Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $67.4900 (-0.34%) ($67.0000 - $67.8100) on Mon. Mar. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $67.4900(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.5(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.66(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.9(3.99%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $67.49
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $63.74

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.9% away from the target price of 67.49.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2010	61.5	64.9	66.66	67.5			67.49(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	49	-10000	4	182	49.87	54%	0.13	96.8	1.11%	0	1.3	92	0
2	Mar_12_2010	61.42	64.58	66.35	67.35			67.72(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	6	189	61.86	57%	0.1	96.9	1.11%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Mar_11_2010	61.36	64.22	65.88	67.13			67.75(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	13	183	60.02	57%	0.13	97.2	1.12%	0	1.7	83	0
4	Mar_10_2010	61.28	63.82	65.41	66.64			67.55(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	-10000	13	163	73.66	57%	0.1	86.6	1.13%	0	1.7	83	0
5	Mar_9_2010	61.22	63.42	64.96	66.15			66.98(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	12	148	70.69	57%	0.08	76.8	1.13%	0	1.7	83	0

6	Mar_8_2010	61.17	63	64.51	65.7			66.74(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	13	135	46.06	57%	0.1	65.3	1.13%	0	1.7	84	0
7	Mar_5_2010	61.11	62.63	64.14	65.21			66.62(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	21	136	52.29	57%	0.07	59.5	1.12%	0	1.9	87	0
8	Mar_4_2010	61.07	62.24	63.77	64.44			65.29(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	12	119	47.18	57%	0.05	47.9	1.11%	0	1.5	85	0
9	Mar_3_2010	61.04	62.02	63.52	64			65.12(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	11	122	56.21	57%	0.07	42.8	1.15%	0	1.6	87	0
10	Mar_2_2010	61	61.82	63.25	63.58			64.75(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	12	127	55.63	57%	0.07	41	1.16%	0	1.7	87	0

11	Mar_1_2010	60.96	61.61	62.97	63.13			64.26(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	5	132	70.97	60%	0.05	34.2	1.17%	0	1.6	88	0
12	Feb_26_2010	60.93	61.39	62.65	62.93			62.8(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-1	134	60.1	50%	0.03	28.2	1.2%	0	0.9	77	0
13	Feb_25_2010	60.91	61.29	62.45	62.98			63.06(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	-10000	0	152	51.96	50%	0.05	24.1	1.2%	0	1.2	81	0
14	Feb_24_2010	60.88	61.21	62.12	62.97			63.04(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	3	145	50.48	50%	0.05	17.9	1.2%	0	1.3	59	0
15	Feb_23_2010	60.85	61.11	61.78	62.85			62.51(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	2	128	58.97	53%	0.07	4.5	1.2%	0	1	54	0

16	Feb_22_2010	60.81	61.06	61.42	62.76			63.25(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	12	114	45.35	53%	0.08	-3.7	1.21%	0	1.6	62	0
17	Feb_19_2010	60.76	60.97	61.02	62.32			63.06(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	13	89	56.85	49%	0.08	-24.1	1.21%	0	1.7	65	0
18	Feb_18_2010	60.71	60.94	60.61	61.82			62.98(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	18	56	43.07	49%	0.05	-41.6	1.25%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Feb_17_2010	60.68	60.96	60.38	61.15			62.47(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	16	20	50.47	49%	0.02	-51.6	1.25%	0	1.1	51	0
20	Feb_16_2010	60.67	61.05	60.25	60.55			62.05(1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	-10000	18	-3	50.06	53%	0.03	-54	1.25%	0	0.6	52	0

21	Feb_12_2010	60.65	61.11	60.1	59.88			61.02(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	9	-43	65.91	48%	0.02	-65.3	1.27%	0	-0.1	45	0
22	Feb_11_2010	60.64	61.27	60.1	59.53			60.58(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	8	-70	51.98	48%	-0.02	-64	1.29%	0	-0.4	43	0
23	Feb_10_2010	60.65	61.45	60	59.22			59.63(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-105	55.72	46%	-0.03	-64	1.28%	0	-1	33	0
24	Feb_9_2010	60.67	61.65	60.21	59.51			59.49(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-10	-110	92	48%	-0.05	-61.3	1.28%	0	-1.1	29	0
25	Feb_8_2010	60.7	61.89	60.38	59.91			58.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-38	-10000	-11	-119	61.59	46%		-55.6	1.29%	0	-1.7	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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