	0	2.2	85	0
3	Apr_14_2010	63.87	69.15	70.02	70.71			72.21(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	36	-10000	12	109	62.04	56%	0.22	64	1.11%	0	2.5	78	0
4	Apr_13_2010	63.73	68.93	69.62	70.24			70.7(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	3	83	42.15	52%	0.17	70.1	1.09%	0	1.8	60	0
5	Apr_12_2010	63.62	68.77	69.37	70.13			70.54(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	4	78	49.31	52%	0.2	74.5	1.1%	0	1.8	65	0

6	Apr_9_2010	63.49	68.62	69.1	69.96			70.25(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	9	77	53.07	52%	0.19	82.3	1.1%	0	1.8	69	0
7	Apr_8_2010	63.37	68.49	68.85	69.6			69.83(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	11	60	54.61	52%	0.16	90.8	1.11%	0	1.6	59	0
8	Apr_7_2010	63.27	68.37	68.69	69.19			69.9(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	8	40	71.42	52%	0.16	96.5	1.11%	0	2	58	0
9	Apr_6_2010	63.17	68.22	68.6	68.89			70.12(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	10	37	50.2	52%	0.17	103.6	1.11%	0	2.5	61	0
10	Apr_5_2010	63.06	68.05	68.41	68.5			69.71(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	10	27	52.03	52%	0.25	118.4	1.11%	0	2.5	63	0

11	Apr_1_2010	62.9	67.89	68.17	68.12			68.43(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	3	5	58.85	53%	0.16	105	1.12%	0	0.7	55	0
12	Mar_31_2010	62.8	67.75	68.15	68			67.8(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-3	1	59.82	53%	0.14	97.2	1.12%	0	0.1	51	0
13	Mar_30_2010	62.71	67.63	68.22	68.1			68.39(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	35.78	53%	0.16	94.7	1.13%	0	0.7	57	0
14	Mar_29_2010	62.61	67.45	68.19	68.27			68.18(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	38.65	53%	0.16	94.8	1.13%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Mar_26_2010	62.51	67.27	68.13	68.3			67.81(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	2	37	58.12	53%	0.16	83.1	1.12%	0	0.3	60	0

16	Mar_25_2010	62.41	67.04	68.13	68.22			67.84(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	41	66.98	53%	0.19	72.3	1.13%	0	0.4	62	0
17	Mar_24_2010	62.29	66.82	68.12	68.31			68.27(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-1	63	59.67	53%	0.19	69	1.13%	0	0.7	73	0
18	Mar_23_2010	62.17	66.56	68.05	68.35			69.23(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	6	88	61.19	56%	0.23	67.2	1.12%	0	1.3	82	0
19	Mar_22_2010	62.03	66.23	67.82	68.11			68.36(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	5	96	56.68	54%	0.19	66.2	1.11%	0	1	81	0
20	Mar_19_2010	61.91	65.98	67.67	67.94			67.41(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-2	107	80.55	51%	0.16	69.1	1.1%	0	0.7	81	0

21	Mar_18_2010	61.81	65.77	67.6	68			68.26(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-10000	3	144	71.54	54%	0.19	74.8	1.1%	0	1.2	94	0
22	Mar_17_2010	61.69	65.5	67.32	67.9			68.47(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	5	161	53.59	54%	0.16	81.5	1.1%	0	1.4	92	0
23	Mar_16_2010	61.59	65.2	66.99	67.72			68.07(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10000	6	172	52.88	54%	0.15	87.5	1.11%	0	1.4	92	0
24	Mar_15_2010	61.5	64.9	66.66	67.5			67.49(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	49	-10000	4	182	49.87	54%	0.13	96.8	1.11%	0	1.3	92	0
25	Mar_12_2010	61.42	64.58	66.35	67.35			67.72(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	6	189	61.86	57%		96.9	1.11%	0	1.5	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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