Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $63.7600 (-0.34%) ($63.4900 - $64.1800) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $63.7600(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.32(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.11(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.89(3.02%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $64.14
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $59.65

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.6% away from the target price of 64.14.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2010	59.76	61.89	63.11	63.32			63.76(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	2	78	55.52	59%	0.15	74.3	1.4%	0	1.3	70	0
2	Jan_4_2010	59.67	61.72	62.87	63.22			63.98(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	3	82	42.87	59%	0.17	85	1.41%	0	1.7	76	0
3	Dec_31_2009	59.57	61.47	62.54	63.1			62.44(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-3	85	34.41	53%	0.08	81.2	1.39%	0	0.7	74	0
4	Dec_30_2009	59.52	61.34	62.44	63.23			63.19(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	3	101	45.27	53%	0.12	84.6	1.43%	0	1.3	78	0
5	Dec_29_2009	59.45	61.13	62.21	63.11			63.23(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	6	105	24.09	53%	0.12	80.8	1.44%	0	1.5	76	0

6	Dec_28_2009	59.38	60.87	62	62.86			63.26(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	9	103	35.79	55%	0.17	72.3	1.44%	0	1.6	70	0
7	Dec_24_2009	59.28	60.59	61.69	62.44			63.36(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	12	88	16.52	53%	0.1	59.3	1.46%	0	1.9	71	0
8	Dec_23_2009	59.22	60.38	61.31	61.9			63.12(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	24	-10000	8	70	49.51	53%	0.1	51.6	1.48%	0	2	77	0
9	Dec_22_2009	59.16	60.18	60.98	61.53			62.57(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	7	58	38.75	53%	0.12	46.7	1.49%	0	2	67	0
10	Dec_21_2009	59.09	60.02	60.71	61.2			61.99(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	4	53	47.66	53%	0.1	41.6	1.48%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Dec_18_2009	59.03	59.84	60.55	61.02			61.18(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	62	63.88	53%	0.08	38.9	1.47%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Dec_17_2009	58.98	59.72	60.47	60.82			60.62(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	5	74	60.92	53%	0.1	36.6	1.47%	0	0.9	71	0
13	Dec_16_2009	58.92	59.68	60.32	60.61			61.3(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	67	56.55	55%	0.12	36	1.46%	0	1.7	60	0
14	Dec_15_2009	58.85	59.62	60.15	60.32			60.91(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	4	58	55.38	55%	0.09	37.6	1.48%	0	1.4	58	0
15	Dec_14_2009	58.8	59.58	59.96	60.15			61.08(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	2	47	48.25	55%	0.12	38.9	1.49%	0	1.7	57	0

16	Dec_11_2009	58.73	59.46	59.66	60.04			60.17(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-1	40	50.55	54%	0.09	42.2	1.48%	0	0.9	59	0
17	Dec_10_2009	58.68	59.36	59.42	60.09			59.61(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	3	38	54.32	54%	0.12	43.6	1.48%	0	0.3	56	0
18	Dec_9_2009	58.61	59.34	59.39	59.96			59.85(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	28	55.54	55%	0.14	55.7	1.48%	0	0.6	48	0
19	Dec_8_2009	58.53	59.29	59.33	59.92			60.04(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	5	22	59.58	55%	0.12	65.9	1.5%	0	0.9	48	0
20	Dec_7_2009	58.46	59.24	59.28	59.71			60.51(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	11	13	55.54	55%	0.15	77.8	1.5%	0	1.6	50	0

21	Dec_4_2009	58.37	59.12	59.07	59.23			60.42(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	9	-10000	13	-5	100.44	55%	0.14	72.4	1.51%	0	1.6	58	0
22	Dec_3_2009	58.29	59	58.89	58.66			58.96(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-2	-30	53.87	53%	0.14	55.8	1.49%	0	-0.1	56	0
23	Dec_2_2009	58.21	58.88	58.99	58.74			59.69(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	2	-21	71.22	53%	0.17	43.6	1.48%	0	0.8	52	0
24	Dec_1_2009	58.11	58.75	59.03	58.67			58.99(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-3	-17	63.14	51%	0.17	32.8	1.48%	0	0.2	51	0
25	Nov_30_2009	58.01	58.63	59.15	58.79			58.09(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	-2	-6	77.94	49%		19.4	1.5%	0	-0.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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