Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $59.6900 (1.19%) ($59.0600 - $60.2100) on Wed. Dec. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $59.6900(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    PEJ(85%)    XLY(81%)    QQQ(79%)    EWG(76%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.74(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.99(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.88(1.38%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2009	58.21	58.88	58.99	58.74			59.69(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	2	-21	71.22	53%	0.17	43.6	1.48%	0	0.8	52	0
2	Dec_1_2009	58.11	58.75	59.03	58.67			58.99(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-3	-17	63.14	51%	0.17	32.8	1.48%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Nov_30_2009	58.01	58.63	59.15	58.79			58.09(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	-2	-6	77.94	49%	0.17	19.4	1.5%	0	-0.5	45	0
4	Nov_27_2009	57.91	58.55	59.23	58.89			57.58(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-5	0	51.86	49%	0.35	7	1.49%	0	-0.8	50	0
5	Nov_25_2009	57.71	58.58	59.32	59.11			59.33(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-4	10	47.64	52%	0.19	-0.5	1.44%	0	0.6	59	0

6	Nov_24_2009	57.6	58.46	59.31	59.27			59.34(-0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-4	37	45.24	52%	0.17	-9.8	1.44%	0	0.7	68	0
7	Nov_23_2009	57.5	58.42	59.27	59.46			59.61(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-3	57	57.94	52%	0.03	-14.8	1.44%	0	0.9	63	0
8	Nov_20_2009	57.48	58.4	59.23	59.59			58.59(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-1	84	39.8	53%	0.14	-21.5	1.45%	0	0.1	64	0
9	Nov_19_2009	57.4	58.47	59.19	59.62			58.66(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	27	-10000	2	100	72.36	53%	0.12	-23.9	1.45%	0	0.1	63	0
10	Nov_18_2009	57.33	58.59	59.15	59.52			60.16(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	4	102	54.31	55%	0.16	-28.1	1.42%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Nov_17_2009	57.24	58.58	58.77	59.34			60.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	29	-10000	7	94	43.03	52%	0.18	-35.3	1.43%	0	1.1	64	0
12	Nov_16_2009	57.14	58.61	58.45	59.06			60.28(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	5	70	66.11	52%	0.16	-36.9	1.48%	0	1	54	0
13	Nov_13_2009	57.05	58.68	58.04	58.85			58.73(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	3	41	69.27	48%	0.12	-37.3	1.47%	0	0	46	0
14	Nov_12_2009	56.98	58.81	57.81	58.72			58.17(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	1	12	68.55	48%	0.16	-36.2	1.47%	0	-0.3	42	0
15	Nov_11_2009	56.89	59	57.78	58.69			59.26(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	-10000	14	-5	50.32	50%	0.18	-31.4	1.46%	0	0.1	40	0

16	Nov_10_2009	56.79	59.14	57.52	58.09			58.85(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	8	-55	55.87	50%	0.18	-34.6	1.47%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	Nov_9_2009	56.69	59.25	57.49	57.73			59.22(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	14	-83	49.2	50%	0.14	-36.6	1.47%	0	-0	41	0
18	Nov_6_2009	56.61	59.35	57.48	57.13			58.08(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	8	-126	56.22	50%	0.12	-39	1.48%	0	-0.6	34	0
19	Nov_5_2009	56.54	59.51	57.64	56.78			58.04(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-38	-10000	1	-153	67.43	50%	0.12	-37.2	1.49%	0	-0.7	36	0
20	Nov_4_2009	56.47	59.65	57.93	56.76			56.25(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-3	-169	92.81	47%	0.11	-33.6	1.44%	0	-1.6	26	0

21	Nov_3_2009	56.41	59.86	58.36	56.87			57.07(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-10000	-8	-179	83.11	48%	0.11	-35.2	1.44%	0	-1.4	28	0
22	Nov_2_2009	56.35	60.03	58.77	57.22			56.22(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-10000	-16	-172	98	46%	0.05	-34.5	1.44%	0	-2	31	0
23	Oct_30_2009	56.32	60.2	59.37	57.88			56.33(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-10000	-18	-146	116.22	46%	0.07	-32.9	1.44%	0	-2.3	31	0
24	Oct_29_2009	56.28	60.32	59.92	58.62			57.91(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-16	-120	73.62	49%	0.09	-28.8	1.41%	0	-1.6	35	0
25	Oct_28_2009	56.23	60.37	60.36	59.31			56.83(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-35	-10000	-17	-87	84.95	47%		-23.1	1.4%	0	-2.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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