Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)
IWM latest price $54.2900 (-1.36%) ($54.2200 - $55.1800) on Thu. May. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $54.2900(-1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IWM declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWM declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(89%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(78%)    EWG(77%)
Factors Impacting IWM price   IWM will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $49.28(-9.23%)
Resistance Level   $56.66
5 Day Moving Average   $54.37(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.27(-1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.66(-4.18%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2004	57.76	56.66	55.27	54.37			54.29(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-10000	-10	-151	20.45	41%	0	-64.8	1.34%	0	-1.4	28	0
2	May_12_2004	57.76	56.84	55.49	54.72			55.04(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-10	-157	31.08	42%	0	-69.1	1.34%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	May_11_2004	57.76	57	55.73	55.08			54.63(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-10	-148	24.26	42%	-0.02	-69.3	1.34%	0	-1.5	33	0
4	May_10_2004	57.77	57.2	56.14	55.47			53.46(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-10000	-16	-128	33.15	41%	0	-69.7	1.31%	0	-2.4	34	0
5	May_7_2004	57.77	57.52	56.7	56.04			54.43(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-6	-99	21.52	43%	0	-73.2	1.29%	0	-2.3	32	0

6	May_6_2004	57.77	57.78	57.15	56.26			56.02(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	22.13	48%	0.03	-77.9	1.25%	0	-1.5	40	0
7	May_5_2004	57.75	57.98	57.45	56.36			56.85(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-4	-73	9.05	50%	0.07	-70.5	1.28%	0	-0.9	46	0
8	May_4_2004	57.71	58.12	57.58	56.51			56.6(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-12	-69	14.69	47%	0.05	-63.3	1.29%	0	-1.2	43	0
9	May_3_2004	57.68	58.31	57.67	56.96			56.29(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-14	-58	14.63	47%	0.03	-44.9	1.32%	0	-1.6	40	0
10	Apr_30_2004	57.66	58.51	57.9	57.5			55.56(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-25	-10000	-18	-46	18.91	47%	0.02	-23	1.3%	0	-2.4	29	0

11	Apr_29_2004	57.65	58.71	58.19	58.17			56.48(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-10000	-13	-25	16.09	49%	0.07	0.6	1.29%	0	-2.2	33	0
12	Apr_28_2004	57.61	58.84	58.33	58.67			57.62(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-3	-16	15.35	50%	0.09	32.4	1.27%	0	-1.4	35	0
13	Apr_27_2004	57.56	58.9	58.4	58.79			58.85(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	9	-18	6.83	50%	0.09	54.7	1.26%	0	-0.1	44	0
14	Apr_26_2004	57.51	58.87	58.34	58.47			59(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	2	-50	10.51	50%	0.09	56.6	1.27%	0	0.2	40	0
15	Apr_23_2004	57.46	58.79	58.39	58.38			58.88(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	4	-58	9.11	50%	0.09	51.3	1.27%	0	0.1	41	0

16	Apr_22_2004	57.41	58.71	58.44	58.23			59(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	7	-64	14.38	50%	0.07	41.8	1.27%	0	0.3	47	0
17	Apr_21_2004	57.37	58.56	58.52	57.97			58.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	0	-71	12.28	49%	0.05	22.3	1.26%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Apr_20_2004	57.34	58.46	58.66	57.96			57.27(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-6	-69	16.27	48%	0.03	17.3	1.25%	0	-0.9	43	0
19	Apr_19_2004	57.32	58.4	58.97	58.17			58.56(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-46	11.1	51%	0.07	17.7	1.23%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Apr_16_2004	57.28	58.32	59.13	58.4			58.13(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-8	-14	13.36	51%	0.02	18	1.23%	0	-0.1	60	0

21	Apr_15_2004	57.27	58.29	59.27	58.68			57.69(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-13	15	13.48	51%	0.07	25.8	1.23%	0	-0.4	59	0
22	Apr_14_2004	57.23	58.3	59.41	59.16			58.14(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-8	63	15.33	51%	0.07	36.9	1.23%	0	-0.1	69	0
23	Apr_13_2004	57.19	58.23	59.49	59.46			58.32(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-11	100	16.76	51%	0.07	36.7	1.23%	0	0.1	70	0
24	Apr_12_2004	57.15	58.15	59.5	59.88			59.71(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-3	149	7.69	56%	0.23	36.7	1.19%	0	1	82	0
25	Apr_8_2004	57.02	58.07	59.26	59.97			59.56(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	-10000	0	158	9.08	56%		35.8	1.21%	0	1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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