Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $70.1200 (0.59%) ($69.3300 - $70.2900) on Tue. Apr. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $70.1200(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.89(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.6(2.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.22(2.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.5
One Month Target Price   > $70.12
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $66.23

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -8.4% away from the target price of 70.12.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2010	63.17	68.22	68.6	68.89			70.12(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	10	37	50.2	52%	0.17	103.6	1.11%	0	2.5	61	0
2	Apr_5_2010	63.06	68.05	68.41	68.5			69.71(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	10	27	52.03	52%	0.25	118.4	1.11%	0	2.5	63	0
3	Apr_1_2010	62.9	67.89	68.17	68.12			68.43(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	3	5	58.85	53%	0.16	105	1.12%	0	0.7	55	0
4	Mar_31_2010	62.8	67.75	68.15	68			67.8(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-3	1	59.82	53%	0.14	97.2	1.12%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Mar_30_2010	62.71	67.63	68.22	68.1			68.39(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	35.78	53%	0.16	94.7	1.13%	0	0.7	57	0

6	Mar_29_2010	62.61	67.45	68.19	68.27			68.18(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	38.65	53%	0.16	94.8	1.13%	0	0.6	60	0
7	Mar_26_2010	62.51	67.27	68.13	68.3			67.81(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	2	37	58.12	53%	0.16	83.1	1.12%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Mar_25_2010	62.41	67.04	68.13	68.22			67.84(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	41	66.98	53%	0.19	72.3	1.13%	0	0.4	62	0
9	Mar_24_2010	62.29	66.82	68.12	68.31			68.27(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-1	63	59.67	53%	0.19	69	1.13%	0	0.7	73	0
10	Mar_23_2010	62.17	66.56	68.05	68.35			69.23(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	6	88	61.19	56%	0.23	67.2	1.12%	0	1.3	82	0

11	Mar_22_2010	62.03	66.23	67.82	68.11			68.36(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	5	96	56.68	54%	0.19	66.2	1.11%	0	1	81	0
12	Mar_19_2010	61.91	65.98	67.67	67.94			67.41(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-2	107	80.55	51%	0.16	69.1	1.1%	0	0.7	81	0
13	Mar_18_2010	61.81	65.77	67.6	68			68.26(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-10000	3	144	71.54	54%	0.19	74.8	1.1%	0	1.2	94	0
14	Mar_17_2010	61.69	65.5	67.32	67.9			68.47(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	5	161	53.59	54%	0.16	81.5	1.1%	0	1.4	92	0
15	Mar_16_2010	61.59	65.2	66.99	67.72			68.07(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10000	6	172	52.88	54%	0.15	87.5	1.11%	0	1.4	92	0

16	Mar_15_2010	61.5	64.9	66.66	67.5			67.49(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	49	-10000	4	182	49.87	54%	0.13	96.8	1.11%	0	1.3	92	0
17	Mar_12_2010	61.42	64.58	66.35	67.35			67.72(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	6	189	61.86	57%	0.1	96.9	1.11%	0	1.5	82	0
18	Mar_11_2010	61.36	64.22	65.88	67.13			67.75(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	13	183	60.02	57%	0.13	97.2	1.12%	0	1.7	83	0
19	Mar_10_2010	61.28	63.82	65.41	66.64			67.55(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	-10000	13	163	73.66	57%	0.1	86.6	1.13%	0	1.7	83	0
20	Mar_9_2010	61.22	63.42	64.96	66.15			66.98(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	12	148	70.69	57%	0.08	76.8	1.13%	0	1.7	83	0

21	Mar_8_2010	61.17	63	64.51	65.7			66.74(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	13	135	46.06	57%	0.1	65.3	1.13%	0	1.7	84	0
22	Mar_5_2010	61.11	62.63	64.14	65.21			66.62(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	21	136	52.29	57%	0.07	59.5	1.12%	0	1.9	87	0
23	Mar_4_2010	61.07	62.24	63.77	64.44			65.29(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	12	119	47.18	57%	0.05	47.9	1.11%	0	1.5	85	0
24	Mar_3_2010	61.04	62.02	63.52	64			65.12(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	11	122	56.21	57%	0.07	42.8	1.15%	0	1.6	87	0
25	Mar_2_2010	61	61.82	63.25	63.58			64.75(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	12	127	55.63	57%		41	1.16%	0	1.7	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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